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Rate 8.03% = 7.28% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 1) + 0.75% investor premium

2977 Highway 2

2977 Highway 2

Blue Ridge, GA 30513

$819,900

3 bd · 2 ba · 1,736 sqft · Listed 1d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidenceNegative cash flow

Year built

1981

Sqft

1,736

Lot sqft

126,324

HOA / mo

None

Furnished

No

List date

2026-10-01T15:52:42.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$45,223

ADR

$310

Occupancy

40%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$9,636

Confidence

Low (46.95), 5 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$25,220$42,547$51,911
  • Cherry Log Cabin | Hot Tub, Arcade & Pool Table

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $42,547ADR $283Occ ≈ 41%4.8★ (131)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Luxury Blue Ridge Cabin | Hot Tub & Stunning Views

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $75,761ADR $414Occ ≈ 50%5★ (146)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • New! Private 3BR cabin*MTN views*Game Room*Firepit

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $51,911ADR $307Occ ≈ 46%5★ (34)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Blue Ridge Belle

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $18,617ADR $309Occ ≈ 17%—

    Booking

  • Blue Ridge Belle -Pet Friendly, Hot Tub, Firepit

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $25,220ADR $364Occ ≈ 19%4.7★ (3)

    AirbnbVrbo

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 8.03% = 7.28% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 1) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$45,223

NOI

$18,222

Cash flow /mo

-$3,006

Cash needed

$257,271

Cash-on-cash

-14.0%

ROE (yr 1)

-2.5%

Cap rate

2.2%

DSCR

0.34

Year-1 write-off

$165,176

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$52,856

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$36,078
  • Principal paydown$5,106
  • Appreciation at%$24,597
ROE-2.5%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$9,045
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,357
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$2,261
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$1,407
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$8,732

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$204,975
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$32,796
  • Furnishing (bought new)$19,500

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$52,856

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$556,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$145,000 · 26%

Year-1 deduction

$165,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$53,000

Land 32% (county tax record, market value split) · building $410,000 over 39 years · new furniture $20,000

Based on: 1,736 sq ft, built 1981, 3 bd / 2 ba, unfurnished, listing features (deck, fireplace, flooring types, appliance list, septic).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $95,000 in year 1 (14% short-life, $31,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$92,900
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $9,600 new × 40% good × 3.76 allocation

    $14,500
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $7,900 new × 40% good × 3.76 allocation

    $11,800
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $3,000 new × 40% good × 3.76 allocation

    $4,600
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $300 new × 40% good × 3.76 allocation

    $500
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,200 new × 40% good × 3.76 allocation

    $1,800
  • Window coverings (17)default

    $4,300 new × 40% good × 3.76 allocation

    $6,400
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (25% of floors)listing

    $2,800 new × 40% good × 3.76 allocation

    $4,200
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $7,500 new × 40% good × 3.76 allocation

    $11,300
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,500 new × 40% good × 3.76 allocation

    $6,800
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, refrigerator, washer, dryer)listing

    $7,700 new × 40% good × 3.76 allocation

    $11,600
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $19,500 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $19,500
15-year land improvements$71,900
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)listing

    $8,600 new × 50% good × 3.76 allocation

    $16,300
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $8,300 new × 50% good × 3.76 allocation

    $15,600
  • Patiosdefault

    $1,700 new × 50% good × 3.76 allocation

    $3,200
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $19,500 new × 50% good × 3.76 allocation

    $36,800
Building, 39-year$410,300
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $188,200 new × 40% good × 3.76 allocation

    $283,300
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $19,500 new × 40% good × 3.76 allocation

    $29,400
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $19,300 new × 40% good × 3.76 allocation

    $29,000
  • HVACdefault

    $19,600 new × 40% good × 3.76 allocation

    $29,400
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $8,400 new × 40% good × 3.76 allocation

    $12,600
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 3.76 allocation

    $4,000
  • Septic systemlisting

    $12,000 new × 50% good × 3.76 allocation

    $22,600

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$92,900$71,900$400$165,200
2$0$0$10,500$10,500
3$0$0$10,500$10,500
4$0$0$10,500$10,500
5$0$0$10,500$10,500
6+$0$0$367,800$367,800
Total$92,900$71,900$410,300$575,000

The building's share of the price ($556,000) is 3.8x our depreciated replacement cost of the home ($148,000). The IRS guide treats a gap this size as a reason to review the land share: if land is worth more than the county ratio says, the basis and the write-off are smaller.

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Fannin and Gilmer counties require STR registration and lodging tax; no cap found. Blue Ridge and Ellijay city limits have their own rules; most cabins are in unincorporated county.