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Rate 7.93% = 7.18% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Nov 5) + 0.75% investor premium

1608 Mitchell Farm Rd

1608 Mitchell Farm Rd

Sevierville, TN 37876

$650,000

2 bd · 3 ba · 1,500 sqft · Listed 7d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidenceNegative cash flow

Year built

2021

Sqft

1,500

Lot sqft

20,473

HOA / mo

None

Furnished

No

List date

2026-11-05T00:19:21.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$52,926

ADR

$197

Occupancy

74%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$11,885

Confidence

Low (34.54), 24 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$27,747$54,528$74,627

Median revenue of shown comps: $53,881

  • Dollywood · Pets · GasGrill · Fenced · HotTub

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 144 ft

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +5

    Revenue $59,741ADR $287Occ ≈ 57%5★ (172)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Luxury Alpine Resort in Sevierville

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 174 ft

    Revenue $0ADR $0Occ ≈ —4.8★ (54)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Dolly's Delight! Pickleball, Hot Tub, Fishing!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 190 ft

    Revenue $78,431ADR $305Occ ≈ 70%4.9★ (59)

    Airbnb

  • Dogs Welcome• Hot tub• Game Room• Grill•Quiet Area

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 226 ft

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +5

    Revenue $72,298ADR $267Occ ≈ 74%5★ (179)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Perfect Cabin For Couples Pet Friendly Hot Tub

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 4 · 328 ft

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +5

    Revenue $53,234ADR $267Occ ≈ 55%4.8★ (113)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Distinctive 2-Bedroom Cabin Retreat

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 335 ft

    Revenue $2,463ADR $492Occ ≈ 1%4.8★ (119)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Luxury Retreat! Pickleball, Hot Tub, Put-Put!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 338 ft

    Revenue $78,757ADR $304Occ ≈ 71%5★ (5)

    Airbnb

  • New Luxury-Style Mountain Lodge - Fir Pit!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 341 ft

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $56,470ADR $254Occ ≈ 61%4.7★ (14)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Smoky Mtn Lodge! Pickleball, Hot Tub, Location!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 417 ft

    Revenue $64,528ADR $265Occ ≈ 67%4.8★ (51)

    Airbnb

  • Hillside Retreat

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 518 ft

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $2,729ADR $229Occ ≈ 3%—

    AirbnbVrbo

Show 14 more
  • Hillside Retreat | Hot Tub & Game Room!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $76,955ADR $321Occ ≈ 66%4.8★ (21)

    AirbnbBooking

  • H2Oasis - Indoor Pool Cabin with Arcades!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +4

    Revenue $45,878ADR $344Occ ≈ 37%4.8★ (24)

    Airbnb

  • Tiny Cabin! A Bearly Adventure

    Tiny house · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $30,797ADR $178Occ ≈ 47%4.8★ (96)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • H2Oasis

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $126,709ADR $404Occ ≈ 86%2★ (2)

    Airbnb

  • Woodlands | Pet Friendly, Pool Table + Hot Tub

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +4

    Revenue $23,996ADR $172Occ ≈ 38%4.8★ (8)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Comfy Cabin Close to Dollywood!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $49,114ADR $224Occ ≈ 60%4.5★ (97)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • ~Blue Smoke Hillside~6 Miles to Dollywood~

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.4 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +2

    Revenue $49,373ADR $184Occ ≈ 74%5★ (96)

    Airbnb

  • Hot Tub Pool Table Fireplace Views Relax

    Vacation home · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $91,717ADR $311Occ ≈ 81%—

    Booking

  • Hot Tub, Pool Table, Fireplace, Views, Relax!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.5 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $54,528ADR $185Occ ≈ 81%5★ (91)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Hot Tub Pool Table Fireplace Views Relax

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.5 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $17,555ADR $219Occ ≈ 22%—

    Vrbo

  • Nature’s Hideaway - Sip Coffee in Scenic Seclusion

    Cabin · 2 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.6 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +5

    Revenue $77,952ADR $265Occ ≈ 81%4.2★ (7)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Cozy Cabin with Game Room, Hot Tub, & Awesome Location with NO Cleaning Fee!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $24,696ADR $256Occ ≈ 26%4.4★ (15)

    Delisted

  • Baby Bear •King Suite• by HoneyBearCabins

    Vacation home · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $24,180ADR $185Occ ≈ 36%4.4★ (12)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Game Room, Hot Tub, & Location w/ NO Cleaning Fee!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $63,646ADR $159Occ ≈ 100%4.7★ (173)

    Airbnb

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 7.93% = 7.18% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Nov 5) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$52,926

NOI

$28,397

Cash flow /mo

-$1,187

Cash needed

$210,500

Cash-on-cash

-6.8%

ROE (yr 1)

4.5%

Cap rate

4.4%

DSCR

0.67

Year-1 write-off

$136,623

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$43,719

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$14,243
  • Principal paydown$4,129
  • Appreciation at%$19,500
ROE4.5%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$10,585
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,588
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$2,646
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$1,610
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$3,900

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$162,500
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$26,000
  • Furnishing (bought new)$22,000

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$43,719

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$621,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$114,000 · 18%

Year-1 deduction

$137,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$44,000

Land 4% (county tax record, market value split) · building $507,000 over 39 years · new furniture $22,000

Based on: 1,500 sq ft, built 2021, 2 bd / 3 ba, unfurnished, listing features (hot tub, game room, fireplace, flooring types, appliance list, septic, wooded lot).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $95,000 in year 1 (12% short-life, $30,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$107,700
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $9,100 new × 80% good × 2.40 allocation

    $17,500
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $7,400 new × 80% good × 2.40 allocation

    $14,300
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $2,600 new × 80% good × 2.40 allocation

    $5,100
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $500 new × 58% good × 2.40 allocation

    $600
  • Shelvingdefault

    $900 new × 80% good × 2.40 allocation

    $1,700
  • Window coverings (15)default

    $3,800 new × 50% good × 2.40 allocation

    $4,500
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $7,100 new × 90% good × 2.40 allocation

    $15,300
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,300 new × 90% good × 2.40 allocation

    $9,300
  • Appliances (range, microwave, refrigerator)listing

    $4,700 new × 58% good × 2.40 allocation

    $6,600
  • Hot tub (freestanding)listing

    $9,000 new × 50% good × 2.40 allocation

    $10,800
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $16,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $16,000
  • Game-room equipment bought newlisting

    $6,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $6,000
15-year land improvements$28,400
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $8,000 new × 80% good × 2.40 allocation

    $15,400
  • Landscaping (minimal)listing

    $3,900 new × 80% good × 2.40 allocation

    $7,400
  • Patiosdefault

    $1,500 new × 80% good × 2.40 allocation

    $2,800
  • Decks & porches (attached)default

    $1,500 new × 75% good × 2.40 allocation

    $2,700
Building, 39-year$507,200
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $162,500 new × 92% good × 2.40 allocation

    $358,300
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $16,800 new × 90% good × 2.40 allocation

    $36,500
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $16,300 new × 90% good × 2.40 allocation

    $35,200
  • HVACdefault

    $16,900 new × 75% good × 2.40 allocation

    $30,500
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $9,700 new × 80% good × 2.40 allocation

    $18,600
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 80% good × 2.40 allocation

    $5,100
  • Septic systemlisting

    $12,000 new × 80% good × 2.40 allocation

    $23,100

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$107,700$28,400$500$136,600
2$0$0$13,000$13,000
3$0$0$13,000$13,000
4$0$0$13,000$13,000
5$0$0$13,000$13,000
6+$0$0$454,700$454,700
Total$107,700$28,400$507,200$643,300

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

STR allowed in most of Sevier County; inside Gatlinburg city limits only in overnight-rental zones.