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Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

233 Estate Dr

233 Estate Dr

Sevierville, TN 37862

$399,900

4 bd · 2 ba · 2,146 sqft · Listed 2d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Negative cash flow

Year built

1960

Sqft

2,146

Lot sqft

16,988

HOA / mo

None

Furnished

No

List date

2026-09-25T15:34:48Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$37,521

ADR

$202

Occupancy

51%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$5,729

Confidence

Med (62.86), 50 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$27,511$35,871$43,948
  • Cozy 4-bedroom cabin in lovely Pigeon Forge with WiFi, AC, fitness room

    4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue —ADR $233Occ ≈ ——

    Vrbo

  • Close to Town-Outdoor Pool Access-Stocked Fishing Pond Access-private Putt Putt

    3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue —ADR $205Occ ≈ —3.9★ (26)

    Vrbo

  • Lazy Bear in Pigeon Forge

    4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue —ADR $383Occ ≈ —3.8★ (49)

    Vrbo

  • Pigeon Forge Hideaway

    4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue —ADR $213Occ ≈ —4.8★ (199)

    Airbnb

  • Brother Bear - Unit 3107 - Mountain View Condos

    3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue —ADR $202Occ ≈ —4.2★ (59)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Making Memories - Unit 3301 - Mountain View Condos

    3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue —ADR $185Occ ≈ —4.7★ (172)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Hawks Nest - Unit 5707 - Mountain View Condos

    3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue —ADR $220Occ ≈ —4.8★ (104)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Mountain View Zodiac - Unit 3201

    3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue —ADR $184Occ ≈ —4.3★ (22)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 2 Mins Pkwy | Hot Tub•Fire Pit•Game Room•Pets

    3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue —ADR $207Occ ≈ —4.8★ (83)

    Airbnb

  • Majestic Bear Retreat

    3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue —ADR $209Occ ≈ ——

    —

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Term

Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$37,521

NOI

$19,365

Cash flow /mo

-$541

Cash needed

$138,971

Cash-on-cash

-4.7%

ROE (yr 1)

5.8%

Cap rate

4.8%

DSCR

0.75

Year-1 write-off

$103,824

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$33,224

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$6,494
  • Principal paydown$2,617
  • Appreciation at%$11,997
ROE5.8%
ROE incl. year-1 tax savings (32% bracket, STR loophole)29.7%
Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$7,504
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,126
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$1,876
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$1,051
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$2,399

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$99,975
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$15,996
  • Furnishing (bought new)$23,000

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$33,224

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$336,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$80,000 · 24%

Year-1 deduction

$104,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$33,000

Land 16% (county tax record, market value split) · building $256,000 over 39 years · new furniture $23,000

Based on: 2,146 sq ft, built 1960, 4 bd / 2 ba, unfurnished, listing features (patio, fireplace, flooring types, appliance list, septic).

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $82,000 in year 1 (17% short-life, $26,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$72,600
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $10,500 new × 40% good × 1.98 allocation

    $8,300
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $8,600 new × 40% good × 1.98 allocation

    $6,800
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $3,800 new × 40% good × 1.98 allocation

    $3,000
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $300 new × 40% good × 1.98 allocation

    $200
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,500 new × 40% good × 1.98 allocation

    $1,200
  • Window coverings (21)default

    $5,300 new × 40% good × 1.98 allocation

    $4,200
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (100% of floors)listing

    $13,800 new × 40% good × 1.98 allocation

    $11,000
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $8,200 new × 40% good × 1.98 allocation

    $6,500
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,900 new × 40% good × 1.98 allocation

    $3,900
  • Appliances (range, microwave, refrigerator, dryer)listing

    $5,700 new × 40% good × 1.98 allocation

    $4,500
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $23,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $23,000
15-year land improvements$30,400
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $9,600 new × 50% good × 1.98 allocation

    $9,500
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $9,200 new × 50% good × 1.98 allocation

    $9,200
  • Patioslisting

    $9,700 new × 50% good × 1.98 allocation

    $9,600
  • Decks & porches (attached)default

    $2,100 new × 50% good × 1.98 allocation

    $2,100
Building, 39-year$256,500
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $232,700 new × 40% good × 1.98 allocation

    $184,700
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $24,200 new × 40% good × 1.98 allocation

    $19,200
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $24,500 new × 40% good × 1.98 allocation

    $19,400
  • HVACdefault

    $24,200 new × 40% good × 1.98 allocation

    $19,200
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 1.98 allocation

    $2,100
  • Septic systemlisting

    $12,000 new × 50% good × 1.98 allocation

    $11,900

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$72,600$30,400$800$103,800
2$0$0$6,600$6,600
3$0$0$6,600$6,600
4$0$0$6,600$6,600
5$0$0$6,600$6,600
6+$0$0$229,300$229,300
Total$72,600$30,400$256,500$359,500

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: Georgia disallows bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

STR allowed in most of Sevier County; inside Gatlinburg city limits only in overnight-rental zones.