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Rate 7.93% = 7.18% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Nov 5) + 0.75% investor premium

2806 Suncrest Rd Apt 10

2806 Suncrest Rd Apt 10

Pigeon Forge, TN 37863

$294,900

2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,236 sqft · Listed 7d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidenceNegative cash flow

Year built

1972

Sqft

1,236

Lot sqft

53,579

HOA / mo

$369

Furnished

No

List date

2026-11-05T22:06:38.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$24,814

ADR

$170

Occupancy

40%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$5,852

Confidence

Low (30.95), 50 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$14,960$20,698$35,063

Median revenue of shown comps: $20,698

  • Walk to PWKY~Fireplace~Wooded~Ground Floor

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 10 ft

    Revenue $20,837ADR $202Occ ≈ 28%4.8★ (35)

    Airbnb

  • Close 2 Dollywood~Rustic~Sleeps 6~Family Fun

    Townhouse · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 82 ft

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $19,249ADR $189Occ ≈ 28%4.7★ (70)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Smokies! Low rates!

    Townhouse · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 269 ft

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $15,608ADR $214Occ ≈ 20%5★ (100)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Pigeon Forge 2 Bedroom

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 367 ft

    Revenue $1,828ADR $163Occ ≈ 3%—

    Delisted

  • COZY PIGEON FORGE CONDO! 1/2 MILE WALK TO PARKWAY!

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 423 ft

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $29,251ADR $174Occ ≈ 46%5★ (189)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 2BR Retreat - Hot Tub, Near Dollywood & Pkwy!

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 443 ft

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $27,400ADR $220Occ ≈ 34%4.6★ (9)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Downtown cabin w/ hot tub, Free Attraction Tickets

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $551ADR $275Occ ≈ 1%4.2★ (39)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Spring: 2BR Condo |Close to Dollywood| Attractions

    Apartment · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $35,530ADR $165Occ ≈ 59%4.8★ (125)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Downtown Cabin, Sleeps 6・Hot Tub・2 Decks・Fireplace

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $31,479ADR $162Occ ≈ 53%4★ (1)

    Airbnb

  • Forrest Creek 5 minutes to The Island

    Townhouse · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $7,089ADR $246Occ ≈ 8%4.8★ (5)

    Delisted

Show 38 more
  • Happy Hollow

    Townhouse · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $7,651ADR $258Occ ≈ 8%5★ (10)

    Airbnb

  • In Heart of Pigeon Forge | 5 mins to The Island

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $29,442ADR $196Occ ≈ 41%4.8★ (60)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Modern Tiny Home! Walk to Parkway*Hot Tub*Sleeps 6

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +2

    Revenue $4,250ADR $177Occ ≈ 7%5★ (5)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Ruby 215: 2BD | Great Location + Shared Amenities!

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $20,715ADR $146Occ ≈ 39%4.9★ (24)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • * Little Creek! Low rates!

    Townhouse · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $19,522ADR $221Occ ≈ 24%5★ (113)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Smoky Mountain Escape w/ Pool & Hot Tub

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $5,526ADR $212Occ ≈ 7%—

    Delisted

  • 2 BR condo w/Wi-Fi, great location - brand new!

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $4,929ADR $194Occ ≈ 7%5★ (9)

    Airbnb

  • Ruby 314: 2BD | Great Location + Shared Amenities!

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $20,011ADR $146Occ ≈ 38%4.9★ (24)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Modern Tiny Home in the Heart of Pigeon Forge

    Tiny house · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $51,265ADR $234Occ ≈ 60%4.8★ (337)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Charming Log Cabin N Bears Creek, Sleeps 4

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +4

    Revenue $30,620ADR $176Occ ≈ 48%4.5★ (23)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • HotTub•FirePit•Walk-to-The Island•Trailer-Parking!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +2

    Revenue $50,840ADR $216Occ ≈ 64%4.9★ (118)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Cozy 2 bedroom cabin with kids loft and hot tub

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $37,087ADR $172Occ ≈ 59%5★ (111)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Smoky Mountain Escape w/ Pool & Hot Tub

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $7,852ADR $355Occ ≈ 6%5★ (3)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Ruby 301: 2BD | Great Location + Shared Amenities!

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +2

    Revenue $20,680ADR $152Occ ≈ 37%4.7★ (27)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Ruby 100: 2BD | Great Location + Shared Amenities!

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $18,581ADR $135Occ ≈ 38%4.7★ (18)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Charming 2BR w/ Free Attraction Tickets & Deck

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $14,793ADR $189Occ ≈ 21%4.4★ (91)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Stylish Design, Near Dollywood, Pigeon Forge Views

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen

    Revenue $15,462ADR $156Occ ≈ 27%4.8★ (20)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Pigeon Forge Cabin w/ Games, 1 Mi to Parkway!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $45,134ADR $246Occ ≈ 50%4.5★ (162)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Cozy Pigeon Forge Cabin| Hot Tub, Firepit, Pets OK

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +6

    Revenue $49,979ADR $221Occ ≈ 62%4.8★ (270)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 2 Bedrooms

    Vacation home · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $58,218ADR $242Occ ≈ 66%4.7★ (4)

    Booking

  • Snuggle Bear Cabin

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $72,651ADR $247Occ ≈ 81%4.8★ (282)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Hilltop Haven - 2BR w/Hot Tub Near everything!

    Apartment · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +2

    Revenue $18,561ADR $133Occ ≈ 38%5★ (20)

    Airbnb

  • Ruby 115: 2BD | Great Location + Shared Amenities!

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $22,210ADR $152Occ ≈ 40%4.9★ (28)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Ruby 300: 2BD | Great Location + Shared Amenities!

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $19,769ADR $147Occ ≈ 37%4.8★ (22)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Cozy, Quiet Stay close to Dollywood! Unit #1

    Serviced apartment · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $545ADR $136Occ ≈ 1%4.9★ (145)

    Airbnb

  • Stunning, Newly Renovated Villa! Close to Strip #1

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +4

    Revenue $37,028ADR $210Occ ≈ 48%5★ (81)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Stunning, Newly Renovated Villa! Close to Strip #2

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +3

    Revenue $31,875ADR $219Occ ≈ 40%4.9★ (83)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Ruby 200: 2BD | Great Location + Shared Amenities!

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $20,005ADR $154Occ ≈ 36%4.8★ (25)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Newly Built Home! 5 Minutes to Pigeon Forge!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +5

    Revenue $59,579ADR $227Occ ≈ 72%4.7★ (80)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Ruby 315: 2BD | Great Location + Shared Amenities!

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +2

    Revenue $22,962ADR $177Occ ≈ 36%4.8★ (22)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Ruby 201: 2BD | Great Location + Shared Amenities!

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $18,824ADR $152Occ ≈ 34%4.7★ (23)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Mountain View Escape - 2BR w/Hot Tub Near it all!

    Apartment · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +2

    Revenue $14,735ADR $145Occ ≈ 28%5★ (21)

    Airbnb

  • Ruby 114: 2BD | Great Location + Shared Amenities!

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $21,844ADR $147Occ ≈ 41%4.8★ (26)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Cozy, Quiet Stay close to Dollywood! Unit #2

    Apartment · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $1,502ADR $124Occ ≈ 3%4.8★ (134)

    Airbnb

  • Fantastic Mr. Fox Cabin, Hot Tub Near Pigeon Forge

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $48,124ADR $227Occ ≈ 58%4.8★ (54)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Creekside Hideaway - Excitement And Tranquility

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +5

    Revenue $60,040ADR $242Occ ≈ 68%5★ (11)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Authentic 2 Bedroom Cabin w/Outstanding Location

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $50,630ADR $195Occ ≈ 71%5★ (80)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Ruby 101: 2BD | Great Location + Shared Amenities!

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $16,811ADR $144Occ ≈ 32%4.4★ (20)

    AirbnbVrbo

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 7.93% = 7.18% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Nov 5) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$24,814

NOI

$6,778

Cash flow /mo

-$1,047

Cash needed

$101,521

Cash-on-cash

-12.4%

ROE (yr 1)

-1.8%

Cap rate

2.3%

DSCR

0.35

Year-1 write-off

$67,953

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$21,745

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$12,568
  • Principal paydown$1,873
  • Appreciation at%$8,847
ROE-1.8%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$4,963
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$744
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$1,241
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$4,428
  • Property tax$691
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$1,769

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$73,725
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$11,796
  • Furnishing (bought new)$16,000

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$21,745

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$239,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$52,000 · 22%

Year-1 deduction

$68,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$22,000

Land 19% (county tax record, market value split) · building $187,000 over 39 years · new furniture $16,000

Based on: 1,236 sq ft, built 1972, 2 bd / 1.5 ba, unfurnished, listing features (flooring types, appliance list).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $48,000 in year 1 (13% short-life, $15,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$67,800
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $8,500 new × 40% good × 2.68 allocation

    $9,100
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $7,000 new × 40% good × 2.68 allocation

    $7,500
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $2,200 new × 40% good × 2.68 allocation

    $2,300
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $200 new × 40% good × 2.68 allocation

    $200
  • Shelvingdefault

    $900 new × 40% good × 2.68 allocation

    $1,000
  • Window coverings (12)default

    $3,000 new × 40% good × 2.68 allocation

    $3,200
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (100% of floors)listing

    $8,000 new × 40% good × 2.68 allocation

    $8,500
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $6,600 new × 40% good × 2.68 allocation

    $7,100
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,000 new × 40% good × 2.68 allocation

    $4,300
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, disposal, refrigerator, washer, dryer)listing

    $8,100 new × 40% good × 2.68 allocation

    $8,700
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $16,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $16,000
Building, 39-year$187,000
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $134,000 new × 40% good × 2.68 allocation

    $143,400
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $13,900 new × 40% good × 2.68 allocation

    $14,800
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $12,900 new × 40% good × 2.68 allocation

    $13,800
  • HVACdefault

    $13,900 new × 40% good × 2.68 allocation

    $14,900

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$67,800$0$200$68,000
2$0$0$4,800$4,800
3$0$0$4,800$4,800
4$0$0$4,800$4,800
5$0$0$4,800$4,800
6+$0$0$167,600$167,600
Total$67,800$0$187,000$254,700

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

STR allowed in most of Sevier County; inside Gatlinburg city limits only in overnight-rental zones.