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Rate 8.03% = 7.28% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 1) + 0.75% investor premium

1515 Bluff Ridge Rd

1515 Bluff Ridge Rd

Sevierville, TN 37876

$700,000

3 bd · 2 ba · 1,975 sqft · Listed today

View on Realtor.com →
Negative cash flow

Year built

2006

Sqft

1,975

Lot sqft

30,928

HOA / mo

$0

Furnished

No

List date

2026-10-06T00:40:01.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$64,583

ADR

$310

Occupancy

57%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$10,810

Confidence

Med (58.85), 50 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$41,826$61,378$74,364

Median revenue of shown comps: $54,221Checking amenities for 41 listings…

  • 3BR Smoky Mountain Cabin | Hot Tub & Dollywood

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 144 ft

    Revenue $40,645ADR $217Occ ≈ 51%4.9★ (49)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Laughing Bear - Soak & Sway Surrounded by Trees

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 184 ft

    Revenue $41,706ADR $319Occ ≈ 36%4.7★ (13)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Family Retreat Near Dollywood | Hot Tub + Arcade

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 256 ft

    Revenue $107,927ADR $471Occ ≈ 63%4.9★ (193)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Cozy Getaway, Hot Tub, Games, Quiet Location

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 390 ft

    Revenue $36,583ADR $224Occ ≈ 45%4.8★ (253)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Bear Creek - 3 Bedrooms

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $36,956ADR $286Occ ≈ 35%4.8★ (24)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • EZRoads/Private hottub/CoffeeBar/ArcadeGme/KingBds

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $34,961ADR $294Occ ≈ 33%5★ (30)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • A Walk in the Woods 3- Fall special rates

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $35,682ADR $240Occ ≈ 41%4.8★ (299)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Bear Paw Hideaway Hot Tub Theater Multicade

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $72,635ADR $308Occ ≈ 65%5★ (1)

    Booking

  • Bear Paw Hideaway w/ Hot Tub & Game Room

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $69,326ADR $288Occ ≈ 66%4.5★ (47)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Amazing views! Log cabin/ new hot tub/ huge porch

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $50,176ADR $258Occ ≈ 53%5★ (268)

    AirbnbVrbo

Show 25 more
  • Honey Dreams

    Chalet · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $54,260ADR $191Occ ≈ 78%5★ (1)

    Booking

  • A Walk in the Woods- 3 bed 2 bath cabin!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $46,932ADR $219Occ ≈ 59%4.8★ (357)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Experience serenity near entertainment, stay at ou

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $42,186ADR $216Occ ≈ 54%4.8★ (144)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Pinecone Hideaway

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $63,076ADR $337Occ ≈ 51%—

    Booking

  • Key Bluff Unlock Your Mountain Escape

    Chalet · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $66,216ADR $384Occ ≈ 47%5★ (2)

    Booking

  • Heavenly Splash Dive Into Paradise

    Chalet · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $86,056ADR $364Occ ≈ 65%—

    Booking

  • Chic Cabin w/ MountainView & HOT Tub PRIME Locatio

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $31,118ADR $288Occ ≈ 30%4.8★ (82)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Heated Pool, Hot Tub, Game Room & Movie Area

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $28,500ADR $410Occ ≈ 19%5★ (16)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Tranquil Haven - Cabin Retreat - Spring Sale

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $68,138ADR $329Occ ≈ 57%5★ (36)

    Airbnb

  • Sugar Bear Run: Secluded Mountain Views & Games

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $97,010ADR $389Occ ≈ 68%4.8★ (8)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Book your Fall Break trip now!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $60,044ADR $288Occ ≈ 57%4.9★ (135)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Hot tub, easy drive, mountain view, 3BR, games!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $101,504ADR $408Occ ≈ 68%4.8★ (24)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Specials! Hot Tub, Mini Putt, Game Room & Fire Pit

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $68,764ADR $334Occ ≈ 56%4.8★ (32)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Little Bear! Hot Tub, Putt Putt, Game Room & Fun!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $42,722ADR $252Occ ≈ 46%4.8★ (14)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Mt. view 3-bedroom cabin close to attractions w/ WiFi, new Hot Tub, hanging bed

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $54,221ADR $288Occ ≈ 52%5★ (4)

    Vrbo

  • Sleeps 10-Gameroom-HotTub-Wi-fi-Pool membership

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $66,903ADR $417Occ ≈ 44%5★ (255)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Bearadise 4 Us by American Patriot Getaways

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $85,810ADR $347Occ ≈ 68%—

    Booking

  • Scenic Resort with Easy Access Roads

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $56,547ADR $299Occ ≈ 52%4★ (2)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 3BR Cabin | Arcade, Volleyball, & Huge Yard

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $88,977ADR $337Occ ≈ 72%5★ (5)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Smoky Mountain Cabin 4 Miles From Pigeon Forge

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $53,714ADR $194Occ ≈ 76%4.8★ (221)

    Airbnb

  • Family-friendly; Convenient w/ so many amenities!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $49,547ADR $363Occ ≈ 37%4.9★ (168)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Deer Crossing by Venture Smoky Mountains

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $88,973ADR $303Occ ≈ 80%—

    Booking

  • Nestled by Venture Smoky Mountains

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $45,181ADR $220Occ ≈ 56%3.2★ (2)

    Booking

  • Hot Tub, Fireplace, Screened balcony, Grill - Log Cabin near Pigeon Forge

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $38,966ADR $304Occ ≈ 35%5★ (318)

    Vrbo

  • Hot Tub, Fireplace, Screened balcony, Grill - Log

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $32,676ADR $224Occ ≈ 40%5★ (1)

    AirbnbVrbo

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 8.03% = 7.28% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 1) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$64,583

NOI

$35,505

Cash flow /mo

-$905

Cash needed

$228,500

Cash-on-cash

-4.8%

ROE (yr 1)

6.3%

Cap rate

5.1%

DSCR

0.77

Year-1 write-off

$131,528

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$42,089

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$10,854
  • Principal paydown$4,360
  • Appreciation at%$21,000
ROE6.3%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$12,917
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,937
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$3,229
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$2,595
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$4,200

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$175,000
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$28,000
  • Furnishing (bought new)$25,500

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$42,089

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$643,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$105,000 · 16%

Year-1 deduction

$132,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$42,000

Land 8% (county tax record, market value split) · building $537,000 over 39 years · new furniture $26,000

Based on: 1,975 sq ft, built 2006, 3 bd / 2 ba, unfurnished, listing features (hot tub, game room, fireplace, flooring types, appliance list, septic, wooded lot).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $102,000 in year 1 (12% short-life, $33,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$105,900
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $10,100 new × 40% good × 2.86 allocation

    $11,600
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $8,300 new × 40% good × 2.86 allocation

    $9,500
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $3,500 new × 40% good × 2.86 allocation

    $3,900
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $300 new × 40% good × 2.86 allocation

    $300
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,200 new × 40% good × 2.86 allocation

    $1,400
  • Window coverings (20)default

    $5,000 new × 40% good × 2.86 allocation

    $5,700
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (50% of floors)listing

    $6,400 new × 40% good × 2.86 allocation

    $7,300
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $7,900 new × 60% good × 2.86 allocation

    $13,500
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,800 new × 60% good × 2.86 allocation

    $8,200
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, refrigerator, washer, dryer)listing

    $7,700 new × 40% good × 2.86 allocation

    $8,800
  • Hot tub (freestanding)listing

    $9,000 new × 40% good × 2.86 allocation

    $10,300
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $19,500 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $19,500
  • Game-room equipment bought newlisting

    $6,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $6,000
15-year land improvements$25,000
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $9,200 new × 50% good × 2.86 allocation

    $13,200
  • Landscaping (minimal)listing

    $4,400 new × 50% good × 2.86 allocation

    $6,300
  • Patiosdefault

    $2,000 new × 50% good × 2.86 allocation

    $2,800
  • Decks & porches (attached)default

    $2,000 new × 50% good × 2.86 allocation

    $2,800
Building, 39-year$537,100
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $214,300 new × 67% good × 2.86 allocation

    $407,900
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $22,200 new × 60% good × 2.86 allocation

    $38,100
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $22,300 new × 60% good × 2.86 allocation

    $38,200
  • HVACdefault

    $22,200 new × 40% good × 2.86 allocation

    $25,400
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $6,400 new × 40% good × 2.86 allocation

    $7,300
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 2.86 allocation

    $3,000
  • Septic systemlisting

    $12,000 new × 50% good × 2.86 allocation

    $17,100

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$105,900$25,000$600$131,500
2$0$0$13,800$13,800
3$0$0$13,800$13,800
4$0$0$13,800$13,800
5$0$0$13,800$13,800
6+$0$0$481,400$481,400
Total$105,900$25,000$537,100$668,000

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

STR allowed in most of Sevier County; inside Gatlinburg city limits only in overnight-rental zones.