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Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

531 Gatlin Dr

531 Gatlin Dr

Gatlinburg, TN 37738

$935,000

5 bd · 3 ba · 2,808 sqft · Listed 5d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidenceNegative cash flow

Year built

2000

Sqft

2,808

Lot sqft

24,829

HOA / mo

None

Furnished

No

List date

2026-09-22T17:22:32Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$78,517

ADR

$351

Occupancy

61%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$11,865

Confidence

Low (37.28), 20 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$33,740$55,286$76,405
  • The Unforgettable Cabin

    5 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 13 ft

    Revenue —ADR $428Occ ≈ —5★ (120)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • New to us! | Pool Table, Grassy Yard | Sleeps 14

    5 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 14 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue —ADR $328Occ ≈ ——

    Airbnb

  • Cabin Close To Downtown Gatlinburg,National park!

    5 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 14 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue —ADR $526Occ ≈ —4.2★ (24)

    Airbnb

  • Eagles Point Lodge

    5 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 16 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue —ADR $688Occ ≈ —4.4★ (6)

    —

  • Hot Tub | Game Room | Sleeps 14 | Pet Friendly

    5 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 14 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue —ADR $444Occ ≈ —4.1★ (103)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 5BR w/deck & free attraction tickets, near dwtn

    5 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue —ADR $493Occ ≈ ——

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Luxury Cabin: Mini-Golf-Firepit-Game Room

    5 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue —ADR $472Occ ≈ —5★ (130)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Cubs Crossing by American Patriot Getaways

    5 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue —ADR $300Occ ≈ ——

    —

  • Closer to Home by Venture Smoky Mountains

    5 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 14 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue —ADR $415Occ ≈ —4.5★ (16)

    —

  • 5 STAR Wheelchair-friendly Smokies 6mn Gatlinburg

    5 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue —ADR $450Occ ≈ —5★ (45)

    AirbnbVrbo

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Term

Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$78,517

NOI

$43,547

Cash flow /mo

-$1,409

Cash needed

$297,650

Cash-on-cash

-5.7%

ROE (yr 1)

5.8%

Cap rate

4.7%

DSCR

0.72

Year-1 write-off

$189,931

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$60,778

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$16,913
  • Principal paydown$6,119
  • Appreciation at%$28,050
ROE5.8%
ROE incl. year-1 tax savings (32% bracket, STR loophole)26.2%
Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$15,703
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$2,356
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$3,926
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$3,175
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$5,610

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$233,750
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$37,400
  • Furnishing (bought new)$26,500

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$60,778

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$836,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$161,000 · 19%

Year-1 deduction

$190,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$61,000

Land 11% (county tax record, market value split) · building $674,000 over 39 years · new furniture $27,000

Based on: 2,808 sq ft, built 2000, 5 bd / 3 ba, unfurnished, listing features (hot tub, deck, fireplace, flooring types, wooded lot).

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $108,000 in year 1 (9% short-life, $35,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$111,700
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $12,000 new × 40% good × 3.00 allocation

    $14,400
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $9,800 new × 40% good × 3.00 allocation

    $11,800
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $4,900 new × 40% good × 3.00 allocation

    $5,900
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $500 new × 40% good × 3.00 allocation

    $500
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,800 new × 40% good × 3.00 allocation

    $2,200
  • Window coverings (28)default

    $7,000 new × 40% good × 3.00 allocation

    $8,400
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $9,300 new × 48% good × 3.00 allocation

    $13,400
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $5,600 new × 48% good × 3.00 allocation

    $8,100
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, disposal, refrigerator, washer, dryer)default

    $8,100 new × 40% good × 3.00 allocation

    $9,700
  • Hot tub (freestanding)listing

    $9,000 new × 40% good × 3.00 allocation

    $10,800
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $26,500 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $26,500
15-year land improvements$76,100
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $11,000 new × 50% good × 3.00 allocation

    $16,500
  • Landscaping (minimal)listing

    $5,300 new × 50% good × 3.00 allocation

    $7,900
  • Patiosdefault

    $2,800 new × 50% good × 3.00 allocation

    $4,200
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $31,600 new × 50% good × 3.00 allocation

    $47,500
Building, 39-year$674,400
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $304,600 new × 57% good × 3.00 allocation

    $518,500
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $31,700 new × 48% good × 3.00 allocation

    $45,600
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $32,900 new × 48% good × 3.00 allocation

    $47,400
  • HVACdefault

    $31,600 new × 40% good × 3.00 allocation

    $38,000
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $18,100 new × 40% good × 3.00 allocation

    $21,700
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 3.00 allocation

    $3,200

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$111,700$76,100$2,200$189,900
2$0$0$17,300$17,300
3$0$0$17,300$17,300
4$0$0$17,300$17,300
5$0$0$17,300$17,300
6+$0$0$603,100$603,100
Total$111,700$76,100$674,400$862,200

The building's share of the price ($836,000) is 3.0x our depreciated replacement cost of the home ($278,000). The IRS guide treats a gap this size as a reason to review the land share: if land is worth more than the county ratio says, the basis and the write-off are smaller.

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: Georgia disallows bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

STR allowed in most of Sevier County; inside Gatlinburg city limits only in overnight-rental zones.