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Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

145 Rocky Top Rd

145 Rocky Top Rd

Blue Ridge, GA 30513

$525,000

3 bd · 2 ba · Listed 5d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Negative cash flow

Year built

1978

Sqft

—

Lot sqft

20,038

HOA / mo

$0

Furnished

No

List date

2026-09-22T17:49:34.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$44,921

ADR

$255

Occupancy

48%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$9,789

Confidence

Low (46.68), 32 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$27,460$41,250$57,964
  • Toccoa Mist - Aska Adventure Area

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 89 ft

    Revenue $41,709ADR $244Occ ≈ 47%4.4★ (42)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Best Blue Ridge Location: Cozy Cabin w/ Hot Tub, Fire Pit & Games

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $45,909ADR $292Occ ≈ 43%4.9★ (30)

    Vrbo

  • Rushing River Lodge Toccoa Fishing Tubing Trails

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $60,384ADR $346Occ ≈ 48%4.9★ (90)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Modern | Firepit | HotTub | GameRoom | A+ Location

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $47,628ADR $306Occ ≈ 43%4.9★ (110)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Aska Retreat - Pet Friendly, Hot Tub, Foosball

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $34,463ADR $364Occ ≈ 26%4.8★ (20)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Not Your Average Bear w/ Hot Tub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $13,092ADR $344Occ ≈ 10%4★ (1)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Not Your Average Bear!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $38,862ADR $205Occ ≈ 52%5★ (43)

    Airbnb

  • River Lodge on the Upper Toccoa River

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $35,935ADR $340Occ ≈ 29%5★ (78)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Private Retreat | Hot Tub • Views • Screened Decks

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $10,628ADR $272Occ ≈ 11%5★ (7)

    Airbnb

  • NEW! Toccoa River | Hot Tub, Game Rm, Pets, Views

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $26,026ADR $229Occ ≈ 31%5★ (25)

    Airbnb

Show all 32 comps
  • Wilderness Way- Hot Tub, OD Living, Master on Main

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $22,376ADR $301Occ ≈ 20%4.8★ (5)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • 'Long Pine Ridge' Cabin w/ Luxury Amenities!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $38,878ADR $369Occ ≈ 29%4.7★ (43)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Sunset Ridge- Screened Deck, Hot Tub, Game Room

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $13,320ADR $309Occ ≈ 12%5★ (17)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Blue Ridge | Spring Break | Pet Friendly | Hot Tub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $39,070ADR $312Occ ≈ 34%4.9★ (43)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Toccoa River's Hemlock Hideaway

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $47,436ADR $281Occ ≈ 46%4.9★ (49)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Family Time Cabin - Games, S’mores & Scenic Soaks

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $41,564ADR $294Occ ≈ 39%4.8★ (8)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Mountain View w/ Hot Tub, Games&Fire Pit&Starlink

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $40,935ADR $224Occ ≈ 50%5★ (80)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • ❤ of Aska Adventure! MTN VIEWS/HOT TUB/WIFI/PETS

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $53,233ADR $338Occ ≈ 43%4.9★ (134)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 3BR Cabin Near Toccoa River | Heart of Aska!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $13,268ADR $227Occ ≈ 16%5★ (7)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Bearfoot Bend Cabin in Blue Ridge

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $27,938ADR $274Occ ≈ 28%4.4★ (40)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Alta Vista Views Game Room Pet Friendly

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $43,086ADR $254Occ ≈ 46%5★ (88)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 5 min to Aska Adventure area! Hot Tub + Fireplace

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $9,769ADR $203Occ ≈ 13%5★ (7)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Aska Cabin | Fall Mtn Views, Hot Tub & Game Room

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $65,877ADR $308Occ ≈ 59%5★ (133)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • At the End of the Road. Toccoa River Front

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $57,285ADR $339Occ ≈ 46%4.9★ (101)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Blue Ridge Retreat Near Toccoa River + Hot Tub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $7,322ADR $317Occ ≈ 6%5★ (44)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Aska Pines- Pets OK, HotTub, Firepit, Air Hockey

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $60,002ADR $349Occ ≈ 47%4.5★ (11)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Waldhaus- Great Deal! View, Pet Friendly, Hot Tub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $66,325ADR $297Occ ≈ 61%5★ (53)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Breath of Heaven

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $66,847ADR $482Occ ≈ 38%4.9★ (82)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Piece of Paradise~Hot Tub~Pool Table~2 King Master

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $36,703ADR $243Occ ≈ 41%4.8★ (121)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Reset Ridge - Mountain view, hot tub, fire pit

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $102,090ADR $367Occ ≈ 76%5★ (65)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Riverside Hideaway | $229 Off Your Stay!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $82,045ADR $410Occ ≈ 55%4.8★ (112)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Steps from the water, sleeps 10, Pet-friendly

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.8 mi

    Revenue $78,817ADR $354Occ ≈ 61%5★ (132)

    AirbnbVrbo

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Term

Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$44,921

NOI

$21,530

Cash flow /mo

-$1,035

Cash needed

$171,750

Cash-on-cash

-7.2%

ROE (yr 1)

3.9%

Cap rate

4.1%

DSCR

0.63

Year-1 write-off

$153,263

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$49,044

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$12,419
  • Principal paydown$3,436
  • Appreciation at%$15,750
ROE3.9%
ROE incl. year-1 tax savings (32% bracket, STR loophole)32.5%
Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$8,984
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,348
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$2,246
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$1,022
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$5,591

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$131,250
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$21,000
  • Furnishing (bought new)$19,500

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$49,044

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$463,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$133,000 · 29%

Year-1 deduction

$153,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$49,000

Land 12% (county tax record, market value split) · building $330,000 over 39 years · new furniture $20,000

Based on: ~1,900 sq ft (from beds), built 1978, 3 bd / 2 ba, unfurnished, listing features (hot tub, deck, patio, fireplace, stone counters, flooring types, appliance list, septic, wooded lot).

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $95,000 in year 1 (16% short-life, $30,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$91,000
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $10,000 new × 40% good × 2.83 allocation

    $11,300
  • Kitchen countertops (stone)listing

    $10,200 new × 40% good × 2.83 allocation

    $11,500
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $3,300 new × 40% good × 2.83 allocation

    $3,800
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $300 new × 40% good × 2.83 allocation

    $300
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,200 new × 40% good × 2.83 allocation

    $1,400
  • Window coverings (19)default

    $4,800 new × 40% good × 2.83 allocation

    $5,400
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (67% of floors)listing

    $8,200 new × 40% good × 2.83 allocation

    $9,200
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $7,800 new × 40% good × 2.83 allocation

    $8,800
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,700 new × 40% good × 2.83 allocation

    $5,300
  • Appliances (microwave, dishwasher, refrigerator)listing

    $3,900 new × 40% good × 2.83 allocation

    $4,400
  • Hot tub (freestanding)listing

    $9,000 new × 40% good × 2.83 allocation

    $10,200
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $19,500 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $19,500
15-year land improvements$61,200
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $9,000 new × 50% good × 2.83 allocation

    $12,800
  • Landscaping (minimal)listing

    $4,300 new × 50% good × 2.83 allocation

    $6,100
  • Patioslisting

    $8,600 new × 50% good × 2.83 allocation

    $12,100
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $21,400 new × 50% good × 2.83 allocation

    $30,200
Building, 39-year$330,100
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $206,100 new × 40% good × 2.83 allocation

    $233,100
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $21,400 new × 40% good × 2.83 allocation

    $24,200
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $21,400 new × 40% good × 2.83 allocation

    $24,100
  • HVACdefault

    $21,400 new × 40% good × 2.83 allocation

    $24,200
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $4,100 new × 40% good × 2.83 allocation

    $4,600
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 2.83 allocation

    $3,000
  • Septic systemlisting

    $12,000 new × 50% good × 2.83 allocation

    $17,000

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$91,000$61,200$1,100$153,300
2$0$0$8,500$8,500
3$0$0$8,500$8,500
4$0$0$8,500$8,500
5$0$0$8,500$8,500
6+$0$0$295,200$295,200
Total$91,000$61,200$330,100$482,300

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: Georgia disallows bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Fannin and Gilmer counties require STR registration and lodging tax; no cap found. Blue Ridge and Ellijay city limits have their own rules; most cabins are in unincorporated county.