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Rate 7.93% = 7.18% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Nov 5) + 0.75% investor premium

4658 Nottingham Heights Way

4658 Nottingham Heights Way

Pigeon Forge, TN 37863

$849,900

4 bd · 3 ba · 2,340 sqft · Listed 3d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Negative cash flow

Year built

2005

Sqft

2,340

Lot sqft

436

HOA / mo

$150

Furnished

No

List date

2026-11-09T16:52:19.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$71,470

ADR

$313

Occupancy

63%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$11,613

Confidence

Low (44.5), 48 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$35,575$63,360$91,189

Median revenue of shown comps: $64,446

  • Monte Cristo Cabin

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 112 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +6

    Revenue $89,794ADR $426Occ ≈ 58%4.9★ (150)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Winter DISCOUNTED!Mountain VIEWS! HOT TUB! Theater!, !Near DOLLYWOOD

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 135 ft

    Revenue $75,589ADR $359Occ ≈ 58%5★ (274)

    Delisted

  • 🔹Mt LeConte View🔹King Beds🔹Theater🔹Hot Tub🔹Arcade🔹Near Parkway 🔹5⭐️

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 249 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +6

    Revenue $91,189ADR $334Occ ≈ 75%5★ (156)

    Vrbo

  • The Cats' Lair: Spectacular Views, Hot Tub, Wifi, Game Room, Resort Pool

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 345 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +5

    Revenue $12,213ADR $429Occ ≈ 8%—

    Vrbo

  • TheCats'Lair: Views*HotTub*Wifi*Games*Resort Pool

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 354 ft

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $16,518ADR $554Occ ≈ 8%—

    Airbnb

  • Turkey Knob

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 509 ft

    Revenue $39,043ADR $537Occ ≈ 20%5★ (24)

    AirbnbBooking

  • New! Mtn. Views | Theater | Fire Pit | 3 Kings

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 509 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +5

    Revenue $61,008ADR $494Occ ≈ 34%5★ (17)

    Airbnb

  • 4BR cabin w/Free Attraction Tickets, hot tub, pool

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 525 ft

    Revenue $24,523ADR $416Occ ≈ 16%4★ (39)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Lovely Cabin, Sleep 12, Mtn Views, Hot Tub, Firepl

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +6

    Revenue $92,014ADR $368Occ ≈ 69%4.8★ (34)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Mountain View Theater Lodge: Views, Theater, Games

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +5

    Revenue $106,488ADR $484Occ ≈ 60%4.2★ (146)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

Show 26 more
  • Theater, Hot Tub, Game Room, Sleeps 12 + Free Tix

    House · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +5

    Revenue $35,575ADR $427Occ ≈ 23%—

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Location! 4 Kings, Hot Tub, Theater, Game Room!

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +5

    Revenue $79,294ADR $379Occ ≈ 57%4.9★ (236)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Views for Days, Theater, Hot Tub, EV Charger

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +7

    Revenue $115,531ADR $543Occ ≈ 58%5★ (158)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 1.9 Mi to Parkway・Rustic Getaway・Hot Tub・Dog Ok!

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +6

    Revenue $53,414ADR $350Occ ≈ 42%4.6★ (14)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Peaceful, King Beds, Game Room, Hot tub, theater!

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +5

    Revenue $92,080ADR $408Occ ≈ 62%4.8★ (151)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Beavers Mountaintop Retreat - Private Pool, Theater Room, Pool Table, + Outdoor Hot Tub

    Vacation home · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $93,769ADR $431Occ ≈ 60%—

    Booking

  • Rustic 4BR Dog Friendly | Pool | Hot Tub

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 13 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $11,939ADR $413Occ ≈ 8%4.2★ (79)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Peaceful cabin in a gated community & private hot

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +5

    Revenue $73,040ADR $336Occ ≈ 60%4.4★ (18)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Sugar Bear Cabin

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +4

    Revenue $53,577ADR $349Occ ≈ 42%4.8★ (14)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Luxury Smokey Mountain Cabin

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +7

    Revenue $65,901ADR $249Occ ≈ 73%4.6★ (380)

    Vrbo

  • Peaceful 4BR Mountainview, Free Attraction Tickets

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $21,897ADR $409Occ ≈ 15%4.5★ (135)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Hot Tub Retreat | Mountain Views & Cozy Stay

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +6

    Revenue $48,753ADR $413Occ ≈ 32%5★ (8)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Rustic 4BR Dog Friendly | Pool | Hot Tub

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 13 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $1,331ADR $393Occ ≈ 1%4.7★ (3)

    Delisted

  • Sugar Bear Cabin with Hot Tub and Fire Pit

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $52,811ADR $245Occ ≈ 59%—

    Delisted

  • Livin' the Good Life

    House · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +6

    Revenue $75,444ADR $344Occ ≈ 60%4.9★ (274)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Pigeon Forge|Pool·Hot Tub|Game&Theater Rm·Pets·EV

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +7

    Revenue $99,967ADR $358Occ ≈ 77%5★ (284)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • SmokyMtnViews • Hot Tub • FirePit • Near Dollywood

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +5

    Revenue $29,395ADR $368Occ ≈ 22%4.7★ (97)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Big Bear Plunge

    Vacation home · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $2,577ADR $436Occ ≈ 2%—

    Booking

  • Location-Hot tub-Theatre Room-recently updated

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 11 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $62,991ADR $437Occ ≈ 39%5★ (2)

    Airbnb

  • Contentment - Mountain Views, Pool Table, Hot Tub

    Chalet · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $69,634ADR $369Occ ≈ 52%4.5★ (33)

    Airbnb

  • 4br,3Bth,Mountain View’s with hot tub, Pool

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +7

    Revenue $10,747ADR $541Occ ≈ 5%5★ (2)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Mountain View Cabin w/ Hot Tub, Theater & Pool

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 11 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +6

    Revenue $83,619ADR $378Occ ≈ 61%4.8★ (38)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Birchwood Lodge by Avada Properties

    Vacation home · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $117,310ADR $377Occ ≈ 85%—

    Booking

  • Mountain View Cabin w/ Hot Tub, Theater & Pool

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 11 · 0.5 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +6

    Revenue $106,703ADR $390Occ ≈ 75%5★ (3)

    Vrbo

  • Secluded|5 Min to Twn|Game Rm|Kid-Friendly Escape

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.6 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $148,398ADR $481Occ ≈ 85%5★ (243)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Hidden Ranch

    House · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $13,619ADR $452Occ ≈ 8%4.3★ (13)

    Delisted

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 7.93% = 7.18% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Nov 5) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$71,470

NOI

$37,174

Cash flow /mo

-$1,548

Cash needed

$269,471

Cash-on-cash

-6.9%

ROE (yr 1)

4.6%

Cap rate

4.4%

DSCR

0.67

Year-1 write-off

$163,659

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$52,371

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$18,580
  • Principal paydown$5,399
  • Appreciation at%$25,497
ROE4.6%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$14,294
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$2,144
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$3,574
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$1,800
  • Property tax$3,185
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$5,099

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$212,475
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$33,996
  • Furnishing (bought new)$23,000

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$52,371

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$731,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$140,000 · 19%

Year-1 deduction

$164,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$52,000

Land 14% (county tax record, market value split) · building $591,000 over 39 years · new furniture $23,000

Based on: 2,340 sq ft, built 2005, 4 bd / 3 ba, unfurnished, listing features (hot tub, deck, fireplace, stone counters, flooring types, appliance list).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $96,000 in year 1 (10% short-life, $31,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$96,400
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $10,900 new × 40% good × 2.76 allocation

    $12,100
  • Kitchen countertops (stone)listing

    $11,200 new × 40% good × 2.76 allocation

    $12,300
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $4,100 new × 40% good × 2.76 allocation

    $4,500
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $500 new × 40% good × 2.76 allocation

    $500
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,500 new × 40% good × 2.76 allocation

    $1,700
  • Window coverings (23)default

    $5,800 new × 40% good × 2.76 allocation

    $6,300
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $8,500 new × 58% good × 2.76 allocation

    $13,600
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $5,100 new × 58% good × 2.76 allocation

    $8,200
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, disposal)listing

    $3,900 new × 40% good × 2.76 allocation

    $4,300
  • Hot tub (freestanding)listing

    $9,000 new × 40% good × 2.76 allocation

    $9,900
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $23,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $23,000
15-year land improvements$66,600
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $10,000 new × 50% good × 2.76 allocation

    $13,800
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $9,600 new × 50% good × 2.76 allocation

    $13,300
  • Patiosdefault

    $2,300 new × 50% good × 2.76 allocation

    $3,200
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $26,300 new × 50% good × 2.76 allocation

    $36,300
Building, 39-year$591,400
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $253,700 new × 65% good × 2.76 allocation

    $454,700
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $26,400 new × 58% good × 2.76 allocation

    $42,100
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $26,900 new × 58% good × 2.76 allocation

    $43,100
  • HVACdefault

    $26,400 new × 40% good × 2.76 allocation

    $29,100
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $15,100 new × 40% good × 2.76 allocation

    $16,600
  • Fireplaces (2)listing

    $5,300 new × 40% good × 2.76 allocation

    $5,800

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$96,400$66,600$600$163,700
2$0$0$15,200$15,200
3$0$0$15,200$15,200
4$0$0$15,200$15,200
5$0$0$15,200$15,200
6+$0$0$530,100$530,100
Total$96,400$66,600$591,400$754,400

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

STR allowed in most of Sevier County; inside Gatlinburg city limits only in overnight-rental zones.