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Rate 8.15% = 7.40% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 15) + 0.75% investor premium

2969 Veterans Blvd

2969 Veterans Blvd

Pigeon Forge, TN 37863

$1,200,000

2 bd · 2 ba · 2,292 sqft · Listed 1d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Negative cash flow

Year built

1940

Sqft

2,292

Lot sqft

56,628

HOA / mo

None

Furnished

No

List date

2026-10-20T18:16:13.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$45,318

ADR

$196

Occupancy

63%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$8,693

Confidence

Med (52.96), 50 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$28,227$40,949$58,658

Median revenue of shown comps: $40,769

  • Unique & Authentic Train Depot Vacation Experience

    House · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 308 ft

    Revenue $37,492ADR $245Occ ≈ 42%4.3★ (24)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Unique 2BR | Free Attraction Tickets | Firepit

    Train · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 410 ft

    Revenue $20,093ADR $257Occ ≈ 21%4.5★ (110)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • On Dolly Time Slow Down and Stay Awhile

    Chalet · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $25,636ADR $238Occ ≈ 30%5★ (1)

    Booking

  • Dollywood less than 1 mile from this 2 bedroom

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $40,654ADR $193Occ ≈ 58%4.8★ (96)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • On Dolly Time: Slow Down and Stay Awhile

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $26,054ADR $217Occ ≈ 33%5★ (1)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Beary Good Time by American Patriot Getaways

    Vacation home · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $76,335ADR $276Occ ≈ 76%5★ (1)

    Booking

  • Near Dollywood! Easy Access! Tucked Away

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $34,647ADR $212Occ ≈ 45%4.8★ (103)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Thunder Bear Hideaway: Roar Into Relaxation

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $58,221ADR $305Occ ≈ 52%4.2★ (11)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Cabin w/ Deck + Fireplace < 3 Mi to Dollywood!

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $57,928ADR $242Occ ≈ 66%4.8★ (245)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Cozy Cabin Near Dollywood | Hot Tub + Pet Friendly

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $11,520ADR $226Occ ≈ 14%4.8★ (8)

    Airbnb

Show 39 more
  • Pigeon Forge Cabin- close to Dollywood w/ Garage

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $53,944ADR $233Occ ≈ 63%4.9★ (609)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • SmokyMtnTop-Sunrise Serenade-5min Dollywood

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $26,647ADR $142Occ ≈ 51%4.8★ (214)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Dream Chaser: Minutes from Dollywood & Downtown

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $29,034ADR $204Occ ≈ 39%4.5★ (11)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Treetop Bungalow: Treetop Views, Dollywood Close

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $33,804ADR $229Occ ≈ 40%4.7★ (14)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • TOP OF MOUNTAIN MAGIC, no stairs,Minutes to Dollywood, Natll Park, Shops, Ripkin

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $27,958ADR $199Occ ≈ 38%4.7★ (17)

    Vrbo

  • 5 min to Dollywood! - Hot Tub - Sunshine - Arcade!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $55,883ADR $266Occ ≈ 58%4.9★ (251)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Wildwood Retreat-Borders Dollywood!

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $41,128ADR $172Occ ≈ 66%5★ (226)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 2 bedroom condo with amenities in fabulous Pigeon Forge with Sunday check in.

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $19,614ADR $107Occ ≈ 50%—

    Vrbo

  • Upscale•Arcades•Skeeball•Hottub•2mDollywd•Location

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $33,236ADR $269Occ ≈ 34%5★ (33)

    Airbnb

  • Cozy Bear Hill- VERY close to Dollywood! Resort pool!

    Vacation home · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $44,264ADR $202Occ ≈ 60%4.2★ (16)

    Booking

  • Cozy Bear Hill- VERY close to Dollywood! Pool!

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $45,587ADR $213Occ ≈ 59%4.9★ (9)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • FamilyCabin*2mi Dollywood*1mi Pkwy*Hot tub*Arcades

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $81,475ADR $278Occ ≈ 80%5★ (66)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Quiet condo with wood fireplace, Free Attraction Tickets, covered parking

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $2,635ADR $202Occ ≈ 4%4.5★

    Vrbo

  • Bearadise Cove - Spectacular Views, King suite

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $67,419ADR $360Occ ≈ 51%5★ (9)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • 1 Mile to Dollywood and Pigeon Forge Strip!

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $32,622ADR $195Occ ≈ 46%4.8★ (122)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Cole's Condo: Comfort, Cozy, Convenient

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $42,860ADR $216Occ ≈ 54%4.8★ (49)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Bearadise Cove: Your Cozy Corner of Paradise

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $48,298ADR $270Occ ≈ 49%4.7★ (70)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Minutes to Dollywood-Pool, Hot Tub, and Kid Closet

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $79,189ADR $264Occ ≈ 82%5★ (89)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • SmokyMtnTop-Sunset Serenade-5min Dollywood-Quiet

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $24,689ADR $194Occ ≈ 35%5★ (170)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • No Steep Roads! Hot Tub, Arcade, Central PF

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $63,110ADR $246Occ ≈ 70%5★ (297)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • No Steep Roads! Hot Tub, Arcade, Central Location

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $70,621ADR $259Occ ≈ 75%5★ (337)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Pigeon Forge Hideaway ~ Walking distance downtown~

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $14,895ADR $159Occ ≈ 26%4.9★ (362)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Newly Updated 2BR Family Condo 1 mile to Dollywood

    Apartment · 2 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $12,573ADR $202Occ ≈ 17%4.5★ (2)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Newly Updated 2BR Family Condo 1 mile to Dollywood

    Apartment · 2 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $7,178ADR $221Occ ≈ 9%3★ (2)

    Booking

  • Charming Mtn Retreat, Sleeps 8, Hot Tub, Grill

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $35,262ADR $224Occ ≈ 43%4.1★ (8)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • 2 Mi to DT PIgeon Forge・Serene Stay・Hot Tub・Grill

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $38,986ADR $239Occ ≈ 45%4.5★ (6)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Prime Location・Pet Friendly・Pool・Grill・Sleeps 8

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $39,958ADR $175Occ ≈ 63%3.3★ (10)

    Vrbo

  • Near Dollywood Retreat・Pool・Grill・Pet-Friendly

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $40,769ADR $165Occ ≈ 68%4.1★ (35)

    Vrbo

  • Moonlight Memories

    Vacation home · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $65,835ADR $384Occ ≈ 47%—

    Booking

  • Golf Vista Condo, Dollywood Ln. Pigeon Forge, TN

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $39,234ADR $178Occ ≈ 60%5★ (97)

    Vrbo

  • 2BR | Hot Tub | Deck | Free Attraction Tickets

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $10,477ADR $228Occ ≈ 13%4.4★ (170)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Pet-friendly Family Cabin! Great Location! HOT TUB

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $73,073ADR $280Occ ≈ 72%4.8★ (273)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • NEWER CABIN / HEATED TOILET SEATS/ FAMILY FRIENDLY

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $58,804ADR $294Occ ≈ 55%5★ (236)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 5 Minutes From Dollywood/In DwTn Pigeon Forge

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $57,477ADR $184Occ ≈ 86%5★ (208)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 5 Minutes From Dollywood/In DwTn Pigeon Forge

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $51,774ADR $181Occ ≈ 78%5★ (164)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 5 Minutes From Dollywood/In DwTn Pigeon Forge

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $59,156ADR $189Occ ≈ 86%5★ (196)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 5 Minutes From Dollywood/In DwTn Pigeon Forge

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $55,722ADR $189Occ ≈ 81%5★ (194)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 5 Minutes From Dollywood/In DwTn Pigeon Forge

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $59,668ADR $193Occ ≈ 85%5★ (210)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 5 Minutes From Dollywood/In DwTn Pigeon Forge

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $67,026ADR $213Occ ≈ 86%5★ (215)

    AirbnbVrbo

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 8.15% = 7.40% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 15) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$45,318

NOI

$20,554

Cash flow /mo

-$4,985

Cash needed

$364,000

Cash-on-cash

-16.4%

ROE (yr 1)

-4.5%

Cap rate

1.7%

DSCR

0.26

Year-1 write-off

$188,390

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$60,285

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$59,825
  • Principal paydown$7,297
  • Appreciation at%$36,000
ROE-4.5%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$9,064
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,360
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$2,266
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$675
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$7,200

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$300,000
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$48,000
  • Furnishing (bought new)$16,000

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$60,285

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$754,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$172,000 · 23%

Year-1 deduction

$188,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$60,000

Land 37% (county tax record, market value split) · building $583,000 over 39 years · new furniture $16,000

Based on: 2,292 sq ft, built 1940, 2 bd / 2 ba, unfurnished, listing features (deck, fireplace, flooring types, appliance list, wooded lot).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $92,000 in year 1 (10% short-life, $29,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$97,400
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $10,800 new × 40% good × 4.23 allocation

    $18,300
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $8,900 new × 40% good × 4.23 allocation

    $15,000
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $4,000 new × 40% good × 4.23 allocation

    $6,800
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $300 new × 40% good × 4.23 allocation

    $500
  • Shelvingdefault

    $900 new × 40% good × 4.23 allocation

    $1,500
  • Window coverings (23)default

    $5,800 new × 40% good × 4.23 allocation

    $9,700
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $8,400 new × 40% good × 4.23 allocation

    $14,200
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $5,100 new × 40% good × 4.23 allocation

    $8,600
  • Appliances (range, refrigerator)listing

    $4,000 new × 40% good × 4.23 allocation

    $6,800
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $16,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $16,000
15-year land improvements$90,300
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $9,900 new × 50% good × 4.23 allocation

    $21,000
  • Landscaping (minimal)listing

    $4,800 new × 50% good × 4.23 allocation

    $10,100
  • Patiosdefault

    $2,300 new × 50% good × 4.23 allocation

    $4,800
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $25,800 new × 50% good × 4.23 allocation

    $54,500
Building, 39-year$582,600
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $249,200 new × 40% good × 4.23 allocation

    $421,400
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $25,800 new × 40% good × 4.23 allocation

    $43,600
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $26,300 new × 40% good × 4.23 allocation

    $44,500
  • HVACdefault

    $25,800 new × 40% good × 4.23 allocation

    $43,700
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $14,700 new × 40% good × 4.23 allocation

    $24,900
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 4.23 allocation

    $4,500

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$97,400$90,300$600$188,400
2$0$0$14,900$14,900
3$0$0$14,900$14,900
4$0$0$14,900$14,900
5$0$0$14,900$14,900
6+$0$0$522,200$522,200
Total$97,400$90,300$582,600$770,400

The building's share of the price ($754,000) is 4.2x our depreciated replacement cost of the home ($178,000). The IRS guide treats a gap this size as a reason to review the land share: if land is worth more than the county ratio says, the basis and the write-off are smaller.

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

STR allowed in most of Sevier County; inside Gatlinburg city limits only in overnight-rental zones.