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Rate 7.93% = 7.18% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Nov 5) + 0.75% investor premium

193 Alm Ln

193 Alm Ln

Ellijay, GA 30540

$429,999

4 bd · 4 ba · 2,878 sqft · Listed 9d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidenceNegative cash flow

Year built

1985

Sqft

2,878

Lot sqft

49,223

HOA / mo

$116

Furnished

No

List date

2026-11-03T15:51:17.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$45,483

ADR

$306

Occupancy

41%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$9,558

Confidence

Low (37.34), 15 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$27,688$45,370$60,990

Median revenue of shown comps: $43,927

  • Cozy Mountain Bliss: King Suite, Games & Firepit!

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.3 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +5

    Revenue $31,177ADR $300Occ ≈ 28%4.8★ (107)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • French Country Cabin|4BR Retreat in Ellijay, GA

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.3 mi

    • A/C
    • Wifi
    • Washer

    Revenue $19,364ADR $150Occ ≈ 35%4.5★ (16)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Cozy Nest Cabin at Coosawattee

    House · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $27,898ADR $280Occ ≈ 27%4.8★ (20)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Riverfront • Pets • Fire Pit • Free Night

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +6

    Revenue $56,677ADR $362Occ ≈ 43%5★ (49)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • ON THE RIVER! Running Deer Cabin, License 005140

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +5

    Revenue $27,478ADR $379Occ ≈ 20%5★ (10)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Harmony River Retreat ~ Hot Tub, Fire Pit, Fishing

    House · 4 bd · 5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.5 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $84,685ADR $453Occ ≈ 51%5★ (8)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Mountain River Escape

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.7 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +4

    Revenue $65,698ADR $449Occ ≈ 40%5★ (121)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Luxury 3 Kings • Bunks •HotTub • Game • MovieRoom

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.7 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +7

    Revenue $58,826ADR $374Occ ≈ 43%5★ (111)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 7.93% = 7.18% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Nov 5) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$45,483

NOI

$19,316

Cash flow /mo

-$741

Cash needed

$153,700

Cash-on-cash

-5.8%

ROE (yr 1)

4.4%

Cap rate

4.5%

DSCR

0.68

Year-1 write-off

$107,241

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$34,317

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$8,892
  • Principal paydown$2,732
  • Appreciation at%$12,900
ROE4.4%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$9,097
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,364
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$2,274
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$1,392
  • Property tax$3,196
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$4,644

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$107,500
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$17,200
  • Furnishing (bought new)$29,000

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$34,317

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$398,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$78,000 · 20%

Year-1 deduction

$107,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$34,000

Land 7% (county tax record, market value split) · building $320,000 over 39 years · new furniture $29,000

Based on: 2,878 sq ft, built 1985, 4 bd / 4 ba, unfurnished, listing features (hot tub, game room, fireplace, stone counters, flooring types, appliance list, septic).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $82,000 in year 1 (13% short-life, $26,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$82,300
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $12,100 new × 40% good × 1.79 allocation

    $8,700
  • Kitchen countertops (stone)listing

    $12,400 new × 40% good × 1.79 allocation

    $8,800
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $5,000 new × 40% good × 1.79 allocation

    $3,600
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $600 new × 40% good × 1.79 allocation

    $400
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,500 new × 40% good × 1.79 allocation

    $1,100
  • Window coverings (29)default

    $7,300 new × 40% good × 1.79 allocation

    $5,200
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (25% of floors)listing

    $4,600 new × 40% good × 1.79 allocation

    $3,300
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $9,400 new × 40% good × 1.79 allocation

    $6,700
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $5,700 new × 40% good × 1.79 allocation

    $4,100
  • Appliances (range, dishwasher, refrigerator, washer, dryer)listing

    $7,000 new × 40% good × 1.79 allocation

    $5,000
  • Hot tub (freestanding)listing

    $9,000 new × 40% good × 1.79 allocation

    $6,400
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $23,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $23,000
  • Game-room equipment bought newlisting

    $6,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $6,000
15-year land improvements$24,600
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $11,100 new × 50% good × 1.79 allocation

    $9,900
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $10,700 new × 50% good × 1.79 allocation

    $9,600
  • Patiosdefault

    $2,800 new × 50% good × 1.79 allocation

    $2,500
  • Decks & porches (attached)default

    $2,800 new × 50% good × 1.79 allocation

    $2,500
Building, 39-year$320,000
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $312,400 new × 40% good × 1.79 allocation

    $223,200
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $32,400 new × 40% good × 1.79 allocation

    $23,200
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $33,800 new × 40% good × 1.79 allocation

    $24,100
  • HVACdefault

    $32,400 new × 40% good × 1.79 allocation

    $23,200
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $13,900 new × 40% good × 1.79 allocation

    $9,900
  • Fireplaces (3)listing

    $7,900 new × 40% good × 1.79 allocation

    $5,600
  • Septic systemlisting

    $12,000 new × 50% good × 1.79 allocation

    $10,700

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$82,300$24,600$300$107,200
2$0$0$8,200$8,200
3$0$0$8,200$8,200
4$0$0$8,200$8,200
5$0$0$8,200$8,200
6+$0$0$286,800$286,800
Total$82,300$24,600$320,000$426,900

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Fannin and Gilmer counties require STR registration and lodging tax; no cap found. Blue Ridge and Ellijay city limits have their own rules; most cabins are in unincorporated county.