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Rate 7.99% = 7.24% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 29) + 0.75% investor premium

420 Conley Dr

420 Conley Dr

Sevierville, TN 37876

$334,900

3 bd · 2 ba · 1,288 sqft · Listed today

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidence

Year built

2017

Sqft

1,288

Lot sqft

15,246

HOA / mo

$0

Furnished

No

List date

2026-10-30T11:56:12.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$41,686

ADR

$180

Occupancy

63%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$8,405

Confidence

Low (29.97), 9 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$23,676$35,890$47,188

Median revenue of shown comps: $35,176

  • Chetola

    House · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $20,190ADR $188Occ ≈ 29%4.9★ (19)

    Airbnb

  • Delightful 3 bedroom/2 bathroom cozy getaway!

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +2

    Revenue $36,604ADR $250Occ ≈ 40%4.5★ (82)

    Airbnb

  • Rustic Cabin w/ Screened Deck: 8 Mi to Dollywood

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $34,135ADR $202Occ ≈ 46%4.8★ (189)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Accessible Ranch Retreat | Pets Welcomed | Hot Tub

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $3,927ADR $480Occ ≈ 2%4.7★ (7)

    Delisted

  • Noir Manor:All Reasonable Offers Considered

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $44,425ADR $256Occ ≈ 48%4.7★ (11)

    Booking

  • Noir Manor

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +6

    Revenue $71,234ADR $282Occ ≈ 69%—

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • 3BR w/Hot Tub*Firepit*Fireplace*Great Location!

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $35,176ADR $173Occ ≈ 56%5★ (9)

    Airbnb

  • Noir Manor

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $4,564ADR $214Occ ≈ 6%3★ (1)

    Airbnb

  • Smoky Mtns Black Bear Haven - King Bed suite

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $48,109ADR $172Occ ≈ 77%5★ (62)

    AirbnbVrbo

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 7.99% = 7.24% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 29) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$41,686

NOI

$23,243

Cash flow /mo

$96

Cash needed

$116,621

Cash-on-cash

1.0%

ROE (yr 1)

11.4%

Cap rate

6.9%

DSCR

1.05

Year-1 write-off

$82,805

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$26,497

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)$1,147
  • Principal paydown$2,102
  • Appreciation at%$10,047
ROE11.4%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$8,337
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,251
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$2,084
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$562
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$2,009

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$83,725
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$13,396
  • Furnishing (bought new)$19,500

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$26,497

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$299,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$63,000 · 21%

Year-1 deduction

$83,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$26,000

Land 11% (county tax record, market value split) · building $235,000 over 39 years · new furniture $20,000

Based on: 1,288 sq ft, built 2017, 3 bd / 2 ba, unfurnished, listing features (fence, flooring types, appliance list).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $66,000 in year 1 (15% short-life, $21,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$60,200
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $8,600 new × 64% good × 1.58 allocation

    $8,700
  • Kitchen countertopslisting

    $3,500 new × 64% good × 1.58 allocation

    $3,600
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $2,300 new × 64% good × 1.58 allocation

    $2,300
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $300 new × 40% good × 1.58 allocation

    $200
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,200 new × 64% good × 1.58 allocation

    $1,200
  • Window coverings (13)default

    $3,300 new × 40% good × 1.58 allocation

    $2,000
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (100% of floors)listing

    $8,300 new × 40% good × 1.58 allocation

    $5,200
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $6,700 new × 82% good × 1.58 allocation

    $8,700
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,100 new × 82% good × 1.58 allocation

    $5,200
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, refrigerator)listing

    $5,700 new × 40% good × 1.58 allocation

    $3,600
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $19,500 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $19,500
15-year land improvements$22,300
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $7,400 new × 64% good × 1.58 allocation

    $7,500
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $7,200 new × 64% good × 1.58 allocation

    $7,200
  • Patiosdefault

    $1,300 new × 64% good × 1.58 allocation

    $1,300
  • Decks & porches (attached)default

    $1,300 new × 55% good × 1.58 allocation

    $1,100
  • Fencinglisting

    $6,000 new × 55% good × 1.58 allocation

    $5,200
Building, 39-year$235,500
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $139,200 new × 85% good × 1.58 allocation

    $186,600
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $14,400 new × 82% good × 1.58 allocation

    $18,700
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $13,600 new × 82% good × 1.58 allocation

    $17,600
  • HVACdefault

    $14,500 new × 55% good × 1.58 allocation

    $12,600

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$60,200$22,300$300$82,800
2$0$0$6,000$6,000
3$0$0$6,000$6,000
4$0$0$6,000$6,000
5$0$0$6,000$6,000
6+$0$0$211,100$211,100
Total$60,200$22,300$235,500$318,000

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

STR allowed in most of Sevier County; inside Gatlinburg city limits only in overnight-rental zones.