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Rate 8.03% = 7.28% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 1) + 0.75% investor premium

32388 Lilac Ln

32388 Lilac Ln

Logan, OH 43138

$439,900

3 bd · 2 ba · 1,687 sqft · Listed today

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidenceEst. land %Negative cash flow

Year built

2021

Sqft

1,687

Lot sqft

13,068

HOA / mo

$0

Furnished

No

List date

2026-10-03T08:02:55.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$43,595

ADR

$388

Occupancy

31%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$4,625

Confidence

Low (41.63), 7 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$24,104$33,713$53,504

Few similar-size comps were found, so all comps are shown.

Median revenue of shown comps: $33,713

  • Scotts Creek Cabins - Hem Loch

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $77,429ADR $762Occ ≈ 28%4.8★ (31)

    Airbnb

  • Scotts Creek Cabins - Hilltop

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $16,746ADR $277Occ ≈ 17%5★ (30)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Scotts Creek Cabins-Original-Private Pool

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $31,260ADR $326Occ ≈ 26%4.9★ (45)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Scotts Creek Cabins - Valleyview

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $39,509ADR $453Occ ≈ 24%5★ (9)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Hocking Hills 125 Acre, Pet Friendly, 62Jet HotTub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $67,499ADR $445Occ ≈ 42%4.8★ (123)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Wildwood Cabin Sports and Fun

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $16,948ADR $313Occ ≈ 15%5★ (5)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Vintage Vibes! Mid Century style w/ modern comfort

    Vacation home · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $33,713ADR $215Occ ≈ 43%5★ (163)

    AirbnbVrbo

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 8.03% = 7.28% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 1) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$43,595

NOI

$23,096

Cash flow /mo

-$503

Cash needed

$147,071

Cash-on-cash

-4.1%

ROE (yr 1)

6.7%

Cap rate

5.3%

DSCR

0.79

Year-1 write-off

$102,016

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$32,645

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$6,037
  • Principal paydown$2,740
  • Appreciation at%$13,197
ROE6.7%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$8,719
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,308
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$2,180
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$529
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$3,563

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$109,975
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$17,596
  • Furnishing (bought new)$19,500

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$32,645

No county tax record split for property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split, so those use market defaults — edit the price above; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$352,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$82,000 · 23%

Year-1 deduction

$102,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$33,000

Land 20% (market default, no usable tax-record split) · building $270,000 over 39 years · new furniture $20,000

Based on: 1,687 sq ft, built 2021, 3 bd / 2 ba, unfurnished, listing features (patio, fence, stone counters, flooring types, appliance list).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $77,000 in year 1 (16% short-life, $25,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$66,300
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $9,500 new × 80% good × 1.23 allocation

    $9,300
  • Kitchen countertops (stone)listing

    $9,700 new × 80% good × 1.23 allocation

    $9,500
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $3,000 new × 80% good × 1.23 allocation

    $2,900
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $300 new × 58% good × 1.23 allocation

    $200
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,200 new × 80% good × 1.23 allocation

    $1,200
  • Window coverings (17)default

    $4,300 new × 50% good × 1.23 allocation

    $2,600
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (50% of floors)listing

    $5,400 new × 58% good × 1.23 allocation

    $3,900
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $7,400 new × 90% good × 1.23 allocation

    $8,200
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,500 new × 90% good × 1.23 allocation

    $4,900
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, refrigerator)listing

    $5,700 new × 58% good × 1.23 allocation

    $4,100
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $19,500 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $19,500
15-year land improvements$35,500
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $8,500 new × 80% good × 1.23 allocation

    $8,300
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $8,200 new × 80% good × 1.23 allocation

    $8,000
  • Patioslisting

    $7,600 new × 80% good × 1.23 allocation

    $7,400
  • Decks & porches (attached)default

    $1,700 new × 75% good × 1.23 allocation

    $1,500
  • Fencinglisting

    $6,000 new × 75% good × 1.23 allocation

    $5,500
  • Gazebo / pergolalisting

    $5,000 new × 75% good × 1.23 allocation

    $4,600
Building, 39-year$269,700
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $182,800 new × 92% good × 1.23 allocation

    $205,400
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $19,000 new × 90% good × 1.23 allocation

    $20,900
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $18,700 new × 90% good × 1.23 allocation

    $20,600
  • HVACdefault

    $19,000 new × 75% good × 1.23 allocation

    $17,500
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $5,400 new × 80% good × 1.23 allocation

    $5,300

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$66,300$35,500$300$102,000
2$0$0$6,900$6,900
3$0$0$6,900$6,900
4$0$0$6,900$6,900
5$0$0$6,900$6,900
6+$0$0$241,700$241,700
Total$66,300$35,500$269,700$371,400

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Hocking County STR ordinance pending (annual permit, inspection, $1M liability insurance, driveway standards). Steep/gravel driveways are a cost risk.