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Rate 8.15% = 7.40% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 8) + 0.75% investor premium

16972 Rocky Fork Rd

16972 Rocky Fork Rd

Logan, OH 43138

$1,150,000

4 bd · 1.5 ba · 3,080 sqft · Listed 3d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Negative cash flow

Year built

1999

Sqft

3,080

Lot sqft

217,800

HOA / mo

$0

Furnished

No

List date

2026-10-08T18:28:38.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$83,454

ADR

$500

Occupancy

46%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$8,076

Confidence

Med (56.7), 12 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$55,217$79,820$94,530

Few similar-size comps were found, so all comps are shown.

Median revenue of shown comps: $79,820

  • Patriots Lodge | Hocking Hills, Sleeps 10, Hot Tub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +2

    Revenue $74,081ADR $399Occ ≈ 51%4.7★ (88)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • The Roosevelt | Modern Cabin in the Trees

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 11 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $95,612ADR $427Occ ≈ 61%4.8★ (16)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Fall is Here! Modern Cabin in the Trees

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 11 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $128,687ADR $453Occ ≈ 78%5★ (126)

    Airbnb

  • Fireside Cabin | Hocking Hills, Hot Tub, Sleeps 8

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.5 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +2

    Revenue $82,220ADR $419Occ ≈ 54%4.8★ (128)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Luxury Lodge for Groups, Hocking Hills OH

    Cabin · 4 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.6 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Kitchen
    • Fireplace

    Revenue $55,431ADR $567Occ ≈ 27%5★ (4)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Dreamy Log Cabin, Hocking Hills OH

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.6 mi

    • A/C
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +2

    Revenue $80,193ADR $613Occ ≈ 36%—

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Large Cabin Rental with Games Room and Hot Tub in Logan, Ohio

    Cabin · 5 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 16 · 0.7 mi

    • A/C
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Fireplace
    • +1

    Revenue $102,366ADR $1,271Occ ≈ 22%—

    VrboBooking

  • Family-Friendly Getaways to this Rustic Log Cabin in Logan, Ohio

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.7 mi

    • A/C
    • Kitchen
    • Fireplace
    • Game room

    Revenue $79,446ADR $657Occ ≈ 33%—

    VrboBooking

  • Amazing Family Adventures at this Lovely Logan Rental with Fire Pit and Catch-and-Release Pond

    Vacation home · 5 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $54,576ADR $1,184Occ ≈ 13%—

    Booking

  • Hocking Hills Park Getaway for Family Adventures

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.7 mi

    • A/C
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +2

    Revenue $94,169ADR $969Occ ≈ 27%—

    AirbnbVrboBooking

Show 2 more
  • Family-Friendly Getaways to this Rustic Log

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $4,797ADR $693Occ ≈ 2%—

    Delisted

  • Luxury Cabin Retreat, Hocking Hills OH

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.7 mi

    • Kitchen
    • Fireplace

    Revenue $40,919ADR $374Occ ≈ 30%—

    AirbnbVrbo

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 8.15% = 7.40% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 8) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$83,454

NOI

$36,423

Cash flow /mo

-$3,384

Cash needed

$362,500

Cash-on-cash

-11.2%

ROE (yr 1)

0.2%

Cap rate

3.2%

DSCR

0.47

Year-1 write-off

$243,432

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$77,898

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$40,607
  • Principal paydown$6,993
  • Appreciation at%$34,500
ROE0.2%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$16,691
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$2,504
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$4,173
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$10,149
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$9,315

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$287,500
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$46,000
  • Furnishing (bought new)$29,000

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$77,898

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$1,014,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$214,000 · 21%

Year-1 deduction

$243,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$78,000

Land 12% (county tax record, market value split) · building $801,000 over 39 years · new furniture $29,000

Based on: 3,080 sq ft, built 1999, 4 bd / 1.5 ba, unfurnished, listing features (hot tub, deck, game room, fireplace, flooring types, appliance list, septic, wooded lot).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $145,000 in year 1 (11% short-life, $46,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$150,400
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $12,600 new × 40% good × 3.37 allocation

    $16,900
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $10,300 new × 40% good × 3.37 allocation

    $13,800
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $5,400 new × 40% good × 3.37 allocation

    $7,300
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $200 new × 40% good × 3.37 allocation

    $200
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,500 new × 40% good × 3.37 allocation

    $2,000
  • Window coverings (31)default

    $7,800 new × 40% good × 3.37 allocation

    $10,400
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (100% of floors)listing

    $19,800 new × 40% good × 3.37 allocation

    $26,700
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $9,800 new × 46% good × 3.37 allocation

    $15,100
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $5,900 new × 46% good × 3.37 allocation

    $9,100
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, refrigerator)listing

    $5,700 new × 40% good × 3.37 allocation

    $7,700
  • Hot tub (freestanding)listing

    $9,000 new × 40% good × 3.37 allocation

    $12,100
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $23,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $23,000
  • Game-room equipment bought newlisting

    $6,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $6,000
15-year land improvements$92,100
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)listing

    $11,500 new × 50% good × 3.37 allocation

    $19,400
  • Landscaping (minimal)listing

    $5,500 new × 50% good × 3.37 allocation

    $9,300
  • Patiosdefault

    $3,000 new × 50% good × 3.37 allocation

    $5,100
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $34,700 new × 50% good × 3.37 allocation

    $58,300
Building, 39-year$800,800
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $334,900 new × 55% good × 3.37 allocation

    $620,200
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $34,700 new × 46% good × 3.37 allocation

    $53,800
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $36,300 new × 46% good × 3.37 allocation

    $56,300
  • HVACdefault

    $34,700 new × 40% good × 3.37 allocation

    $46,700
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 3.37 allocation

    $3,500
  • Septic systemlisting

    $12,000 new × 50% good × 3.37 allocation

    $20,200

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$150,400$92,100$900$243,400
2$0$0$20,500$20,500
3$0$0$20,500$20,500
4$0$0$20,500$20,500
5$0$0$20,500$20,500
6+$0$0$717,800$717,800
Total$150,400$92,100$800,800$1,043,300

The building's share of the price ($1,014,000) is 3.4x our depreciated replacement cost of the home ($301,000). The IRS guide treats a gap this size as a reason to review the land share: if land is worth more than the county ratio says, the basis and the write-off are smaller.

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Hocking County STR ordinance pending (annual permit, inspection, $1M liability insurance, driveway standards). Steep/gravel driveways are a cost risk.