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Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

15799 Nauvoo Trl

15799 Nauvoo Trl

Redding, CA 96001

$519,000

4 bd · 3 ba · 3,012 sqft · Listed 4d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidenceNegative cash flow

Year built

1978

Sqft

3,012

Lot sqft

68,389

HOA / mo

$0

Furnished

No

List date

2026-09-25T21:05:50.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$58,774

ADR

$389

Occupancy

41%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$7,935

Confidence

Low (9.89), 8 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$14,476$35,115$68,593
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    Revenue $112,453ADR $584Occ ≈ 53%5★ (46)

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  • Pool Hot Tub 360 views EV Charger Palapa Seating

    House · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 2.4 mi

    Revenue $3,365ADR $1,682Occ ≈ 1%5★ (66)

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  • Darby Hollow

    House · 4 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 2.5 mi

    Revenue $64,356ADR $263Occ ≈ 67%4.9★ (165)

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  • The Bostonian▪︎Pool💦Hot Tub🌀 Arcade🎮Billiards🎱

    Vacation home · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 2.7 mi

    Revenue $81,303ADR $557Occ ≈ 40%5★ (111)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • The Perch @ Sunglow | Quiet, Cozy, Family Friendly

    House · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 2.8 mi

    Revenue $18,179ADR $131Occ ≈ 38%5★ (1)

    Airbnb

  • *Farm/hot tub/game room/Mt. views/fire pit/ponds*

    House · 4 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 12 · 2.9 mi

    Revenue $48,051ADR $487Occ ≈ 27%5★ (26)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Epic Views| Lux Pool | Sauna | Firepit| Boats & EV

    House · 4 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 12 · 3.3 mi

    Revenue $22,178ADR $682Occ ≈ 9%5★ (6)

    Airbnb

  • Epic Views | Luxe Pool | Sauna | Firepit | EV charging | 1-Level Home | Boats OK

    House · 4 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 12 · 3.3 mi

    Revenue $2,479ADR $619Occ ≈ 1%5★ (1)

    Vrbo

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Term

Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$58,774

NOI

$29,372

Cash flow /mo

-$349

Cash needed

$173,510

Cash-on-cash

-2.4%

ROE (yr 1)

8.5%

Cap rate

5.7%

DSCR

0.88

Year-1 write-off

$157,221

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$50,311

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$4,188
  • Principal paydown$3,396
  • Appreciation at%$15,570
ROE8.5%
ROE incl. year-1 tax savings (32% bracket, STR loophole)37.5%
Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$11,755
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,763
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$2,939
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$6,488
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$3,036

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$129,750
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$20,760
  • Furnishing (bought new)$23,000

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$50,311

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$437,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$133,000 · 31%

Year-1 deduction

$157,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$50,000

Land 16% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $303,000 over 39 years · new furniture $23,000

Based on: 3,012 sq ft, built 1978, 4 bd / 3 ba, unfurnished, listing features (pool, fireplace, flooring types, septic).

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $135,000 in year 1 (25% short-life, $43,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$77,300
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $12,400 new × 40% good × 1.69 allocation

    $8,400
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $10,100 new × 40% good × 1.69 allocation

    $6,900
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $5,300 new × 40% good × 1.69 allocation

    $3,600
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $500 new × 40% good × 1.69 allocation

    $300
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,500 new × 40% good × 1.69 allocation

    $1,000
  • Window coverings (30)default

    $7,500 new × 40% good × 1.69 allocation

    $5,100
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (100% of floors)listing

    $19,400 new × 40% good × 1.69 allocation

    $13,100
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $9,600 new × 40% good × 1.69 allocation

    $6,500
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $5,800 new × 40% good × 1.69 allocation

    $3,900
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, disposal, refrigerator, washer, dryer)default

    $8,100 new × 40% good × 1.69 allocation

    $5,500
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $23,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $23,000
15-year land improvements$78,900
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $11,400 new × 50% good × 1.69 allocation

    $9,600
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $10,900 new × 50% good × 1.69 allocation

    $9,300
  • Patiosdefault

    $3,000 new × 50% good × 1.69 allocation

    $2,500
  • Decks & porches (attached)default

    $3,000 new × 50% good × 1.69 allocation

    $2,500
  • Pool (in-ground)listing

    $65,000 new × 50% good × 1.69 allocation

    $55,000
Building, 39-year$303,400
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $327,200 new × 40% good × 1.69 allocation

    $221,500
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $34,000 new × 40% good × 1.69 allocation

    $23,000
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $35,500 new × 40% good × 1.69 allocation

    $24,000
  • HVACdefault

    $33,900 new × 40% good × 1.69 allocation

    $23,000
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 1.69 allocation

    $1,800
  • Septic systemlisting

    $12,000 new × 50% good × 1.69 allocation

    $10,200

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$77,300$78,900$1,000$157,200
2$0$0$7,800$7,800
3$0$0$7,800$7,800
4$0$0$7,800$7,800
5$0$0$7,800$7,800
6+$0$0$271,300$271,300
Total$77,300$78,900$303,400$459,600

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California and Georgia disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Rules differ by jurisdiction. City of Redding caps whole-home vacation rentals at 400 with a 600 ft spacing rule (300 ft with a physical buffer), and its permit is NOT transferable to a new owner. Shasta Lake city and unincorporated Shasta County allow permitted rentals with no cap found, but permits also do not transfer on sale. Lodging tax ~10% plus a 2% tourism assessment in Redding. Verify parcel eligibility with the city or county before you buy.