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Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

45 Sun Valley Dr

45 Sun Valley Dr

Mineral Bluff, GA 30559

$525,000

3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,728 sqft · Listed 11d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Rental historyLow confidenceNegative cash flow

Year built

1996

Sqft

1,728

Lot sqft

46,174

HOA / mo

$0

Furnished

No

List date

2026-09-16T02:44:18.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$40,766

ADR

$251

Occupancy

44%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$8,197

Confidence

Low (36.07), 50 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$19,838$28,186$51,719
  • Heated Pool, Hot Tub, King Bed Master

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 240 ft

    Revenue $54,250ADR $279Occ ≈ 53%4.9★ (165)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • EAGLES BREEZE

    House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.8 mi

    Revenue $43,938ADR $385Occ ≈ 31%4★ (1)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Peaceful Cabin: The Poke

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.8 mi

    Revenue $16,106ADR $183Occ ≈ 24%5★ (28)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Eagles Breeze

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.8 mi

    Revenue $26,875ADR $403Occ ≈ 18%4.8★ (47)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Eagles Crest

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.8 mi

    Revenue $32,225ADR $392Occ ≈ 23%5★ (41)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Hibernation Station

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.9 mi

    Revenue $22,956ADR $323Occ ≈ 19%4.5★ (1)

    Booking

  • At Water's Edge Hot Tub Fish From Cabin Secluded

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.9 mi

    Revenue $25,682ADR $259Occ ≈ 27%4.8★ (15)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Hibernation Station-Pet Friendly,Hot Tub,Billiards

    House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.9 mi

    Revenue $22,657ADR $337Occ ≈ 18%5★ (4)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Prairie Mountain | Oasis Getaway- Adventure Awaits

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 1.0 mi

    Revenue $1,299ADR $259Occ ≈ 1%4.8★ (146)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Charming 3 bedroom on 10 private acres with a small branch below and hot tub!| 3 Bedroom, 2 Bathroom

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 1.0 mi

    Revenue $20,824ADR $208Occ ≈ 27%5★ (68)

    AirbnbVrbo

Show all 50 comps
  • Annie's Mountain Mist - Hot tub & Fireplace

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 1.0 mi

    Revenue $22,403ADR $227Occ ≈ 27%5★ (7)

    AirbnbBooking

  • The River's Edge

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 1.0 mi

    Revenue $35,587ADR $318Occ ≈ 31%4.6★ (21)

    Vrbo

  • Hot Tub + Views! Creekside Blue Ridge Mtn Escape

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 1.1 mi

    Revenue $51,995ADR $301Occ ≈ 47%4.9★ (164)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • LuxeCabin-Endless View-Hottub-PoolTbl-Fenced Yard

    House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 1.1 mi

    Revenue $62,473ADR $389Occ ≈ 44%5★ (38)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Mineral Bluff Cabin: Hot Tub, Pets, & Peace

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 9 · 1.1 mi

    Revenue $22,239ADR $239Occ ≈ 25%4.9★ (52)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • MineralBluff Cabin|King|Sleep 7|FirePit|HotTub|Pet

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 7 · 1.1 mi

    Revenue $19,981ADR $222Occ ≈ 25%5★ (16)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Uplifting- Incredible Views, Close to Town, Luxury

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 1.1 mi

    Revenue $54,042ADR $398Occ ≈ 37%4.8★ (18)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Seven's Secret - Toccoa Riverside

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 1.1 mi

    Revenue $31,753ADR $247Occ ≈ 35%4.9★ (21)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Big Timber Overlook | Hot Tub + Mountain Views

    House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 1.1 mi

    Revenue $9,753ADR $197Occ ≈ 14%4.9★ (8)

    Airbnb

  • Endless Views | Hot Tub | Movie Theater | Firepit

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 11 · 1.1 mi

    Revenue $80,680ADR $366Occ ≈ 60%4.9★ (119)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Wolf Creek Retreat Stay

    House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 1.2 mi

    Revenue $12,849ADR $160Occ ≈ 22%4.9★ (109)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • A Cozy Corner Cabin at Wolf Creek

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 1.2 mi

    Revenue $26,007ADR $327Occ ≈ 22%5★ (2)

    Airbnb

  • Mystic Creek Retreat (next to Blue Ridge)

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 1.2 mi

    Revenue $26,569ADR $259Occ ≈ 28%4.9★ (75)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Cozy mountain cabin with EV charger, game room & forest views

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 1.2 mi

    Revenue $19,790ADR $305Occ ≈ 18%5★ (2)

    Vrbo

  • Toccoa Riverfront * Walk-In Fishing * Firepit

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 1.3 mi

    Revenue $51,578ADR $321Occ ≈ 44%5★ (23)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Blue Ridge Retreat on Wolf Creek

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 1.3 mi

    Revenue $6,835ADR $246Occ ≈ 8%4.8★ (5)

    Airbnb

  • Trout House! Hot Tub, Creek Sound, Dog Friendly

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 1.3 mi

    Revenue $12,585ADR $260Occ ≈ 13%—

    Booking

  • On Toccoa River - Luxury Riverfront - Hot tub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 1.3 mi

    Revenue $76,162ADR $552Occ ≈ 38%4.9★ (37)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Creekside Cabin Retreat with Hot Tub & Patio

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 1.3 mi

    Revenue $91,518ADR $374Occ ≈ 67%5★ (45)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Serenity Creekside • 3BR/3BA Retreat + Generator

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 1.3 mi

    Revenue $29,496ADR $190Occ ≈ 43%5★ (19)

    Airbnb

  • Fishtrap Overlook on the Toccoa River - Luxury River Cabin w/ Easter Promotions!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 1.3 mi

    Revenue $54,428ADR $412Occ ≈ 36%5★ (128)

    Vrbo

  • Heavens View

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 9 · 1.4 mi

    Revenue $30,523ADR $348Occ ≈ 24%5★ (4)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Summer Specials | Hot Tub + Mtn View | Sleeps 8

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 1.4 mi

    Revenue $19,162ADR $175Occ ≈ 30%4.8★ (20)

    Airbnb

  • Almost Heaven - Pet Friendly, hot tub & firepit!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 1.4 mi

    Revenue $56,892ADR $315Occ ≈ 49%4.7★ (164)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Sleeps 9 + Hot tub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 1.4 mi

    Revenue $2,615ADR $302Occ ≈ 2%4.8★ (29)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • The Bucking Bison-Pets, private, hot tub, gameroom

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 7 · 1.4 mi

    Revenue $51,766ADR $308Occ ≈ 46%5★ (53)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Mineral Bluff Cabin w/ Hot Tub + Game Room!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 1.4 mi

    Revenue $36,972ADR $302Occ ≈ 34%4.9★ (27)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Wanderlust Mineral Bluff

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 1.4 mi

    Revenue $41,539ADR $307Occ ≈ 37%4.8★ (7)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Blue Ridge Luxury Cabin with Sunset Views

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 1.4 mi

    Revenue $83,247ADR $363Occ ≈ 63%5★ (112)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • The Dogwood Cabin

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 1.5 mi

    Revenue $26,639ADR $207Occ ≈ 35%5★ (38)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Lil' Bear - Family Fun with epic views

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 1.5 mi

    Revenue $17,305ADR $117Occ ≈ 41%4.8★ (81)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • The Lookout at Blue Ridge/Pet Friendly

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 1.5 mi

    Revenue $4,975ADR $348Occ ≈ 4%5★ (1)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Mountain Views | Hot Tub, Arcade Game & Firepit

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 1.5 mi

    Revenue $7,194ADR $423Occ ≈ 5%—

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Luxe Mtn Retreat - 3 Kings, River Access & Hot Tub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 1.5 mi

    Revenue $25,913ADR $418Occ ≈ 17%4.9★ (124)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • 3BR home with floor to ceiling windows and bar

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 1.5 mi

    Revenue $36,545ADR $305Occ ≈ 33%4.8★ (7)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Mountain Therapy - Hot tub, firepit, and more!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 1.5 mi

    Revenue $17,867ADR $241Occ ≈ 20%4.6★ (63)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Outdoor Fireplace TV Hot Tub Pool Table Arcade

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 1.6 mi

    Revenue $50,688ADR $274Occ ≈ 51%4.9★ (56)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Gorgeous cabin with beautiful sunsets over the Toccoa River!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 1.6 mi

    Revenue $71,290ADR $464Occ ≈ 42%4.8★ (30)

    Vrbo

  • Casa Moderne - Cozy, modern vibes plus a hot tub!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 1.7 mi

    Revenue $33,642ADR $254Occ ≈ 36%4.9★ (21)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Rustic Retreat | Mineral Bluff, GA

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 1.8 mi

    Revenue $65,437ADR $384Occ ≈ 47%5★ (4)

    AirbnbVrbo

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Term

Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$40,766

NOI

$18,549

Cash flow /mo

-$1,283

Cash needed

$171,750

Cash-on-cash

-9.0%

ROE (yr 1)

2.2%

Cap rate

3.5%

DSCR

0.55

Year-1 write-off

$208,821

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$66,823

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$15,399
  • Principal paydown$3,436
  • Appreciation at%$15,750
ROE2.2%
ROE incl. year-1 tax savings (32% bracket, STR loophole)41.1%
Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$8,153
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,223
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$2,038
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$1,011
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$5,591

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$131,250
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$21,000
  • Furnishing (bought new)$19,500

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$66,823

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$493,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$188,000 · 38%

Year-1 deduction

$209,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$67,000

Land 6% (county tax record, market value split) · building $305,000 over 39 years · new furniture $20,000

Based on: 1,728 sq ft, built 1996, 3 bd / 2.5 ba, unfurnished, listing features (hot tub, pool, deck, fence, fireplace, flooring types, appliance list, septic).

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $164,000 in year 1 (29% short-life, $53,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$76,100
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $9,600 new × 40% good × 2.42 allocation

    $9,300
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $7,800 new × 40% good × 2.42 allocation

    $7,600
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $3,000 new × 40% good × 2.42 allocation

    $2,900
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $300 new × 40% good × 2.42 allocation

    $300
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,200 new × 40% good × 2.42 allocation

    $1,200
  • Window coverings (17)default

    $4,300 new × 40% good × 2.42 allocation

    $4,100
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (50% of floors)listing

    $5,600 new × 40% good × 2.42 allocation

    $5,400
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $7,500 new × 40% good × 2.42 allocation

    $7,200
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,500 new × 40% good × 2.42 allocation

    $4,400
  • Appliances (microwave, dishwasher, refrigerator, washer, dryer)listing

    $5,900 new × 40% good × 2.42 allocation

    $5,700
  • Hot tub (freestanding)listing

    $9,000 new × 40% good × 2.42 allocation

    $8,700
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $19,500 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $19,500
15-year land improvements$131,700
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $8,600 new × 50% good × 2.42 allocation

    $10,400
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $8,300 new × 50% good × 2.42 allocation

    $10,000
  • Patiosdefault

    $1,700 new × 50% good × 2.42 allocation

    $2,100
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $19,400 new × 50% good × 2.42 allocation

    $23,500
  • Pool (in-ground)listing

    $65,000 new × 50% good × 2.42 allocation

    $78,500
  • Fencinglisting

    $6,000 new × 50% good × 2.42 allocation

    $7,200
Building, 39-year$304,700
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $187,300 new × 50% good × 2.42 allocation

    $226,200
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $19,400 new × 40% good × 2.42 allocation

    $18,800
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $19,200 new × 40% good × 2.42 allocation

    $18,500
  • HVACdefault

    $19,500 new × 40% good × 2.42 allocation

    $18,800
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $5,600 new × 40% good × 2.42 allocation

    $5,400
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 2.42 allocation

    $2,500
  • Septic systemlisting

    $12,000 new × 50% good × 2.42 allocation

    $14,500

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$76,100$131,700$1,000$208,800
2$0$0$7,800$7,800
3$0$0$7,800$7,800
4$0$0$7,800$7,800
5$0$0$7,800$7,800
6+$0$0$272,500$272,500
Total$76,100$131,700$304,700$512,500

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: Georgia disallows bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Fannin and Gilmer counties require STR registration and lodging tax; no cap found. Blue Ridge and Ellijay city limits have their own rules; most cabins are in unincorporated county.