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Rate 7.99% = 7.24% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 29) + 0.75% investor premium

42768 Fox Farm Rd

42768 Fox Farm Rd

Big Bear Lake, CA 92315

$839,900

5 bd · 3 ba · Listed 1d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Negative cash flow

Year built

1986

Sqft

—

Lot sqft

7,590

HOA / mo

None

Furnished

Yes

List date

2026-10-29T18:37:20.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$65,232

ADR

$591

Occupancy

30%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$11,624

Confidence

Low (49.62), 49 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$35,900$63,925$79,750

Median revenue of shown comps: $69,929

  • Fox Farm Family Retreat Game Room Pet-Friendly

    Cabin · 5 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 7 ft

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $61,577ADR $597Occ ≈ 28%4.7★ (47)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Alpine Luxury. Hot Tub. BBQ. Fire Pit. AC. EV

    House · 5 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 13 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +5

    Revenue $71,651ADR $636Occ ≈ 31%4.8★ (77)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Big Bear Lake Sleep 16/ XL Game Room/ EV Charger

    Villa · 5 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 16 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +6

    Revenue $113,987ADR $741Occ ≈ 42%5★ (100)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • BigBear Family• Hot Tub •Game Room• EV • Sleeps 16

    House · 5 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 16 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $6,109ADR $772Occ ≈ 2%—

    Airbnb

  • Ritz-Craterton|Spa•BBQ•Game Room•EV Charger

    House · 5 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 13 · 0.3 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $69,221ADR $583Occ ≈ 33%5★ (36)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Family Friendly, Quiet Neighborhood, Huge Gameroom

    Cabin · 5 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.3 mi

    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • Fireplace
    • +2

    Revenue $48,172ADR $436Occ ≈ 30%5★ (223)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Ritz-Craterton

    Vacation home · 5 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 13 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $73,773ADR $590Occ ≈ 34%5★ (3)

    Booking

  • Bearfoot lodge #2030

    Vacation home · 5 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 15 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $137,213ADR $1,408Occ ≈ 27%—

    Booking

  • 2 Mi to Lake & Skiing: Big Bear Family Cabin

    Cabin · 5 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 14 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $110,490ADR $479Occ ≈ 63%4.7★ (54)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Grand View Lodge I Hot Tub, Pool Table I Sleeps 12

    House · 5 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $68,021ADR $736Occ ≈ 25%4.5★ (94)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

Show 24 more
  • The Soaring Eagle Lodge

    House · 5 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.4 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer

    Revenue $35,900ADR $960Occ ≈ 10%4.8★ (6)

    Airbnb

  • 5 Bedrooms! HOT TUB! Theater! Pool Table! Arcade!

    House · 5 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $137,103ADR $903Occ ≈ 42%4.8★ (31)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Beautiful Mountain Retreat w/ Hot tub & Game room

    House · 5 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 16 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $79,750ADR $935Occ ≈ 23%5★ (258)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Gummy Bear Lodge• 5 Bedroom, Game Room, sleeps 13

    Cabin · 5 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 13 · 0.4 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $22,218ADR $859Occ ≈ 7%5★ (35)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Ritz-Craterton | Spa, BBQ, Game Room, EV, Pups

    House · 5 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 13 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +6

    Revenue $68,252ADR $606Occ ≈ 31%4.9★ (62)

    Airbnb

  • Pine-View Big Bear Cabin • Hot Tub + Game Room

    Cabin · 5 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $19,769ADR $579Occ ≈ 9%5★ (3)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Castle with Hot Tub, Game Room, 2 Masters, Decks

    House · 5 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 16 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +6

    Revenue $60,252ADR $980Occ ≈ 17%4.7★ (94)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Castle Glen 5BR · Slope Views · Hot Tub · Game Room · Big Bear

    Vacation home · 5 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 15 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $75,834ADR $1,203Occ ≈ 17%—

    Booking

  • Castle Glen home, hot tub on rocks

    Cabin · 5 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 15 · 0.5 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +4

    Revenue $57,211ADR $1,032Occ ≈ 15%5★ (2)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • View on the Rocks. Hot Tub, Game Room, new remodel

    House · 5 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 16 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $106,111ADR $847Occ ≈ 34%4.9★ (68)

    Airbnb

  • Great Views!HOT TUB!Pets OK!Theater!2 Game Rooms!

    House · 5 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 16 · 0.5 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +5

    Revenue $96,977ADR $899Occ ≈ 30%4.8★ (53)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Large 5-Bedroom Family Retreat in Big Bear

    Cabin · 5 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $74,948ADR $641Occ ≈ 32%4.8★ (47)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Alpine Verde Cabin: Hot Tub, Game Room, EV Charger

    House · 5 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $25,467ADR $891Occ ≈ 8%5★ (10)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Elmwood Place Hot Tub Game Room Near Lake

    Cabin · 5 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $59,986ADR $729Occ ≈ 23%4.7★ (35)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Elmwood Place- Hot Tub- Packed Game Room

    Chalet · 5 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $76,641ADR $702Occ ≈ 30%—

    Booking

  • Five Bears Den. Luxe Log Cabin. Spa. Arcade. EV

    House · 5 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.5 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $86,342ADR $742Occ ≈ 32%4.8★ (44)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 5BR Chalet | Arcade • King Beds • 4-Car • Near MTN

    House · 5 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.5 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $32,935ADR $559Occ ≈ 16%4.9★ (25)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Elmwood Place | Mountain Retreat | Hot Tub + Games

    House · 5 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $2,333ADR $489Occ ≈ 1%5★ (1)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 5 Bdrm!Pet Friendly! HOT TUB! Game Table!

    House · 5 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.5 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $70,637ADR $691Occ ≈ 28%4.8★ (23)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Fox Farm Manor | Hot Tub + Game Den

    House · 5 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 16 · 0.5 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $53,868ADR $1,164Occ ≈ 13%4.8★ (22)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Rumpus Themed Cabin Near Slopes, Game room & SPA

    Cabin · 5 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.6 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +5

    Revenue $100,165ADR $554Occ ≈ 50%4.8★ (30)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Spacious Cabin | Hot Tub | 5BR Retreat | Mtn Views

    Cabin · 5 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 13 · 0.6 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $85,998ADR $602Occ ≈ 39%4.8★ (94)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Hot Tub-Game Room-Nintendo Switch-BBQ

    Chalet · 5 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.6 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $61,035ADR $566Occ ≈ 30%4.9★ (199)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Soaring Pines Big Bear Retreat- Spa- Games- Sauna-

    Cabin · 5 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 16 · 0.6 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $113,236ADR $915Occ ≈ 34%4.6★ (38)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 7.99% = 7.24% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 29) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$65,232

NOI

$29,245

Cash flow /mo

-$2,181

Cash needed

$243,571

Cash-on-cash

-10.7%

ROE (yr 1)

1.8%

Cap rate

3.5%

DSCR

0.53

Year-1 write-off

$194,523

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$62,247

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$26,169
  • Principal paydown$5,273
  • Appreciation at%$25,197
ROE1.8%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$13,046
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,957
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$3,262
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$10,499
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$4,283

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$209,975
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$33,596
  • Furnishing (conveyed with the sale)$0

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$62,247

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$675,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$194,000 · 29%

Year-1 deduction

$195,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$62,000

Land 20% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $481,000 over 39 years

Based on: ~2,900 sq ft (from beds), built 1986, 5 bd / 3 ba, furnished, listing features (deck, fence, game room, fireplace, stone counters, flooring types, appliance list).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $111,000 in year 1 (16% short-life, $36,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$103,200
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $12,200 new × 40% good × 2.87 allocation

    $13,900
  • Kitchen countertops (stone)listing

    $12,400 new × 40% good × 2.87 allocation

    $14,200
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $5,100 new × 40% good × 2.87 allocation

    $5,800
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $500 new × 40% good × 2.87 allocation

    $500
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,800 new × 40% good × 2.87 allocation

    $2,100
  • Window coverings (29)default

    $7,300 new × 40% good × 2.87 allocation

    $8,300
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (100% of floors)listing

    $18,700 new × 40% good × 2.87 allocation

    $21,400
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $9,500 new × 40% good × 2.87 allocation

    $10,800
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $5,700 new × 40% good × 2.87 allocation

    $6,600
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, refrigerator)listing

    $5,700 new × 40% good × 2.87 allocation

    $6,500
  • Furniture conveyed with the sale (used)listing

    $26,500 new × 40% good · out of the price

    $10,600
  • Game-room equipment (used)listing

    $6,000 new × 40% good · out of the price

    $2,400
15-year land improvements$90,800
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $11,200 new × 50% good × 2.87 allocation

    $16,000
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $10,700 new × 50% good × 2.87 allocation

    $15,400
  • Patiosdefault

    $2,900 new × 50% good × 2.87 allocation

    $4,100
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $32,600 new × 50% good × 2.87 allocation

    $46,700
  • Fencinglisting

    $6,000 new × 50% good × 2.87 allocation

    $8,600
Building, 39-year$480,500
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $314,600 new × 40% good × 2.87 allocation

    $360,600
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $32,700 new × 40% good × 2.87 allocation

    $37,500
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $34,000 new × 40% good × 2.87 allocation

    $39,000
  • HVACdefault

    $32,700 new × 40% good × 2.87 allocation

    $37,400
  • Fireplaces (2)listing

    $5,300 new × 40% good × 2.87 allocation

    $6,000

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$103,200$90,800$500$194,500
2$0$0$12,300$12,300
3$0$0$12,300$12,300
4$0$0$12,300$12,300
5$0$0$12,300$12,300
6+$0$0$430,700$430,700
Total$103,200$90,800$480,500$674,500

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Big Bear Lake (city) and unincorporated county areas both allow permitted short-term rentals, and we found no numeric permit cap in either. Permits/licenses generally do NOT transfer on sale — a buyer must apply for their own, so confirm permit status with the city or San Bernardino County before closing. City: vacation rental license, up to 3 per owner. County: 1 permit per parcel under 2 acres, 2 max per owner. Lodging tax ~13% in the city, ~7% county. Rules change; verify before you buy.