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Rate 8.15% = 7.40% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 15) + 0.75% investor premium

3639 Moonshine Way

3639 Moonshine Way

Gatlinburg, TN 37738

$658,000

3 bd · 3.5 ba · 1,683 sqft · Listed 1d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Negative cash flow

Year built

1998

Sqft

1,683

Lot sqft

15,246

HOA / mo

$161

Furnished

No

List date

2026-10-16T16:32:40.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$64,359

ADR

$303

Occupancy

58%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$12,737

Confidence

Med (53.6), 47 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$39,214$61,303$73,775

Median revenue of shown comps: $58,366

  • Treetip Moonshiners Getaway

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 7 · 69 ft

    Revenue $73,195ADR $279Occ ≈ 72%4.8★ (145)

    Airbnb

  • MtnView Luxury Cabin | G'Room+HotTub+Theater

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $86,698ADR $280Occ ≈ 85%5★ (220)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Serenity in Smokies• EPIC view •3K bed •area pool

    Condominium (condo) · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $32,096ADR $274Occ ≈ 32%5★ (27)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • MtnView Luxury Cabin / G'Room + HotTub + Theater

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $11,112ADR $336Occ ≈ 9%5★ (74)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Smoky Mountain View! Cloudwalk Retreat Gatlinburg

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $20,147ADR $805Occ ≈ 7%4.2★ (4)

    Airbnb

  • Spacious Rooms | Beautiful Views | Cozy Cabin

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $69,638ADR $361Occ ≈ 53%5★ (38)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Beautiful View Chalet 3/2.5 Gatlinburg

    Chalet · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $48,907ADR $275Occ ≈ 49%5★ (223)

    Airbnb

  • Luxury Gatlinburg Cabin Mtn View on Golf Course

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $56,866ADR $339Occ ≈ 46%5★ (29)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Private Secluded Luxury w/ Forest & Mt Views

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $11,122ADR $0Occ ≈ —5★ (155)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Lazy Daisy Amazing view

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $70,149ADR $352Occ ≈ 55%5★ (307)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

Show 32 more
  • Mountain View Cabin with Hot Tub & Game Room

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $88,100ADR $334Occ ≈ 72%4.8★ (245)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Gatlinburg Cabin | Golf & Hiking Retreat

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $31,305ADR $260Occ ≈ 33%5★ (15)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Mountain View Cabin: Hot Tub & Game Room

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $73,109ADR $298Occ ≈ 67%4.9★ (248)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Pet-Friendly Cabin with Mt. LeConte Views!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $59,866ADR $345Occ ≈ 48%4.3★ (7)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Sensational Views - NEW hot tub - Sleeps 10

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $66,317ADR $326Occ ≈ 56%4.5★ (16)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Cabin with Fantastic Views, Hot Tub, Pool Access.

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $8,481ADR $300Occ ≈ 8%5★ (1)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Smokies cabin near DTGburg•HotTub•DOGs•VIEWS•Games

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $81,283ADR $413Occ ≈ 54%5★ (218)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Mountain Views from your Sofa and Huge Deck!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $55,955ADR $253Occ ≈ 61%4.9★ (198)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • A Mountain Dream

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $71,243ADR $248Occ ≈ 79%4.6★ (6)

    Booking

  • Blueberry Hill: Breathtaking Mountain Views! Cozy, Family Favorite, Hot Tub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $39,221ADR $249Occ ≈ 43%4.8★ (30)

    Vrbo

  • Modern! Private! Amazing Views!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $103,678ADR $425Occ ≈ 67%5★ (251)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Sunset Memories | View + Hot Tub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $75,515ADR $351Occ ≈ 59%4.9★ (10)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Secluded Cabin w/ Fire Pit & Mountain Views

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $62,740ADR $423Occ ≈ 41%3.5★ (0)

    Vrbo

  • Sweet Tennessee Whiskey- VIEWS, hot tub, pools!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $91,871ADR $360Occ ≈ 70%4.1★ (9)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Stunning Views, EZ Parking, 3 EnSuite KG Bdrms

    Cabin · 3 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $70,415ADR $354Occ ≈ 54%4.9★ (213)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Stunning 3BD Cabin w/ VIEWS! Game Room + HOT TUB!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $86,579ADR $330Occ ≈ 72%4.8★ (112)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Peaceful 3BR w/Hot Tub*Fireplace*BBQ*Arcade Games

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $21,172ADR $238Occ ≈ 24%5★ (9)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Gatlinburg Private Mountain View Cabin-Golf Resort

    Cabin · 3 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $39,191ADR $357Occ ≈ 30%4.9★ (119)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Resting Bears | Views, Fireplace, Pool, Hot Tub!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $26,815ADR $2,538Occ ≈ 3%4.8★ (16)

    Airbnb

  • Dreamy Smokies cabin with hot tub, fireplace &

    Cabin · 3 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $72,605ADR $314Occ ≈ 63%4.7★ (31)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 2.5 Mi to Cobbly Nob Plaza・Serene Getaway・Hot Tub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $33,978ADR $269Occ ≈ 35%4.5★ (14)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Unobstructed Mtn View|Dual Suite|Hot Tub|Game Room

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $85,803ADR $358Occ ≈ 66%4.7★ (162)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Luxury Gatlinburg Family Cabin Retreat with Views

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $18,377ADR $326Occ ≈ 15%—

    Booking

  • Luxury Family Gatlinburg Cabin Views Hot Tub Games

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $51,845ADR $283Occ ≈ 50%5★ (29)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Upscale Mtn-View Smokies Cabin: Hot Tub & Fire Pit

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $49,923ADR $295Occ ≈ 46%4.8★ (82)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Luxe New Build | Indoor Pool, Spa, Arcade, Firepit

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $130,734ADR $497Occ ≈ 72%4.8★ (53)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Heaven's Hill - Mountain Views & Hot Tub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $41,369ADR $351Occ ≈ 32%5★ (11)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Gatlinburg cabin, renovated 3 Brm, Sleeps 8, FP, Pool Table, Hot Tub, WIFI

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $45,745ADR $267Occ ≈ 47%4.8★ (254)

    Vrbo

  • Breathtaking Views - Keurig - Wifi - Hot Tub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 4.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $47,631ADR $329Occ ≈ 40%5★ (4)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Free Attractions, Gameroom, Hot Tub, Fireplace.

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $105,928ADR $438Occ ≈ 66%4.9★ (101)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Lone Wolf Lodge | Mtn Views + Hot Tub & Pool

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $78,753ADR $441Occ ≈ 49%4.8★ (54)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • *3BD Family Cabin with Hot Tub, Grill, and Pool!*

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $42,867ADR $223Occ ≈ 53%4.5★ (53)

    AirbnbVrbo

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 8.15% = 7.40% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 15) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$64,359

NOI

$34,328

Cash flow /mo

-$812

Cash needed

$216,320

Cash-on-cash

-4.5%

ROE (yr 1)

6.5%

Cap rate

5.2%

DSCR

0.78

Year-1 write-off

$144,622

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$46,279

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$9,746
  • Principal paydown$4,001
  • Appreciation at%$19,740
ROE6.5%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$12,872
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,931
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$3,218
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$1,932
  • Property tax$1,930
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$3,948

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$164,500
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$26,320
  • Furnishing (bought new)$25,500

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$46,279

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$505,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$119,000 · 24%

Year-1 deduction

$145,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$46,000

Land 23% (county tax record, market value split) · building $386,000 over 39 years · new furniture $26,000

Based on: 1,683 sq ft, built 1998, 3 bd / 3.5 ba, unfurnished, listing features (hot tub, deck, game room, fireplace, flooring types, appliance list).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $90,000 in year 1 (13% short-life, $29,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$87,900
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $9,500 new × 40% good × 3.02 allocation

    $11,500
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $7,800 new × 40% good × 3.02 allocation

    $9,400
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $2,900 new × 40% good × 3.02 allocation

    $3,600
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $500 new × 40% good × 3.02 allocation

    $500
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,200 new × 40% good × 3.02 allocation

    $1,500
  • Window coverings (17)default

    $4,300 new × 40% good × 3.02 allocation

    $5,100
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $7,400 new × 44% good × 3.02 allocation

    $9,800
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,500 new × 44% good × 3.02 allocation

    $5,900
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher)listing

    $3,500 new × 40% good × 3.02 allocation

    $4,200
  • Hot tub (freestanding)listing

    $9,000 new × 40% good × 3.02 allocation

    $10,900
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $19,500 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $19,500
  • Game-room equipment bought newlisting

    $6,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $6,000
15-year land improvements$56,300
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)listing

    $8,500 new × 50% good × 3.02 allocation

    $12,800
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $8,200 new × 50% good × 3.02 allocation

    $12,400
  • Patiosdefault

    $1,700 new × 50% good × 3.02 allocation

    $2,500
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $18,900 new × 50% good × 3.02 allocation

    $28,600
Building, 39-year$385,900
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $182,200 new × 53% good × 3.02 allocation

    $293,600
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $18,900 new × 44% good × 3.02 allocation

    $25,200
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $18,600 new × 44% good × 3.02 allocation

    $24,700
  • HVACdefault

    $19,000 new × 40% good × 3.02 allocation

    $22,900
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $10,800 new × 40% good × 3.02 allocation

    $13,100
  • Fireplaces (2)listing

    $5,300 new × 40% good × 3.02 allocation

    $6,400

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$87,900$56,300$400$144,600
2$0$0$9,900$9,900
3$0$0$9,900$9,900
4$0$0$9,900$9,900
5$0$0$9,900$9,900
6+$0$0$345,900$345,900
Total$87,900$56,300$385,900$530,100

The building's share of the price ($505,000) is 3.0x our depreciated replacement cost of the home ($167,000). The IRS guide treats a gap this size as a reason to review the land share: if land is worth more than the county ratio says, the basis and the write-off are smaller.

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

STR allowed in most of Sevier County; inside Gatlinburg city limits only in overnight-rental zones.