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Rate 8.15% = 7.40% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 15) + 0.75% investor premium

460 Big Bear Way

460 Big Bear Way

Pigeon Forge, TN 37863

$559,900

2 bd · 2 ba · 1,696 sqft · Listed 1d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Est. land %Negative cash flow

Year built

2009

Sqft

1,696

Lot sqft

436

HOA / mo

$350

Furnished

No

List date

2026-10-16T17:52:17.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$49,922

ADR

$200

Occupancy

68%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$10,553

Confidence

Med (69.63), 48 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$39,376$48,751$57,543

Median revenue of shown comps: $47,711

  • Spacious Cabin, Sleeps 6・Pool Table・Hot tub

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 43 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +5

    Revenue $57,438ADR $172Occ ≈ 91%4.8★ (460)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Smoky Hideaway, Sleeps 6・Pool Table・Hot tub

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 62 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +5

    Revenue $53,039ADR $179Occ ≈ 81%4.8★ (447)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Cozy Retreat N Smoky, Sleeps 6・Hot Tub・Pool Table

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 62 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +5

    Revenue $57,859ADR $176Occ ≈ 90%4.8★ (455)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Family Cozy Hideaway, Sleeps 6・Pool Table

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 89 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +5

    Revenue $51,796ADR $168Occ ≈ 84%4.8★ (443)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Charming Cabin・Sleeps 6・ Hot Tub, Pool Table

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 108 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +5

    Revenue $62,802ADR $198Occ ≈ 87%4.8★ (474)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Pigeon Forge TN Cabin, Close to Parkway

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 138 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +4

    Revenue $39,434ADR $235Occ ≈ 46%4.5★ (42)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Bearadise Dreams

    Vacation home · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 144 ft

    Revenue $27,882ADR $682Occ ≈ 11%4.8★ (5)

    Booking

  • Log cabin with full resort amenities half-mile from the Parkway

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 4 · 148 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +5

    Revenue $30,440ADR $193Occ ≈ 43%4.7★ (146)

    Vrbo

  • Dollywood pigeon forge Cabin, Pools, Game Room, Hot tub, 0.5 mile to Parkway

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 7 · 148 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +4

    Revenue $39,352ADR $194Occ ≈ 56%4.6★ (177)

    Vrbo

  • Mama Bear Paw w/ private hot tub, two pools

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 200 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +4

    Revenue $47,880ADR $257Occ ≈ 51%4.8★ (23)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

Show 34 more
  • Downtown Pigeon Forge | Resort Pool | Pet Friendly

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 200 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +5

    Revenue $39,379ADR $190Occ ≈ 57%4.2★ (31)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Harmony In The Valley

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 207 ft

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +4

    Revenue $83,434ADR $378Occ ≈ 60%4.9★ (129)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Cabin w/Pool & Spas & Game Room!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 4 · 217 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +5

    Revenue $47,541ADR $204Occ ≈ 64%4.8★ (110)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Peaceful Pigeon Forge Condo w/ Mountain Views

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 226 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +5

    Revenue $53,617ADR $192Occ ≈ 77%4.8★ (89)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • FREE Dollywood • Big Bear Lodge 5005 • Remodeled

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 226 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +5

    Revenue $51,807ADR $202Occ ≈ 70%5★ (88)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • "Red Bird Cabin" in the great Pigeon Forge.

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 226 ft

    Revenue $52,554ADR $220Occ ≈ 65%4.8★ (90)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Above It All

    Apartment · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 230 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +5

    Revenue $26,766ADR $209Occ ≈ 35%5★ (29)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Mountain View, Pool & Hot Tub, 1 Mile to Parkway

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 230 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +5

    Revenue $60,839ADR $200Occ ≈ 83%5★ (196)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Amazing views condo

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 243 ft

    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +5

    Revenue $28,815ADR $164Occ ≈ 48%5★ (84)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Prime Location | Hot Tub • Game Room • Sleeps 8

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 243 ft

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +5

    Revenue $68,404ADR $237Occ ≈ 79%4.9★ (100)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Great Location! 2br/2ba Beautiful Views Indoor/Outdoor Pools, Game Room 3003

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 249 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +6

    Revenue $46,133ADR $192Occ ≈ 66%4.9★ (262)

    Vrbo

  • Stunning Smoky Mountain views! Minutes from Leconte Center and Dollywood

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 253 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +6

    Revenue $43,972ADR $211Occ ≈ 57%4.9★ (219)

    Vrbo

  • Bear Elegance in the Heart of Pigeon Forge

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 256 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +6

    Revenue $46,484ADR $198Occ ≈ 64%5★ (247)

    Vrbo

  • Pigeon Forge Condo w/ Views & Pool

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 259 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +5

    Revenue $38,296ADR $183Occ ≈ 57%4.8★ (144)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Luxury Mountain Retreat w/ Balcony & Fireplace

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 259 ft

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $44,343ADR $188Occ ≈ 65%4.8★ (135)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • 2 Mi to Attractions: Pigeon Forge Condo

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 259 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +4

    Revenue $39,367ADR $195Occ ≈ 55%4.8★ (172)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Spacious Cabin, Sleeps 6・View・Near Parkway

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 259 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +4

    Revenue $50,071ADR $170Occ ≈ 81%4.8★ (435)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Smokey Mountain High 3001-Mountain Views-Sleeps 6

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 262 ft

    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $37,840ADR $183Occ ≈ 57%4.8★ (66)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Condo with breath-taking views ,indoor/outdoor pools ,workout room 5003

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 272 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +6

    Revenue $54,626ADR $202Occ ≈ 74%5★ (456)

    Vrbo

  • Near Dtwn Pigeon Forge! Multi-Level Cabin w/ Pool

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 272 ft

    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $42,555ADR $217Occ ≈ 54%3.8★ (2)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Poolside cabin with loft and access to community amenities, wifi, & gas grill

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 276 ft

    Revenue $52,711ADR $222Occ ≈ 65%—

    Delisted

  • Mountain Views, Amazing Sunsets, & Pool/Hot tub

    Townhouse · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 285 ft

    Revenue $37,962ADR $198Occ ≈ 53%5★ (149)

    Airbnb

  • Spacious Unit w/Beautiful Sunset Mountain Views Wraparound Balcony 4005

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 289 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +6

    Revenue $53,614ADR $194Occ ≈ 76%5★ (277)

    Vrbo

  • We love Dogs! Hot Tub, Pool Table, Close to Strip

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 348 ft

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $95,892ADR $425Occ ≈ 62%5★ (122)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Gorgeous 2BD 2BTH Condo Cozy & Close to Parkway

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 358 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +5

    Revenue $34,814ADR $204Occ ≈ 47%4.8★ (166)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Walk to Parkway, 2 Bedroom Cabin in Big Bear Resort, Sleeps 6, Hot Tub / 2 Pools

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 367 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +6

    Revenue $41,726ADR $205Occ ≈ 56%4.7★ (264)

    Vrbo

  • Big Bear Condo Sleeps 6 + Free Tickets

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 381 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +4

    Revenue $30,041ADR $208Occ ≈ 40%4.7★ (37)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Cozy Mountain Retreat w Pools &Free Attraction Tix

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 381 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +4

    Revenue $54,630ADR $185Occ ≈ 81%4.8★ (284)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Autumn in the Smokies, Perfect Location, Amenities

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 404 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +4

    Revenue $42,001ADR $196Occ ≈ 59%4.8★ (158)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 1 mile from Pigeon Forge log cabin Townhouse has hot tub with indoor and outdoor pool sleep 8

    House · 2 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 479 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +5

    Revenue $48,676ADR $206Occ ≈ 65%4.4★ (83)

    VrboBooking

  • Big Bear 3005

    Apartment · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 512 ft

    Revenue $8,985ADR $225Occ ≈ 11%5★ (2)

    Booking

  • Win A Bear is a new cabin located in Pigeon Forge

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +5

    Revenue $60,071ADR $227Occ ≈ 73%4.8★ (119)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Best Value Cabin Hot Tub Arcade Close to Strip

    Vacation home · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $48,826ADR $188Occ ≈ 71%4.5★ (20)

    Booking

  • Prime Location | Arcade + Pool Table + Hot Tub

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +5

    Revenue $65,221ADR $202Occ ≈ 88%4.9★ (213)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 8.15% = 7.40% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 15) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$49,922

NOI

$21,331

Cash flow /mo

-$1,348

Cash needed

$184,371

Cash-on-cash

-8.8%

ROE (yr 1)

2.2%

Cap rate

3.8%

DSCR

0.57

Year-1 write-off

$114,368

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$36,598

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$16,172
  • Principal paydown$3,405
  • Appreciation at%$16,797
ROE2.2%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$9,984
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,498
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$2,496
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$4,200
  • Property tax$2,853
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$3,359

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$139,975
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$22,396
  • Furnishing (bought new)$22,000

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$36,598

No county tax record split for property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split, so those use market defaults — edit the price above; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$476,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$92,000 · 19%

Year-1 deduction

$114,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$37,000

Land 15% (market default, no usable tax-record split) · building $384,000 over 39 years · new furniture $22,000

Based on: 1,696 sq ft, built 2009, 2 bd / 2 ba, unfurnished, listing features (hot tub, deck, game room, fireplace, flooring types, appliance list, wooded lot).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $73,000 in year 1 (11% short-life, $24,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$76,200
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $9,500 new × 40% good × 2.26 allocation

    $8,600
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $7,800 new × 40% good × 2.26 allocation

    $7,000
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $3,000 new × 40% good × 2.26 allocation

    $2,700
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $300 new × 40% good × 2.26 allocation

    $300
  • Shelvingdefault

    $900 new × 40% good × 2.26 allocation

    $800
  • Window coverings (17)default

    $4,300 new × 40% good × 2.26 allocation

    $3,800
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $7,400 new × 66% good × 2.26 allocation

    $11,000
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,500 new × 66% good × 2.26 allocation

    $6,700
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, refrigerator)listing

    $5,700 new × 40% good × 2.26 allocation

    $5,200
  • Hot tub (freestanding)listing

    $9,000 new × 40% good × 2.26 allocation

    $8,100
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $16,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $16,000
  • Game-room equipment bought newlisting

    $6,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $6,000
15-year land improvements$37,700
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $8,500 new × 50% good × 2.26 allocation

    $9,600
  • Landscaping (minimal)listing

    $4,100 new × 50% good × 2.26 allocation

    $4,600
  • Patiosdefault

    $1,700 new × 50% good × 2.26 allocation

    $1,900
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $19,100 new × 50% good × 2.26 allocation

    $21,500
Building, 39-year$384,000
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $184,100 new × 72% good × 2.26 allocation

    $298,000
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $19,100 new × 66% good × 2.26 allocation

    $28,400
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $18,800 new × 66% good × 2.26 allocation

    $28,000
  • HVACdefault

    $19,100 new × 40% good × 2.26 allocation

    $17,300
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $10,900 new × 40% good × 2.26 allocation

    $9,900
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 2.26 allocation

    $2,400

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$76,200$37,700$400$114,400
2$0$0$9,800$9,800
3$0$0$9,800$9,800
4$0$0$9,800$9,800
5$0$0$9,800$9,800
6+$0$0$344,200$344,200
Total$76,200$37,700$384,000$497,900

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

STR allowed in most of Sevier County; inside Gatlinburg city limits only in overnight-rental zones.