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Rate 7.86% = 7.11% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Nov 12) + 0.75% investor premium

145 River Bend Ln

145 River Bend Ln

Blue Ridge, GA 30513

$567,500

5 bd · 3 ba · 3,574 sqft · Listed 1d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidenceNegative cash flow

Year built

1972

Sqft

3,574

Lot sqft

41,818

HOA / mo

$0

Furnished

No

List date

2026-11-12T21:37:43.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$21,406

ADR

$323

Occupancy

18%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$4,663

Confidence

Low (21.61), 8 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$13,095$16,425$25,871

Median revenue of shown comps: $16,425

  • Neverland Escape | Riverfront, Hot Tub & Games

    Cabin · 5 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 14 · 108 ft

    Revenue $16,254ADR $424Occ ≈ 11%4.5★ (25)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Mystical River Cabin | Themed Rooms & Hot Tub

    Cabin · 5 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 14 · 108 ft

    Revenue $16,595ADR $404Occ ≈ 11%4.6★ (65)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Neverland Retreat, River Views, Hot tub & Games

    Cabin · 5 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 14 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $31,501ADR $300Occ ≈ 29%5★ (1)

    Delisted

  • Coppertop

    Vacation home · 5 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $591ADR $473Occ ≈ 0%—

    Booking

  • Copper Top- Hot Tub, MTN Views, Outdoor Fireplace

    Cabin · 5 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $52,695ADR $436Occ ≈ 33%4.8★ (9)

    Airbnb

  • Copper Top -Mtn Views, Hottub, Expansive Decks

    Cabin · 5 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $7,221ADR $591Occ ≈ 3%—

    AirbnbVrbo

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 7.86% = 7.11% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Nov 12) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$21,406

NOI

$2,879

Cash flow /mo

-$2,842

Cash needed

$191,075

Cash-on-cash

-17.8%

ROE (yr 1)

-7.0%

Cap rate

0.5%

DSCR

0.08

Year-1 write-off

$161,647

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$51,727

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$34,100
  • Principal paydown$3,655
  • Appreciation at%$17,025
ROE-7.0%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$4,281
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$642
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$1,070
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$2,289
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$6,044

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$141,875
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$22,700
  • Furnishing (bought new)$26,500

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$51,727

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$557,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$135,000 · 24%

Year-1 deduction

$162,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$52,000

Land 2% (county tax record, market value split) · building $423,000 over 39 years · new furniture $27,000

Based on: 3,574 sq ft, built 1972, 5 bd / 3 ba, unfurnished, listing features (hot tub, deck, patio, fireplace, flooring types, appliance list, septic).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $98,000 in year 1 (13% short-life, $31,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$84,400
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $13,600 new × 40% good × 1.90 allocation

    $10,400
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $11,200 new × 40% good × 1.90 allocation

    $8,500
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $6,300 new × 40% good × 1.90 allocation

    $4,800
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $500 new × 40% good × 1.90 allocation

    $300
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,800 new × 40% good × 1.90 allocation

    $1,400
  • Window coverings (36)default

    $9,000 new × 40% good × 1.90 allocation

    $6,900
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $10,600 new × 40% good × 1.90 allocation

    $8,100
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $6,400 new × 40% good × 1.90 allocation

    $4,900
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, refrigerator, washer, dryer)listing

    $7,700 new × 40% good × 1.90 allocation

    $5,900
  • Hot tub (freestanding)listing

    $9,000 new × 40% good × 1.90 allocation

    $6,900
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $26,500 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $26,500
15-year land improvements$76,800
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $12,400 new × 50% good × 1.90 allocation

    $11,800
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $11,900 new × 50% good × 1.90 allocation

    $11,400
  • Patioslisting

    $16,100 new × 50% good × 1.90 allocation

    $15,300
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $40,200 new × 50% good × 1.90 allocation

    $38,300
Building, 39-year$422,700
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $388,300 new × 40% good × 1.90 allocation

    $295,800
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $40,300 new × 40% good × 1.90 allocation

    $30,700
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $42,600 new × 40% good × 1.90 allocation

    $32,400
  • HVACdefault

    $40,300 new × 40% good × 1.90 allocation

    $30,700
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $23,000 new × 40% good × 1.90 allocation

    $17,500
  • Fireplaces (2)listing

    $5,300 new × 40% good × 1.90 allocation

    $4,000
  • Septic systemlisting

    $12,000 new × 50% good × 1.90 allocation

    $11,400

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$84,400$76,800$500$161,600
2$0$0$10,800$10,800
3$0$0$10,800$10,800
4$0$0$10,800$10,800
5$0$0$10,800$10,800
6+$0$0$378,900$378,900
Total$84,400$76,800$422,700$583,900

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Fannin and Gilmer counties require STR registration and lodging tax; no cap found. Blue Ridge and Ellijay city limits have their own rules; most cabins are in unincorporated county.