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Rate 7.99% = 7.24% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 29) + 0.75% investor premium

2845 Grassy Branch Rd

2845 Grassy Branch Rd

Sevierville, TN 37876

$600,000

3 bd · 3 ba · 1,670 sqft · Listed today

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidenceNegative cash flow

Year built

2007

Sqft

1,670

Lot sqft

62,726

HOA / mo

None

Furnished

No

List date

2026-10-31T03:42:54.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$63,565

ADR

$287

Occupancy

61%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$11,403

Confidence

Low (32.8), 30 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$32,794$58,708$73,922

Median revenue of shown comps: $56,312

  • Sassafras Lodge by Staycating Partners

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 308 ft

    Revenue $17,461ADR $356Occ ≈ 13%—

    Booking

  • Grassy Branch Retreat

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 345 ft

    Revenue $773ADR $386Occ ≈ 1%—

    Delisted

  • 3BR Cabin w/ Hot Tub & Arcade | Dollywood Nearby!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 407 ft

    Revenue $4,952ADR $231Occ ≈ 6%—

    Airbnb

  • Secluded cabin w views! Game Room & FREE TIX!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $73,395ADR $258Occ ≈ 78%4.8★ (110)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Private Indoor Saltwater Pool Retreat.

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +5

    Revenue $125,001ADR $507Occ ≈ 68%5★ (127)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Indoor Pool • Spa • Game Room | Smoky Mtn Cabin

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +5

    Revenue $47,887ADR $446Occ ≈ 29%5★ (3)

    Airbnb

  • Cozy Hideaway Cabin w/ Hot Tub & Fire Pit

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $59,536ADR $316Occ ≈ 52%4★ (1)

    Delisted

  • Foxtrot Retreat-New Luxury Smoky Mountain Cabin!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $5,526ADR $325Occ ≈ 5%5★ (1)

    Airbnb

  • Rustic Elegance, Location, Views, Game Room

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.5 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $73,903ADR $276Occ ≈ 73%5★ (306)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Timberland Reserve

    Cabin · 3 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $875ADR $291Occ ≈ 1%—

    Delisted

Show 13 more
  • Timberland Reserve

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $65,300ADR $1,136Occ ≈ 16%—

    Booking

  • Cozy Hideaway Cabin w/ Hot Tub & Fire Pit

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $65,950ADR $287Occ ≈ 63%4.2★ (7)

    Airbnb

  • Luxury 3BR Cabin w/ Hot Tub

    House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $56,312ADR $277Occ ≈ 56%4.9★ (71)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • The Hideaway at Grassy Branch

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.6 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +5

    Revenue $49,432ADR $295Occ ≈ 46%5★ (28)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • River Memories -On the Little Pigeon River!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.6 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +5

    Revenue $73,940ADR $336Occ ≈ 60%4.9★ (39)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Blissful Panoramic Smoky View

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.6 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +5

    Revenue $37,924ADR $254Occ ≈ 41%4.9★ (69)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Mountain Bliss | Hot Tub | Views | Billiards

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $64,360ADR $279Occ ≈ 63%4.8★ (9)

    Delisted

  • Secluded Cabin w/ Hot Tub - Billiards - Porch

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $17,399ADR $290Occ ≈ 16%4.5★ (14)

    Airbnb

  • Peaceful 7-Acre Escape: Hot Tub & Scenic Views

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $87,179ADR $306Occ ≈ 78%5★ (82)

    Airbnb

  • Indoor Pool + HotTub | Game Room + Movie Room | Smokies | Majestic Springs Lodge

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $50,277ADR $504Occ ≈ 27%5★ (1)

    VrboBooking

  • Hills Hideaway

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $58,708ADR $190Occ ≈ 85%—

    Booking

  • *NEW* MODERN MOUNTAIN HOME // HAWKS HAVEN

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.7 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $61,075ADR $249Occ ≈ 67%5★ (142)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • StunningAreawithFreetickets2Dolly,Anakees,Aquarium,&More22,Indoorjacuzzi,hottub,bumperpool,Gatlinbu

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $36,547ADR $238Occ ≈ 42%—

    Booking

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 7.99% = 7.24% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 29) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$63,565

NOI

$35,984

Cash flow /mo

-$300

Cash needed

$193,500

Cash-on-cash

-1.9%

ROE (yr 1)

9.4%

Cap rate

6.0%

DSCR

0.91

Year-1 write-off

$126,070

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$40,342

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$3,602
  • Principal paydown$3,767
  • Appreciation at%$18,000
ROE9.4%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$12,713
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,907
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$3,178
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$1,983
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$3,600

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$150,000
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$24,000
  • Furnishing (bought new)$19,500

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$40,342

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$572,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$106,000 · 19%

Year-1 deduction

$126,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$40,000

Land 5% (county tax record, market value split) · building $466,000 over 39 years · new furniture $20,000

Based on: 1,670 sq ft, built 2007, 3 bd / 3 ba, unfurnished, listing features (deck, fireplace, flooring types, appliance list, septic).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $75,000 in year 1 (10% short-life, $24,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$73,400
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $9,500 new × 40% good × 2.82 allocation

    $10,700
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $7,700 new × 40% good × 2.82 allocation

    $8,700
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $2,900 new × 40% good × 2.82 allocation

    $3,300
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $500 new × 40% good × 2.82 allocation

    $500
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,200 new × 40% good × 2.82 allocation

    $1,400
  • Window coverings (17)default

    $4,300 new × 40% good × 2.82 allocation

    $4,800
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $7,400 new × 62% good × 2.82 allocation

    $12,900
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,400 new × 62% good × 2.82 allocation

    $7,800
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher)listing

    $3,500 new × 40% good × 2.82 allocation

    $3,900
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $19,500 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $19,500
15-year land improvements$52,200
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $8,500 new × 50% good × 2.82 allocation

    $11,900
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $8,200 new × 50% good × 2.82 allocation

    $11,500
  • Patiosdefault

    $1,600 new × 50% good × 2.82 allocation

    $2,300
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $18,800 new × 50% good × 2.82 allocation

    $26,500
Building, 39-year$466,200
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $180,800 new × 68% good × 2.82 allocation

    $348,000
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $18,800 new × 62% good × 2.82 allocation

    $32,800
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $18,400 new × 62% good × 2.82 allocation

    $32,200
  • HVACdefault

    $18,800 new × 40% good × 2.82 allocation

    $21,200
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $10,700 new × 40% good × 2.82 allocation

    $12,100
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 2.82 allocation

    $3,000
  • Septic systemlisting

    $12,000 new × 50% good × 2.82 allocation

    $16,900

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$73,400$52,200$500$126,100
2$0$0$12,000$12,000
3$0$0$12,000$12,000
4$0$0$12,000$12,000
5$0$0$12,000$12,000
6+$0$0$417,900$417,900
Total$73,400$52,200$466,200$591,700

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

STR allowed in most of Sevier County; inside Gatlinburg city limits only in overnight-rental zones.