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Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

3502 Lillie Blvd

3502 Lillie Blvd

Sevierville, TN 37876

$845,000

2 bd · 1 ba · 2,018 sqft · Listed 1d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Negative cash flow

Year built

1981

Sqft

2,018

Lot sqft

377,230

HOA / mo

None

Furnished

No

List date

2026-09-29T19:10:44.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$40,071

ADR

$179

Occupancy

61%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$7,184

Confidence

Low (41.03), 19 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$24,799$30,651$47,056
  • Smoky Mountain Retreat - Deck Hot Tub Games

    Vacation home · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 509 ft

    Revenue $3,643ADR $191Occ ≈ 5%—

    Booking

  • Hillbilly Hideout

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $27,871ADR $178Occ ≈ 43%4.5★ (29)

    AirbnbBooking

  • *Fall 20 Off Sale* Hillbilly Hideout

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $51,538ADR $284Occ ≈ 50%4★ (26)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Peaceful Retreat @ Jewel’s near GSMNP & Dollywood!

    Cottage · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $23,906ADR $111Occ ≈ 59%5★ (95)

    Airbnb

  • Hillbilly Hideout; Charming 2-bedroom cabin in lovely Sevierville with Hot tub

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $20,820ADR $194Occ ≈ 29%4.5★ (4)

    VrboBooking

  • "Bears and Beyond" 2 Bedroom Cabin

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $25,692ADR $354Occ ≈ 20%—

    Airbnb

  • Luxury Wellness Retreat | Sauna + Hot Tub + Views

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $91,555ADR $383Occ ≈ 65%5★ (76)

    Airbnb

  • Amazing Luxury Log Cabin! Great Living Space! Mountain Views! 2 Jacuzzi Tubs!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $55,670ADR $269Occ ≈ 57%5★ (359)

    Vrbo

  • Grace Mountain Cottages - Ivey

    Cottage · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $27,434ADR $146Occ ≈ 51%5★ (129)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Grace Mountain Cottages - Hayden

    Cottage · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $36,371ADR $169Occ ≈ 59%5★ (189)

    AirbnbVrbo

Show all 19 comps
  • Secret Hideout- 2 bdrm,Mtn View,Fire-pit,Game Room

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $46,637ADR $283Occ ≈ 45%4.6★ (53)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Gorgeous Lovers Retreat! 5 star rated, Free Tix to Dollywood, etc Hot tub, Indoor Jacuzzi, Views!

    Vacation home · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $51,986ADR $194Occ ≈ 73%—

    Booking

  • Bears and Beyond Cabin Rental

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $1,271ADR $158Occ ≈ 2%—

    Vrbo

  • Grace Mountain Cottages - Eli

    Cottage · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $27,502ADR $153Occ ≈ 49%4.8★ (133)

    Airbnb

  • Pigeon Forge Cabin w/ Hot Tub, Grill & Pool Table!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $43,414ADR $243Occ ≈ 49%4.7★ (206)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 2 Firefly Mountain Suites | Pool, Hot Tub, Firepit

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $13,904ADR $456Occ ≈ 8%—

    Airbnb

  • Chillin N Grillin - Cozy Pet-Friendly w/ Mtn Views

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $41,183ADR $210Occ ≈ 54%4.7★ (134)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Indoor Heated Pool, Hot tub, Game Room | 2 Suites

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $47,474ADR $373Occ ≈ 35%—

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Red Bank | Hot Tub + Secluded

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $30,651ADR $169Occ ≈ 50%4.5★ (9)

    Airbnb

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$40,071

NOI

$18,766

Cash flow /mo

-$2,990

Cash needed

$261,050

Cash-on-cash

-13.7%

ROE (yr 1)

-1.9%

Cap rate

2.2%

DSCR

0.34

Year-1 write-off

$186,918

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$59,814

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$35,875
  • Principal paydown$5,530
  • Appreciation at%$25,350
ROE-1.9%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$8,014
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,202
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$2,004
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$815
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$5,070

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$211,250
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$33,800
  • Furnishing (bought new)$16,000

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$59,814

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$639,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$169,000 · 27%

Year-1 deduction

$187,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$60,000

Land 24% (county tax record, market value split) · building $469,000 over 39 years · new furniture $16,000

Based on: 2,018 sq ft, built 1981, 2 bd / 1 ba, unfurnished, listing features (deck, patio, fireplace, flooring types, appliance list, septic).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $110,000 in year 1 (15% short-life, $35,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$92,200
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $10,200 new × 40% good × 3.72 allocation

    $15,200
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $8,400 new × 40% good × 3.72 allocation

    $12,500
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $3,500 new × 40% good × 3.72 allocation

    $5,300
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $200 new × 40% good × 3.72 allocation

    $200
  • Shelvingdefault

    $900 new × 40% good × 3.72 allocation

    $1,300
  • Window coverings (20)default

    $5,000 new × 40% good × 3.72 allocation

    $7,400
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (25% of floors)listing

    $3,200 new × 40% good × 3.72 allocation

    $4,800
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $8,000 new × 40% good × 3.72 allocation

    $11,800
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,800 new × 40% good × 3.72 allocation

    $7,200
  • Appliances (range, dishwasher, refrigerator, washer, dryer)listing

    $7,000 new × 40% good × 3.72 allocation

    $10,400
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $16,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $16,000
15-year land improvements$93,200
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $9,300 new × 50% good × 3.72 allocation

    $17,300
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $9,000 new × 50% good × 3.72 allocation

    $16,700
  • Patioslisting

    $9,100 new × 50% good × 3.72 allocation

    $16,900
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $22,700 new × 50% good × 3.72 allocation

    $42,300
Building, 39-year$469,300
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $219,400 new × 40% good × 3.72 allocation

    $326,800
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $22,700 new × 40% good × 3.72 allocation

    $33,800
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $22,900 new × 40% good × 3.72 allocation

    $34,000
  • HVACdefault

    $22,700 new × 40% good × 3.72 allocation

    $33,900
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $9,700 new × 40% good × 3.72 allocation

    $14,500
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 3.72 allocation

    $3,900
  • Septic systemlisting

    $12,000 new × 50% good × 3.72 allocation

    $22,300

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$92,200$93,200$1,500$186,900
2$0$0$12,000$12,000
3$0$0$12,000$12,000
4$0$0$12,000$12,000
5$0$0$12,000$12,000
6+$0$0$419,700$419,700
Total$92,200$93,200$469,300$654,700

The building's share of the price ($639,000) is 3.7x our depreciated replacement cost of the home ($172,000). The IRS guide treats a gap this size as a reason to review the land share: if land is worth more than the county ratio says, the basis and the write-off are smaller.

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California and Georgia disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

STR allowed in most of Sevier County; inside Gatlinburg city limits only in overnight-rental zones.