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Rate 8.15% = 7.40% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 8) + 0.75% investor premium

28068 Blackjack Rd

28068 Blackjack Rd

Logan, OH 43138

$1,129,000

3 bd · 4.5 ba · 3,026 sqft · Listed 2d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidenceEst. land %Negative cash flow

Year built

2026

Sqft

3,026

Lot sqft

243,500

HOA / mo

$0

Furnished

No

List date

2026-10-09T17:51:37.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$91,327

ADR

$690

Occupancy

36%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$21,756

Confidence

Med (68.7), 5 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$78,269$97,385$115,108

Few similar-size comps were found, so all comps are shown.

Median revenue of shown comps: $97,385

  • Thelma's Retreat by The Inn & Spa at Cedar Falls

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 325 ft

    Revenue $78,269ADR $978Occ ≈ 22%4.8★ (51)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Louise's Hideaway by Inn & Spa at Cedar Falls

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $97,385ADR $487Occ ≈ 55%4.9★ (17)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Cabin with hot tub, game room and EV, sleeps 22

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 16 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $115,108ADR $642Occ ≈ 49%4.8★ (47)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Frontier for Families-Secluded-Covered Hot Tub-Gam

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $53,910ADR $502Occ ≈ 29%4.9★ (194)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Fall is Here! Modern Cabin in the Trees

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 11 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $128,687ADR $453Occ ≈ 78%5★ (126)

    Airbnb

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 8.15% = 7.40% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 8) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$91,327

NOI

$52,017

Cash flow /mo

-$1,967

Cash needed

$352,910

Cash-on-cash

-6.7%

ROE (yr 1)

4.9%

Cap rate

4.6%

DSCR

0.69

Year-1 write-off

$228,164

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$73,012

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$23,607
  • Principal paydown$6,866
  • Appreciation at%$33,870
ROE4.9%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$18,265
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$2,740
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$4,566
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$394
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$9,145

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$282,250
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$45,160
  • Furnishing (bought new)$25,500

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$73,012

No county tax record split for property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split, so those use market defaults — edit the price above; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$903,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$202,000 · 22%

Year-1 deduction

$228,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$73,000

Land 20% (market default, no usable tax-record split) · building $701,000 over 39 years · new furniture $26,000

Based on: 3,026 sq ft, built 2026, 3 bd / 4.5 ba, unfurnished, listing features (hot tub, deck, game room, fireplace, stone counters, flooring types, appliance list, septic, wooded lot).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $128,000 in year 1 (11% short-life, $41,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$138,500
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $12,400 new × 100% good × 1.51 allocation

    $18,800
  • Kitchen countertops (stone)listing

    $12,700 new × 100% good × 1.51 allocation

    $19,200
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $5,300 new × 100% good × 1.51 allocation

    $8,000
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $600 new × 100% good × 1.51 allocation

    $900
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,200 new × 100% good × 1.51 allocation

    $1,800
  • Window coverings (30)default

    $7,500 new × 100% good × 1.51 allocation

    $11,300
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (25% of floors)listing

    $4,900 new × 100% good × 1.51 allocation

    $7,300
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $9,700 new × 100% good × 1.51 allocation

    $14,600
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $5,800 new × 100% good × 1.51 allocation

    $8,800
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, refrigerator)listing

    $5,700 new × 100% good × 1.51 allocation

    $8,600
  • Hot tub (freestanding)listing

    $9,000 new × 100% good × 1.51 allocation

    $13,600
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $19,500 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $19,500
  • Game-room equipment bought newlisting

    $6,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $6,000
15-year land improvements$88,900
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $11,400 new × 100% good × 1.51 allocation

    $17,200
  • Landscaping (minimal)listing

    $5,500 new × 100% good × 1.51 allocation

    $8,300
  • Patiosdefault

    $3,000 new × 100% good × 1.51 allocation

    $4,500
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $34,000 new × 100% good × 1.51 allocation

    $51,400
  • Gazebo / pergolalisting

    $5,000 new × 100% good × 1.51 allocation

    $7,500
Building, 39-year$701,300
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $328,800 new × 100% good × 1.51 allocation

    $496,400
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $34,100 new × 100% good × 1.51 allocation

    $51,500
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $35,600 new × 100% good × 1.51 allocation

    $53,800
  • HVACdefault

    $34,100 new × 100% good × 1.51 allocation

    $51,500
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $14,600 new × 100% good × 1.51 allocation

    $22,000
  • Fireplaces (2)listing

    $5,300 new × 100% good × 1.51 allocation

    $7,900
  • Septic systemlisting

    $12,000 new × 100% good × 1.51 allocation

    $18,100

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$138,500$88,900$800$228,200
2$0$0$18,000$18,000
3$0$0$18,000$18,000
4$0$0$18,000$18,000
5$0$0$18,000$18,000
6+$0$0$628,600$628,600
Total$138,500$88,900$701,300$928,700

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Hocking County STR ordinance pending (annual permit, inspection, $1M liability insurance, driveway standards). Steep/gravel driveways are a cost risk.