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Rate 7.86% = 7.11% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Nov 12) + 0.75% investor premium

115 Sunset Ln

115 Sunset Ln

Sugarloaf, CA 92386

$399,000

3 bd · 2 ba · Listed 57d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidenceNegative cash flow

Year built

1979

Sqft

—

Lot sqft

5,000

HOA / mo

None

Furnished

Yes

List date

2026-09-17T17:20:51.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$21,070

ADR

$243

Occupancy

24%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$5,412

Confidence

Low (39.43), 46 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$10,876$17,970$24,960

Median revenue of shown comps: $18,566

  • 7 Mi to Big Bear Mountain Resort: Winter Getaway!

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 16 ft

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $25,655ADR $254Occ ≈ 28%4.8★ (19)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Cozy, Renovated Cabin Near Trails & Slopes

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 59 ft

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $12,899ADR $256Occ ≈ 14%4.8★ (135)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Big Bear Cabin Directly Across Forest Trails

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 249 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $7,327ADR $563Occ ≈ 4%5★ (7)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Almost new charming Cabin With 3 bedrooms 3Bath

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +1

    Revenue $10,439ADR $299Occ ≈ 10%4.7★ (3)

    Airbnb

  • Pet-Friendly Big Bear Cabin w/Huge Fenced Yard

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +2

    Revenue $20,479ADR $267Occ ≈ 21%4.8★ (29)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Big Bear Cabin with Hot Tub and Arcade | Sleeps 9

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $21,267ADR $203Occ ≈ 29%4.8★ (33)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Boujee Bear Cabin

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $16,799ADR $0Occ ≈ —4.8★ (20)

    Delisted

  • Cozy Mountain Escape with fireplace & fenced yard!

    House · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $19,632ADR $191Occ ≈ 28%4.7★ (36)

    Airbnb

  • Cozy & Spacious Mountain Home Retreat

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +1

    Revenue $32,731ADR $217Occ ≈ 41%4.9★ (106)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Almost Bearadise

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $6,342ADR $885Occ ≈ 2%5★ (2)

    Delisted

Show 36 more
  • Spa• Fire Pit • Fully Fenced Yard• Stargazing

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $42,700ADR $290Occ ≈ 40%5★ (411)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Bear’s Lair Cabin - Home away from Home!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $33,421ADR $281Occ ≈ 33%5★ (99)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Last Minute Summer Getaway!BBQ,Games,FUN, AC, RELAX 15 min from Big Bear Lake

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $19,243ADR $421Occ ≈ 13%5★ (1)

    Vrbo

  • 6 person cabin/Ac/games/wifi/BBQ/Deck/FirePit/hike

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $12,046ADR $365Occ ≈ 9%4.9★ (42)

    Airbnb

  • Midcentury Modern A-Frame near the slopes

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $33,474ADR $139Occ ≈ 66%4.8★ (222)

    Airbnb

  • Sugar Bear Modern Relaxing Family Retreat w/ Games

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +2

    Revenue $16,483ADR $418Occ ≈ 11%4.6★ (5)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Sugar Bear Chalet #2559

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $21,514ADR $323Occ ≈ 18%—

    Booking

  • Sugar Bear Chalet - Renovated Family Retreat at Big Bear

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $22,354ADR $363Occ ≈ 17%—

    Booking

  • Sugar Pines Chalet! Hiking, skiiing & mtn biking!

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $2,379ADR $223Occ ≈ 3%5★ (77)

    Delisted

  • Mountain Escape - Minutes to Ski & Lake-EV Charger

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +2

    Revenue $7,402ADR $271Occ ≈ 7%4.8★ (66)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 𓍊𝓣𝓱𝓮 𝓜𝓾𝓼𝓱𝓻𝓸𝓸𝓶 𝓒𝓸𝓽𝓽𝓪𝓰𝓮𓍊

    Cottage · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +1

    Revenue $3,057ADR $382Occ ≈ 2%4★ (4)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Cozy Cabin with beautiful porch close to town

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $17,375ADR $0Occ ≈ —4.9★ (73)

    Delisted

  • 3Bedroom 3Bathrooms 4beds

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +1

    Revenue $10,011ADR $282Occ ≈ 10%4.7★ (3)

    Airbnb

  • Cabina Nera: Luxe 3BR Mountain Haven AC/Hot Tub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $24,728ADR $383Occ ≈ 18%4.9★ (46)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Cozy Big Bear 3 bedrm Home w/Delux Master & Firepl

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $19,102ADR $270Occ ≈ 19%4.6★ (40)

    Delisted

  • Sage Cabin | Sleeps 8 | Hot Tub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $874ADR $265Occ ≈ 1%5★ (2)

    Airbnb

  • Sugarloaf Vacation Rental ~ 7 Mi to Big Bear Lake!

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $12,045ADR $193Occ ≈ 17%2.5★ (1)

    Booking

  • Sugarloaf Vacation Rental ~ 7 Mi to Big Bear Lake!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $12,454ADR $215Occ ≈ 16%4.3★ (31)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • The Sunrise Summit near Big Bear Lake

    House · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $20,225ADR $367Occ ≈ 15%5★ (27)

    Airbnb

  • Charming & Pet Friendly Cabin w/ a Fenced in Yard

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $7,991ADR $1,224Occ ≈ 2%4.8★ (6)

    Delisted

  • Mountain Cabin-Spa-Fireplace-Walk to Forest!

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $38,496ADR $582Occ ≈ 18%4.8★ (102)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Gray Bear Cabin

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +2

    Revenue $18,029ADR $167Occ ≈ 30%5★ (23)

    Airbnb

  • Cozy Spruce Cabin | Pet-Friendly | 3 Fireplaces

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $32,975ADR $257Occ ≈ 35%4.7★ (66)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Cabin A Good Time with Jacuzzi!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $13,666ADR $253Occ ≈ 15%4.8★ (33)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Spacious Gated Yard-EV Charger-Pets OK-3bed, 2bath

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.4 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $19,377ADR $380Occ ≈ 14%4.8★ (12)

    Airbnb

  • Big Bear Gingerbread House

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $29,382ADR $309Occ ≈ 26%5★ (27)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Sugarloafing ~ Dog-friendly cabin with hot tub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $47,794ADR $557Occ ≈ 24%—

    Airbnb

  • NEW Peak Pursuit Spa, Dogs Ok, Sauna, Lrg Game Rm

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $46,307ADR $311Occ ≈ 41%0.5★ (1)

    Booking

  • Smart TV, BBQ, Fenced Yard

    Chalet · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen

    Revenue $17,911ADR $244Occ ≈ 20%4.2★ (8)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Whiskey Pines Cabin

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $9,870ADR $270Occ ≈ 10%4.9★ (41)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Big Dogs Den | Hot Tub+Pet Friendly+Fenced Yard

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $37,969ADR $216Occ ≈ 48%4.9★ (143)

    Airbnb

  • Highland Oaks Retreat Cottage w/ Hot Tub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $35,907ADR $367Occ ≈ 27%4.3★ (13)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Family Friendly for 8: Spa/Firepit/Patio + BBQ

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +5

    Revenue $16,070ADR $375Occ ≈ 12%5★ (8)

    Airbnb

  • " Highland Hideaway, pets ok sleeps 8.

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.5 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $11,021ADR $428Occ ≈ 7%4.2★ (5)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • BIG Marines Retreat, pet friendly & Man cave

    House · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.5 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $10,023ADR $327Occ ≈ 8%5★ (18)

    Airbnb

  • Whiskey mountain lodge - 2028

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $19,787ADR $439Occ ≈ 12%—

    Booking

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 7.86% = 7.11% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Nov 12) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$21,070

NOI

$4,547

Cash flow /mo

-$1,788

Cash needed

$115,710

Cash-on-cash

-18.5%

ROE (yr 1)

-6.0%

Cap rate

1.1%

DSCR

0.17

Year-1 write-off

$98,247

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$31,439

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$21,453
  • Principal paydown$2,570
  • Appreciation at%$11,970
ROE-6.0%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$4,214
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$632
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$1,054
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$5,850
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$2,035

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$99,750
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$15,960
  • Furnishing (conveyed with the sale)$0

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$31,439

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$321,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$98,000 · 30%

Year-1 deduction

$98,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$31,000

Land 20% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $223,000 over 39 years

Based on: ~1,900 sq ft (from beds), built 1979, 3 bd / 2 ba, furnished, listing features (deck, fireplace, flooring types, appliance list).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $58,000 in year 1 (18% short-life, $18,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$55,600
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $10,000 new × 40% good × 2.05 allocation

    $8,200
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $8,200 new × 40% good × 2.05 allocation

    $6,700
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $3,300 new × 40% good × 2.05 allocation

    $2,700
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $300 new × 40% good × 2.05 allocation

    $200
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,200 new × 40% good × 2.05 allocation

    $1,000
  • Window coverings (19)default

    $4,800 new × 40% good × 2.05 allocation

    $3,900
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (100% of floors)listing

    $12,200 new × 40% good × 2.05 allocation

    $10,000
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $7,800 new × 40% good × 2.05 allocation

    $6,300
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,700 new × 40% good × 2.05 allocation

    $3,800
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, disposal, refrigerator)listing

    $6,100 new × 40% good × 2.05 allocation

    $5,000
  • Furniture conveyed with the sale (used)listing

    $19,500 new × 40% good · out of the price

    $7,800
15-year land improvements$41,900
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $9,000 new × 50% good × 2.05 allocation

    $9,200
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $8,700 new × 50% good × 2.05 allocation

    $8,900
  • Patiosdefault

    $1,900 new × 50% good × 2.05 allocation

    $1,900
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $21,400 new × 50% good × 2.05 allocation

    $21,900
Building, 39-year$223,200
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $206,100 new × 40% good × 2.05 allocation

    $168,600
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $21,400 new × 40% good × 2.05 allocation

    $17,500
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $21,400 new × 40% good × 2.05 allocation

    $17,500
  • HVACdefault

    $21,400 new × 40% good × 2.05 allocation

    $17,500
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 2.05 allocation

    $2,200

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$55,600$41,900$700$98,200
2$0$0$5,700$5,700
3$0$0$5,700$5,700
4$0$0$5,700$5,700
5$0$0$5,700$5,700
6+$0$0$199,600$199,600
Total$55,600$41,900$223,200$320,800

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Big Bear Lake (city) and unincorporated county areas both allow permitted short-term rentals, and we found no numeric permit cap in either. Permits/licenses generally do NOT transfer on sale — a buyer must apply for their own, so confirm permit status with the city or San Bernardino County before closing. City: vacation rental license, up to 3 per owner. County: 1 permit per parcel under 2 acres, 2 max per owner. Lodging tax ~13% in the city, ~7% county. Rules change; verify before you buy.