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Rate 7.93% = 7.18% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Nov 5) + 0.75% investor premium

2123 Windy Ln

2123 Windy Ln

Sevierville, TN 37876

$667,900

3 bd · 3 ba · 2,038 sqft · Listed 49d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Negative cash flow

Year built

2024

Sqft

2,038

Lot sqft

14,375

HOA / mo

None

Furnished

No

List date

2026-09-24T18:22:26.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$58,412

ADR

$267

Occupancy

60%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$9,519

Confidence

Med (54.61), 50 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$37,026$53,926$72,523

Median revenue of shown comps: $51,662

  • Smoky Views • Hot Tub • Mins to Dollywood • EV

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +7

    Revenue $104,128ADR $409Occ ≈ 70%5★ (133)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Misty Pine View

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +6

    Revenue $50,340ADR $307Occ ≈ 45%5★ (100)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Sully's Mountain Cabin Retreat

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +6

    Revenue $72,597ADR $329Occ ≈ 60%5★ (352)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Sweet Bearoline by American Patriot Getaways

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $69,126ADR $274Occ ≈ 69%—

    Booking

  • Heaven's Retreat - Great views, hot tub, and more!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +5

    Revenue $64,262ADR $324Occ ≈ 54%4.8★ (25)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Homey Cabin, Sleeps 8, Hot Tub, Theater, Games, Vi

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +5

    Revenue $73,149ADR $348Occ ≈ 58%4.3★ (24)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Cowboys Trail: Views, Resort Pool + Air Hockey

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $59,544ADR $345Occ ≈ 47%2.5★ (4)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 3BR Mountainview Cabin | Free Attraction Tickets

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $39,594ADR $295Occ ≈ 37%4.3★ (187)

    AirbnbBooking

  • 3 Bed - Pool Table, Hot Tub, Views, Dollywood!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +6

    Revenue $63,090ADR $324Occ ≈ 53%5★ (244)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Cabin- Hot Tub, Games & Sunset Views. Near Dolly

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +6

    Revenue $45,911ADR $276Occ ≈ 46%4.8★ (109)

    AirbnbVrbo

Show 36 more
  • Away From It All by American Patriot Getaways

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $105,420ADR $324Occ ≈ 89%—

    Booking

  • The Good Place

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +5

    Revenue $42,164ADR $253Occ ≈ 46%4.7★ (10)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • The Good Place

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $36,745ADR $216Occ ≈ 47%5★ (2)

    Booking

  • 3BR Sevierville Cabin-Deck, Hot Tub & Free Tickets

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $38,909ADR $195Occ ≈ 55%4★ (41)

    Airbnb

  • Sleepy Hollow, FREE Dollywood ticket & more, secluded 2BR2BA, game loft, hot tub, covered porch

    Chalet · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $41,131ADR $162Occ ≈ 70%5★ (1)

    Booking

  • Secluded~Fire Pit~Hot Tub~Dog Allowed~Epic Lights!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +4

    Revenue $49,896ADR $253Occ ≈ 54%5★ (88)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • 10 Min Dollywood,Gatlinburg Natl Park,Hot Tub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $38,420ADR $257Occ ≈ 41%5★ (1)

    Delisted

  • ROD RUN! Breathtaking View,Hot Tub, Pet Friendly,9.8🌟 Rated

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +5

    Revenue $42,940ADR $223Occ ≈ 53%4.9★ (159)

    Vrbo

  • Dogwood Hideaway

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $54,868ADR $0Occ ≈ —5★ (2)

    Airbnb

  • Dogwood Hideaway

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $23,450ADR $0Occ ≈ ——

    Booking

  • Dogwood Hideaway: Semi-Secluded, Hot Tub + Arcade

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $24,883ADR $297Occ ≈ 23%5★ (6)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Million Dollar Views • Hot Tub • Pool • Game Room

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +5

    Revenue $72,656ADR $332Occ ≈ 60%5★ (88)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Bear Creek Hollow, FREE Dollywood ticket & more! 2 King bedrooms and loft w hot tub, game room WiFi

    Chalet · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $25,163ADR $156Occ ≈ 44%5★ (1)

    Booking

  • Mountain Laurel #315

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $26,257ADR $163Occ ≈ 44%—

    Booking

  • Cozy 3-Bedroom Cabin with Wood-Burning Fireplace,

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $34,845ADR $191Occ ≈ 50%3.9★ (7)

    Airbnb

  • Perfect Getaway| AmazingViews, HotTub & Billiards!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +8

    Revenue $71,202ADR $318Occ ≈ 61%5★ (191)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Barefootin 2: DogFriendly • HotTub • FreeDollywoodTkt

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +4

    Revenue $37,976ADR $235Occ ≈ 44%4.3★ (38)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 4 Mi to Dollywood! Family Escape w/ Air Hockey!

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $3,771ADR $235Occ ≈ 4%4★ (1)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Private log home minutes to PF & Gatlinburg HOTTUB

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +4

    Revenue $72,299ADR $245Occ ≈ 81%5★ (335)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Top of the Mountain Getaway (Close to Dollywood)

    House · 3 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $68,477ADR $383Occ ≈ 49%5★ (38)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Big Bear Retreat - Foosball Table & Indoor Jetted

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $25,778ADR $344Occ ≈ 21%3.7★ (29)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Don't miss the Breathtaking Views from this Cabin

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.5 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +5

    Revenue $87,284ADR $317Occ ≈ 75%4.5★ (124)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Hidden Vineyard

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.5 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $36,172ADR $302Occ ≈ 33%4.7★ (13)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Hidden Vineyard

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $37,870ADR $276Occ ≈ 38%—

    Booking

  • Secluded 3 bed 2 full bath game room and hot tub

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.5 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +5

    Revenue $30,367ADR $231Occ ≈ 36%4.9★ (67)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Cozy 3BD Cabin w/ MOVIE Room! Sauna + HOT TUB!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.6 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +6

    Revenue $78,475ADR $272Occ ≈ 79%4.5★ (47)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Lux cabin retreat best location!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.6 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +7

    Revenue $75,055ADR $341Occ ≈ 60%4.9★ (53)

    Airbnb

  • Ridgetop VIEWS! Arcade+Hot Tub+Fire Pit+Privacy

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.6 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +5

    Revenue $98,429ADR $324Occ ≈ 83%5★ (257)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • A Great Escape: Mountain Views & Resort Pool

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.6 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $52,984ADR $356Occ ≈ 41%4.2★ (9)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Mountain Vista Lodge MINI, 2 Master Suites, Close

    House · 3 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.6 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +5

    Revenue $65,840ADR $322Occ ≈ 56%5★ (15)

    Airbnb

  • Peekin' Over Pigeon Forge

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.6 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +5

    Revenue $26,305ADR $279Occ ≈ 26%4.8★ (4)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Peekin' Over Pigeon Forge | By Colonial Properties

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $71,997ADR $305Occ ≈ 65%4.8★ (9)

    Airbnb

  • Altitude Adjustment | Hot Tub + Pet-Friendly

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.7 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +4

    Revenue $62,863ADR $255Occ ≈ 68%4.7★ (102)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Scenic Hideaway | VIEWS+Privacy+Hot Tub+Game Room

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.7 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +5

    Revenue $82,132ADR $256Occ ≈ 88%4.8★ (290)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Serene cabin with gorgeous panoramic views

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.7 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +5

    Revenue $58,441ADR $252Occ ≈ 64%4.8★ (331)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • EaglesParadise: DogFriendly • HotTub • DollywoodTkct

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.7 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +5

    Revenue $22,769ADR $253Occ ≈ 25%4.2★ (15)

    AirbnbVrbo

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 7.93% = 7.18% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Nov 5) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$58,412

NOI

$31,255

Cash flow /mo

-$1,047

Cash needed

$213,191

Cash-on-cash

-5.9%

ROE (yr 1)

5.5%

Cap rate

4.7%

DSCR

0.71

Year-1 write-off

$156,300

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$50,016

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$12,559
  • Principal paydown$4,243
  • Appreciation at%$20,037
ROE5.5%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$11,682
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,752
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$2,921
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$2,594
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$4,007

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$166,975
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$26,716
  • Furnishing (bought new)$19,500

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$50,016

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$623,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$135,000 · 22%

Year-1 deduction

$156,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$50,000

Land 7% (county tax record, market value split) · building $488,000 over 39 years · new furniture $20,000

Based on: 2,038 sq ft, built 2024, 3 bd / 3 ba, unfurnished, listing features (hot tub, deck, fireplace, stone counters, flooring types, appliance list, septic, wooded lot).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $86,000 in year 1 (10% short-life, $27,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$98,600
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $10,300 new × 92% good × 1.59 allocation

    $15,000
  • Kitchen countertops (stone)listing

    $10,500 new × 92% good × 1.59 allocation

    $15,400
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $3,600 new × 92% good × 1.59 allocation

    $5,200
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $500 new × 83% good × 1.59 allocation

    $600
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,200 new × 92% good × 1.59 allocation

    $1,800
  • Window coverings (20)default

    $5,000 new × 80% good × 1.59 allocation

    $6,400
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $8,000 new × 96% good × 1.59 allocation

    $12,200
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,800 new × 96% good × 1.59 allocation

    $7,400
  • Appliances (range, dishwasher)listing

    $2,800 new × 83% good × 1.59 allocation

    $3,700
  • Hot tub (freestanding)listing

    $9,000 new × 80% good × 1.59 allocation

    $11,500
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $19,500 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $19,500
15-year land improvements$56,100
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $9,400 new × 92% good × 1.59 allocation

    $13,700
  • Landscaping (minimal)listing

    $4,500 new × 92% good × 1.59 allocation

    $6,600
  • Patiosdefault

    $2,000 new × 92% good × 1.59 allocation

    $2,900
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $22,900 new × 90% good × 1.59 allocation

    $32,900
Building, 39-year$487,900
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $221,000 new × 97% good × 1.59 allocation

    $340,200
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $22,900 new × 96% good × 1.59 allocation

    $35,100
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $23,100 new × 96% good × 1.59 allocation

    $35,300
  • HVACdefault

    $23,000 new × 90% good × 1.59 allocation

    $32,900
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $13,100 new × 92% good × 1.59 allocation

    $19,200
  • Fireplaces (2)listing

    $5,300 new × 92% good × 1.59 allocation

    $7,700
  • Septic systemlisting

    $12,000 new × 92% good × 1.59 allocation

    $17,600

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$98,600$56,100$1,600$156,300
2$0$0$12,500$12,500
3$0$0$12,500$12,500
4$0$0$12,500$12,500
5$0$0$12,500$12,500
6+$0$0$436,300$436,300
Total$98,600$56,100$487,900$642,700

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

STR allowed in most of Sevier County; inside Gatlinburg city limits only in overnight-rental zones.