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Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

96 Hidden Lake Ln

96 Hidden Lake Ln

Cherry Log, GA 30522

$699,000

3 bd · 3 ba · 1,976 sqft · Listed 5d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Negative cash flow

Year built

2006

Sqft

1,976

Lot sqft

43,560

HOA / mo

None

Furnished

Yes

List date

2026-09-22T21:00:12.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$44,163

ADR

$273

Occupancy

44%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$8,501

Confidence

Med (59.17), 14 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$30,262$41,072$48,786
  • Luxury Lodge | Views, Hot Tub & Game Room

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 430 ft

    Revenue $39,211ADR $525Occ ≈ 20%5★ (90)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Lovely Log Cabin + Bunkhouse w/ Views & Yard!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 476 ft

    Revenue $37,458ADR $267Occ ≈ 38%5★ (29)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Sunset View Cabin | Deck + Firepit | Blue Ridge

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 495 ft

    Revenue $22,781ADR $392Occ ≈ 16%4.8★ (110)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Spectacular Cabin with Incredible Living Areas Cherry Log, Georgia

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $27,863ADR $684Occ ≈ 11%—

    Vrbo

  • Upscale 3BR | Fireplace | Balcony | Firepit

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $25,827ADR $266Occ ≈ 27%4.9★ (26)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Cozy Cherry Log Cabin ~ 10 Mi to Mercier Orchards

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $46,687ADR $190Occ ≈ 67%4.7★ (155)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • BlueRidge Everest Retreat : Spa|BBQ|FirePit|Games

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $49,921ADR $307Occ ≈ 45%5★ (58)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Cozy Blue Ridge Cabin-Firepit-Views-Private Escape

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $42,270ADR $313Occ ≈ 37%5★ (139)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Cozy Cherry Log Cabin w/ Hot Tub & Mountain Views!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $24,205ADR $277Occ ≈ 24%5★ (56)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Mountain Bliss * Hot Tub Deck w/ TV, Great Wi-Fi!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $45,966ADR $227Occ ≈ 55%4.8★ (98)

    AirbnbVrbo

Show all 14 comps
  • Pet-Friendly-Lakefront Cabin w/Amazing Views-Hot T

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $73,935ADR $307Occ ≈ 66%5★ (284)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Lake Hideaway - Glory Living

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $49,485ADR $171Occ ≈ 79%5★ (566)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Lakeside Escape w/Hot Tub & Firepit

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $84,292ADR $314Occ ≈ 74%5★ (145)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Peaceful Seclusion - Minutes to Blue Ridge

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $39,873ADR $167Occ ≈ 65%5★ (277)

    AirbnbVrbo

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Term

Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$44,163

NOI

$15,971

Cash flow /mo

-$2,436

Cash needed

$202,710

Cash-on-cash

-14.4%

ROE (yr 1)

-1.8%

Cap rate

2.3%

DSCR

0.35

Year-1 write-off

$126,965

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$40,629

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$29,229
  • Principal paydown$4,574
  • Appreciation at%$20,970
ROE-1.8%
ROE incl. year-1 tax savings (32% bracket, STR loophole)18.2%
Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$8,833
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,325
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$2,208
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$4,077
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$7,549

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$174,750
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$27,960
  • Furnishing (conveyed with the sale)$0

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$40,629

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$617,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$125,000 · 20%

Year-1 deduction

$127,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$41,000

Land 12% (county tax record, market value split) · building $491,000 over 39 years

Based on: 1,976 sq ft, built 2006, 3 bd / 3 ba, furnished, listing features (deck, patio, fireplace, flooring types, appliance list, septic).

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $75,000 in year 1 (12% short-life, $24,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$62,300
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $10,100 new × 40% good × 2.56 allocation

    $10,400
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $8,300 new × 40% good × 2.56 allocation

    $8,500
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $3,500 new × 40% good × 2.56 allocation

    $3,500
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $500 new × 40% good × 2.56 allocation

    $500
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,200 new × 40% good × 2.56 allocation

    $1,200
  • Window coverings (20)default

    $5,000 new × 40% good × 2.56 allocation

    $5,100
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $7,900 new × 60% good × 2.56 allocation

    $12,100
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,800 new × 60% good × 2.56 allocation

    $7,300
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, refrigerator)listing

    $5,700 new × 40% good × 2.56 allocation

    $5,800
  • Furniture conveyed with the sale (used)listing

    $19,500 new × 40% good · out of the price

    $7,800
15-year land improvements$63,100
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $9,200 new × 50% good × 2.56 allocation

    $11,800
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $8,900 new × 50% good × 2.56 allocation

    $11,400
  • Patioslisting

    $8,900 new × 50% good × 2.56 allocation

    $11,400
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $22,200 new × 50% good × 2.56 allocation

    $28,500
Building, 39-year$491,200
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $214,300 new × 67% good × 2.56 allocation

    $366,100
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $22,200 new × 60% good × 2.56 allocation

    $34,200
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $22,300 new × 60% good × 2.56 allocation

    $34,300
  • HVACdefault

    $22,300 new × 40% good × 2.56 allocation

    $22,800
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $12,700 new × 40% good × 2.56 allocation

    $13,000
  • Fireplaces (2)listing

    $5,300 new × 40% good × 2.56 allocation

    $5,400
  • Septic systemlisting

    $12,000 new × 50% good × 2.56 allocation

    $15,400

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$62,300$63,100$1,600$127,000
2$0$0$12,600$12,600
3$0$0$12,600$12,600
4$0$0$12,600$12,600
5$0$0$12,600$12,600
6+$0$0$439,300$439,300
Total$62,300$63,100$491,200$616,600

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: Georgia disallows bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Fannin and Gilmer counties require STR registration and lodging tax; no cap found. Blue Ridge and Ellijay city limits have their own rules; most cabins are in unincorporated county.