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Rate 8.03% = 7.28% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 1) + 0.75% investor premium

2526 Goingback Cir

2526 Goingback Cir

Sevierville, TN 37876

$430,000

3 bd · 2 ba · 2,092 sqft · Listed 1d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Negative cash flow

Year built

2000

Sqft

2,092

Lot sqft

15,246

HOA / mo

$6

Furnished

No

List date

2026-10-03T14:19:02.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$43,033

ADR

$208

Occupancy

57%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$8,010

Confidence

Med (57.68), 12 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$30,141$44,079$51,801

Few similar-size comps were found, so all comps are shown.

Median revenue of shown comps: $44,079

  • Smoky Mountain Getaway for FOUR guests!

    House · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $16,597ADR $99Occ ≈ 46%5★ (73)

    Airbnb

  • Pet friendly, gameroom, yard - close to Dollywood!

    Chalet · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $48,856ADR $295Occ ≈ 45%4.7★ (10)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Pet friendly, game room, close to Dollywood!

    Chalet · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $46,349ADR $369Occ ≈ 34%4.5★ (6)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • River Rush- Cozy Riverfront Cabin 5 Mi to Pigeon Forge

    Vacation home · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $69,599ADR $207Occ ≈ 92%4.4★ (5)

    Booking

  • Cabin on river/Prime Location/Hot-tub/Pet-friendly

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $55,675ADR $201Occ ≈ 76%4.8★ (425)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • River Cabin Near Dollywood! Hot Tub/ Fireplace

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $11,465ADR $205Occ ≈ 15%3.8★ (26)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • RiverfrontViews/PrimeLocation/Hot-tub/Pet-Friendly

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $41,808ADR $163Occ ≈ 70%5★ (70)

    Airbnb

  • Riverfront Fishing Cabin·Hot Tub·Sauna·2 King Beds

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $32,272ADR $414Occ ≈ 21%5★ (16)

    Airbnb

  • River Front Fun! Tubing, Kayak, Fishing on River!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $55,123ADR $295Occ ≈ 51%4.7★ (132)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • #6 Cozy Cabin on the River-Good Roads-Pigeon Forge

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $50,693ADR $262Occ ≈ 53%4.5★ (208)

    AirbnbVrbo

Show 2 more
  • Riverside Escape, King Suite, and Queen Suite.

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $37,023ADR $128Occ ≈ 79%4.8★ (32)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Pristine Mountain Vista

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $23,747ADR $314Occ ≈ 21%5★ (8)

    AirbnbVrbo

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 8.03% = 7.28% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 1) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$43,033

NOI

$23,036

Cash flow /mo

-$453

Cash needed

$144,200

Cash-on-cash

-3.8%

ROE (yr 1)

7.0%

Cap rate

5.4%

DSCR

0.81

Year-1 write-off

$89,534

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$28,651

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$5,442
  • Principal paydown$2,678
  • Appreciation at%$12,900
ROE7.0%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$8,607
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,291
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$2,152
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$72
  • Property tax$1,096
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$2,580

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$107,500
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$17,200
  • Furnishing (bought new)$19,500

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$28,651

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$365,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$70,000 · 19%

Year-1 deduction

$90,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$29,000

Land 15% (county tax record, market value split) · building $295,000 over 39 years · new furniture $20,000

Based on: 2,092 sq ft, built 2000, 3 bd / 2 ba, unfurnished, listing features (patio, fireplace, flooring types, appliance list).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $70,000 in year 1 (14% short-life, $23,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$62,300
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $10,400 new × 40% good × 1.79 allocation

    $7,400
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $8,500 new × 40% good × 1.79 allocation

    $6,100
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $3,700 new × 40% good × 1.79 allocation

    $2,600
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $300 new × 40% good × 1.79 allocation

    $200
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,200 new × 40% good × 1.79 allocation

    $900
  • Window coverings (21)default

    $5,300 new × 40% good × 1.79 allocation

    $3,800
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (50% of floors)listing

    $6,700 new × 40% good × 1.79 allocation

    $4,800
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $8,100 new × 48% good × 1.79 allocation

    $6,900
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,900 new × 48% good × 1.79 allocation

    $4,200
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, disposal, refrigerator, washer, dryer)listing

    $8,100 new × 40% good × 1.79 allocation

    $5,800
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $19,500 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $19,500
15-year land improvements$26,900
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $9,500 new × 50% good × 1.79 allocation

    $8,500
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $9,100 new × 50% good × 1.79 allocation

    $8,200
  • Patioslisting

    $9,400 new × 50% good × 1.79 allocation

    $8,400
  • Decks & porches (attached)default

    $2,100 new × 50% good × 1.79 allocation

    $1,900
Building, 39-year$294,800
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $227,100 new × 57% good × 1.79 allocation

    $230,500
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $23,500 new × 48% good × 1.79 allocation

    $20,300
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $23,800 new × 48% good × 1.79 allocation

    $20,500
  • HVACdefault

    $23,600 new × 40% good × 1.79 allocation

    $16,900
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $6,700 new × 40% good × 1.79 allocation

    $4,800
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 1.79 allocation

    $1,900

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$62,300$26,900$300$89,500
2$0$0$7,600$7,600
3$0$0$7,600$7,600
4$0$0$7,600$7,600
5$0$0$7,600$7,600
6+$0$0$264,300$264,300
Total$62,300$26,900$294,800$384,100

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

STR allowed in most of Sevier County; inside Gatlinburg city limits only in overnight-rental zones.