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15 Padget Ln

15 Padget Ln

Ellijay, GA 30540

$419,000

3 bd · 2 ba · 1,904 sqft · Listed 2d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidenceEst. land %

Year built

1989

Sqft

1,904

Lot sqft

25,265

HOA / mo

None

Furnished

No

List date

2026-10-09T13:36:27.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$30,949

ADR

$193

Occupancy

44%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$5,899

Confidence

Low (30.56), 19 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$12,731$27,211$39,021

Median revenue of shown comps: $27,211

  • Ledger Creek Cabin

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 213 ft

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +5

    Revenue $25,598ADR $209Occ ≈ 34%4.9★ (35)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Screened Porch + Home Office: Modern Ellijay Cabin

    House · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 299 ft

    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $1,024ADR $256Occ ≈ 1%—

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Ellijay Harmony Lodge • Live Music Room • Sleeps 8

    House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +6

    Revenue $40,959ADR $196Occ ≈ 57%5★ (6)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Dolche Vita Chalet A great place to stay.

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $1,154ADR $577Occ ≈ 1%5★ (11)

    Airbnb

  • Fall Cabin: Hot Tub | Fire Pit | Hikes | Wineries

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +6

    Revenue $34,743ADR $260Occ ≈ 37%5★ (43)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Cozy Mountain Cabin hot tub, fire pit, hiking

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $34,681ADR $231Occ ≈ 41%4.8★ (63)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • 5-Star,Gated River Resort,Dog friendly, Hot Tub!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +4

    Revenue $61,307ADR $300Occ ≈ 56%5★ (84)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Rustic Cabin Escape in Gilmer County

    House · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $11,306ADR $329Occ ≈ 9%—

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Peaceful, screened porch, hot tub, firepit, grill

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $51,320ADR $191Occ ≈ 74%5★ (53)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Hot Tub & Movie Room: Updated Cabin in Ellijay!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +4

    Revenue $32,374ADR $256Occ ≈ 35%5★ (32)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

Show 9 more
  • Chicken Coop | No Pet Fees | Sleeps 6 | large fenced yard| Paved Roads

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +5

    Revenue $64,780ADR $311Occ ≈ 57%5★ (17)

    Vrbo

  • Ellijay Cardinal Cabin Retreat in River Resort + Full Amenities & Nature Access

    House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $37,082ADR $224Occ ≈ 45%5★ (1)

    Delisted

  • 2025 BUILT*Family Friendly*Game Rm*Fire Pit*5 TV's

    House · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $21,300ADR $244Occ ≈ 24%5★ (7)

    Airbnb

  • New Listing-Community Amenities-Prime Location

    House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $7,954ADR $163Occ ≈ 13%5★ (1)

    Airbnb

  • Mountain Resort Cabin, Private, screened porch overlooking wide peaceful creek.

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $14,155ADR $243Occ ≈ 16%5★ (247)

    Delisted

  • Mountain cabin with WiFi, fireplace, shared pools, game room, tennis, & gym

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $27,211ADR $159Occ ≈ 47%4.6★ (10)

    Delisted

  • Four Winds Lodge & Hot Tub and Community Pool

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $9,056ADR $153Occ ≈ 16%4.9★ (213)

    Delisted

  • Fully Fenced Backyard for Pets/ Outdoor Pools

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $60,151ADR $262Occ ≈ 63%4.9★ (49)

    Airbnb

  • Wandering Bear's Den

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.7 mi

    • A/C
    • Pets OK
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +1

    Revenue $14,558ADR $185Occ ≈ 22%4.3★ (29)

    AirbnbVrbo

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management

Est. revenue

$30,949

NOI

$11,988

Cash flow /mo

$999

Cash needed

$461,260

Cash-on-cash (all cash)

2.6%

ROE (yr 1)

5.3%

Cap rate

2.9%

DSCR

—

Year-1 write-off

$100,137

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$32,044

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)$11,988
  • Principal paydown (n/a, cash)$0
  • Appreciation at%$12,570
ROE5.3%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$6,190
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$928
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$1,547
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$1,570
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$4,525

Cash needed to close

  • Purchase price (all cash)$419,000
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$16,760
  • Furnishing (bought new)$25,500

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$32,044

No county tax record split for property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split, so those use market defaults — edit the price above; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$356,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$74,000 · 21%

Year-1 deduction

$100,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$32,000

Land 15% (market default, no usable tax-record split) · building $282,000 over 39 years · new furniture $26,000

Based on: 1,904 sq ft, built 1989, 3 bd / 2 ba, unfurnished, listing features (game room, flooring types, appliance list, septic).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $76,000 in year 1 (14% short-life, $24,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$74,200
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $10,000 new × 40% good × 2.39 allocation

    $9,500
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $8,200 new × 40% good × 2.39 allocation

    $7,800
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $3,300 new × 40% good × 2.39 allocation

    $3,200
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $300 new × 40% good × 2.39 allocation

    $300
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,200 new × 40% good × 2.39 allocation

    $1,100
  • Window coverings (19)default

    $4,800 new × 40% good × 2.39 allocation

    $4,500
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (25% of floors)listing

    $3,100 new × 40% good × 2.39 allocation

    $2,900
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $7,800 new × 40% good × 2.39 allocation

    $7,400
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,700 new × 40% good × 2.39 allocation

    $4,500
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, refrigerator, washer, dryer)listing

    $7,700 new × 40% good × 2.39 allocation

    $7,400
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $19,500 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $19,500
  • Game-room equipment bought newlisting

    $6,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $6,000
15-year land improvements$25,700
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $9,000 new × 50% good × 2.39 allocation

    $10,800
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $8,700 new × 50% good × 2.39 allocation

    $10,400
  • Patiosdefault

    $1,900 new × 50% good × 2.39 allocation

    $2,200
  • Decks & porches (attached)default

    $1,900 new × 50% good × 2.39 allocation

    $2,200
Building, 39-year$281,800
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $206,500 new × 40% good × 2.39 allocation

    $197,300
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $21,400 new × 40% good × 2.39 allocation

    $20,500
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $21,400 new × 40% good × 2.39 allocation

    $20,400
  • HVACdefault

    $21,400 new × 40% good × 2.39 allocation

    $20,500
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $9,200 new × 40% good × 2.39 allocation

    $8,800
  • Septic systemlisting

    $12,000 new × 50% good × 2.39 allocation

    $14,300

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$74,200$25,700$300$100,100
2$0$0$7,200$7,200
3$0$0$7,200$7,200
4$0$0$7,200$7,200
5$0$0$7,200$7,200
6+$0$0$252,600$252,600
Total$74,200$25,700$281,800$381,700

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Fannin and Gilmer counties require STR registration and lodging tax; no cap found. Blue Ridge and Ellijay city limits have their own rules; most cabins are in unincorporated county.