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Rate 8.15% = 7.40% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 8) + 0.75% investor premium

851 Plantation Dr

851 Plantation Dr

Pigeon Forge, TN 37863

$339,000

2 bd · 2 ba · 1,016 sqft · Listed 1d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Negative cash flow

Year built

2003

Sqft

1,016

Lot sqft

436

HOA / mo

$65

Furnished

No

List date

2026-10-11T16:19:00.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$37,639

ADR

$199

Occupancy

52%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$6,847

Confidence

Low (51.12), 49 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$23,424$36,468$48,438

Median revenue of shown comps: $36,540

  • Premier Serenity River right off Pigeon Forge Pkwy

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 118 ft

    Revenue $36,612ADR $211Occ ≈ 48%5★ (204)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • RiverPointe Black Bear Chalet! Sleeps 6!

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 164 ft

    Revenue $39,134ADR $163Occ ≈ 66%4.8★ (56)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Riverside Haven. Easy Drive. Minutes from It All!

    Chalet · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 197 ft

    Revenue $29,076ADR $184Occ ≈ 43%5★ (282)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • River Access- 1 Mile off of Pigeon Forge Parkway- Hot Tub-motor cycle Friendly

    Chalet · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 233 ft

    Revenue $29,479ADR $182Occ ≈ 44%4.7★ (38)

    VrboBooking

  • River Front- 1 mile to Parkway- No Steep Roads

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 305 ft

    Revenue $42,204ADR $238Occ ≈ 49%5★ (225)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Haymon Hacienda 2BR/2BA cozy rental in Pigeon Forge. Great Location!

    Chalet · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 328 ft

    Revenue $31,152ADR $172Occ ≈ 50%5★ (113)

    Vrbo

  • The Strawberry Bear - New Listing

    Cottage · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 348 ft

    Revenue $6,069ADR $236Occ ≈ 7%—

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • RiverFront Luxury Chalet - 2Kayaks / 2miles to FUN

    Chalet · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 410 ft

    Revenue $26,791ADR $194Occ ≈ 38%4.8★ (286)

    Airbnb

  • Best spot for you and the family in Sevier County

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 446 ft

    Revenue $40,879ADR $153Occ ≈ 73%4.4★ (87)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Breezy Riverfront Chalet- near city center

    Vacation home · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 463 ft

    Revenue $36,413ADR $296Occ ≈ 34%4.8★ (101)

    AirbnbVrbo

Show 38 more
  • CLOSE to the heart of Pigeon Forge w/flat,EZ parking, near the river & free Wifi

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 476 ft

    Revenue $44,217ADR $173Occ ≈ 70%5★ (207)

    Vrbo

  • The Mason Jar- 1 mile to Pigeon Forge! Hot tub!

    Chalet · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 486 ft

    Revenue $48,684ADR $232Occ ≈ 57%4.5★ (62)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Cottage w/ Covered Parking | River Walk | Pkwy 1 M

    Cottage · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 505 ft

    Revenue $41,015ADR $204Occ ≈ 55%4.8★ (145)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • River Pointe Getaway - Pigeon Forge Home + River Access, 3 Mins to the Parkway

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $2,860ADR $140Occ ≈ 6%—

    VrboBooking

  • Our Cottage Riverpointe

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $20,162ADR $185Occ ≈ 30%5★ (56)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 2BR Cozy Pigeon Forge Home | River Access

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $3,738ADR $145Occ ≈ 7%5★ (7)

    Airbnb

  • On the River! Restful River Oar’asis Retreat

    Chalet · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $36,468ADR $206Occ ≈ 49%4.9★ (93)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • 1 Mile to Parkway | Hot Tub | River Access | Pets

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $37,970ADR $225Occ ≈ 46%4.8★ (21)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Riverfront Pigeon Forge Cabin w/ Hot Tub, Pet Friendly, Sleeps 6

    Chalet · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $10,707ADR $183Occ ≈ 16%—

    VrboBooking

  • Rip Waters • Riverside • Hot Tub • 2 King Suites

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $34,770ADR $264Occ ≈ 36%4.9★ (17)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Riverfront Retreat in Pigeon Forge-The River Bear

    Chalet · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $28,633ADR $188Occ ≈ 42%4.9★ (108)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Get Ready For Summer At Anglers Inn-1 mile from Pkwy

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $22,285ADR $237Occ ≈ 26%4.9★ (9)

    Vrbo

  • Summer Time at-Pedalers Rest-1 mi. from Pkwy

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $18,612ADR $235Occ ≈ 22%4.9★ (214)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 1 Mile From Pigeon Forge Parkway-River Front Cottage-Fishing year round-One story

    Chalet · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $37,502ADR $179Occ ≈ 57%4.6★ (74)

    Vrbo

  • Wind Down Oasis - River, Hot Tub, and Outdoor Fun!

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $52,411ADR $225Occ ≈ 64%5★ (25)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Duck Duck Goose-Riverfront cabin, fishing nearby

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $49,866ADR $231Occ ≈ 59%4.9★ (265)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • NEW! Skinny Dippin 2-Bedroom Cabin - Pets Allowed

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $5,264ADR $268Occ ≈ 5%—

    Vrbo

  • River Front Cabin-Hot Tub-Wireless Internet-Fire Pit-1 mile from Pigeon Forge-Great Fishing

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $54,369ADR $225Occ ≈ 66%4.7★ (59)

    VrboBooking

  • Close to Pigeon Forge, One story, Motorcycle Friendly, River View

    Chalet · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $30,559ADR $201Occ ≈ 42%4.8★ (20)

    VrboBooking

  • River View | Pigeon Forge | Arcade | Hot Tub | Wi

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $68,529ADR $264Occ ≈ 71%4.7★ (69)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Pigeon Forge River Front Cabin- Fishing Year Round-firepit with seating and Hottub

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $52,471ADR $212Occ ≈ 68%4.7★ (71)

    VrboBooking

  • Free Tickets-Riverfront-Sleeps 6-Pet-Friendly

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $26,923ADR $264Occ ≈ 28%4.5★ (38)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Little Pigeon River Front Cabin-1 Mile of Main Parkway in Pigeon Forge Great Fishing

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $56,425ADR $233Occ ≈ 66%4.8★ (104)

    VrboBooking

  • A Barrel of Fun-riverfront cabin, fishing nearby

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $50,335ADR $245Occ ≈ 56%4.9★ (348)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Duck Duck Goose-Riverfront cabin, fishing nearby

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $55,962ADR $245Occ ≈ 63%4.9★ (88)

    Vrbo

  • 1 mile from Pigeon Forge-River frontage-outdoor kitchen-fire pit-Hot Tub-Great Fishing

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $70,161ADR $265Occ ≈ 73%4.5★ (39)

    VrboBooking

  • 1 Mile from Pigeon Forge New Cabin Firepit on the river Great for fishing

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $51,603ADR $217Occ ≈ 65%4.7★ (64)

    VrboBooking

  • The Little River Cabin

    Chalet · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $19,691ADR $159Occ ≈ 34%—

    Booking

  • Skinny Dippin: Hot tub, Pet Friendly, Creek

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $22,748ADR $260Occ ≈ 24%5★ (2)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • River Front-Covered Parking-1 Mile Off Main Parkway-Year round fishing Motor cycle Friendly

    Chalet · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $45,080ADR $213Occ ≈ 58%4★ (26)

    VrboBooking

  • Get Ready For Summer At Pedaler's Rest-1 mile from Pkwy

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $19,265ADR $229Occ ≈ 23%4.8★ (44)

    Vrbo

  • River Breeze, $560 FREE tickets each paid day

    Cottage · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $36,834ADR $183Occ ≈ 55%4.2★ (68)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Cheerful, Budget-friendly, 2-bedroom home!

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $32,784ADR $161Occ ≈ 56%4.8★ (133)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 1 Mile from Pigeon Forge-River Front/River Access-great place to enjoy fishing- Motor cycle Friendly

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $48,438ADR $209Occ ≈ 63%4.4★ (43)

    VrboBooking

  • Rest Assured by Bear Camp

    Cottage · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $37,004ADR $184Occ ≈ 55%4.2★ (61)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Super Clean River Cabin, Fast WIFI, Keyless Entry

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $66,148ADR $265Occ ≈ 68%5★ (391)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Moonridge Lodge | Fireplace, Grill & More!

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $484ADR $121Occ ≈ 1%5★ (2)

    AirbnbBooking

  • 2BR River View w/ Hot Tub Fire Tickets

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $26,599ADR $314Occ ≈ 23%—

    AirbnbVrbo

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 8.15% = 7.40% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 8) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$37,639

NOI

$18,751

Cash flow /mo

-$330

Cash needed

$114,310

Cash-on-cash

-3.5%

ROE (yr 1)

7.2%

Cap rate

5.5%

DSCR

0.83

Year-1 write-off

$88,475

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$28,312

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$3,956
  • Principal paydown$2,062
  • Appreciation at%$10,170
ROE7.2%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$7,528
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,129
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$1,882
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$780
  • Property tax$1,335
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$2,034

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$84,750
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$13,560
  • Furnishing (bought new)$16,000

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$28,312

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$279,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$72,000 · 26%

Year-1 deduction

$88,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$28,000

Land 18% (county tax record, market value split) · building $207,000 over 39 years · new furniture $16,000

Based on: 1,016 sq ft, built 2003, 2 bd / 2 ba, unfurnished, listing features (deck, fireplace, appliance list).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $58,000 in year 1 (15% short-life, $19,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$57,900
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $8,000 new × 40% good × 2.39 allocation

    $7,700
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $6,600 new × 40% good × 2.39 allocation

    $6,300
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $1,800 new × 40% good × 2.39 allocation

    $1,700
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $300 new × 40% good × 2.39 allocation

    $300
  • Shelvingdefault

    $900 new × 40% good × 2.39 allocation

    $900
  • Window coverings (10)default

    $2,500 new × 40% good × 2.39 allocation

    $2,400
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (40% of floors)default

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 2.39 allocation

    $2,500
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $6,200 new × 54% good × 2.39 allocation

    $8,100
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $3,800 new × 54% good × 2.39 allocation

    $4,900
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, refrigerator, washer, dryer)listing

    $7,700 new × 40% good × 2.39 allocation

    $7,400
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $16,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $16,000
15-year land improvements$30,300
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $6,600 new × 50% good × 2.39 allocation

    $7,900
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $6,400 new × 50% good × 2.39 allocation

    $7,600
  • Patiosdefault

    $1,000 new × 50% good × 2.39 allocation

    $1,200
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $11,400 new × 50% good × 2.39 allocation

    $13,600
Building, 39-year$206,600
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $109,800 new × 62% good × 2.39 allocation

    $161,700
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $11,400 new × 54% good × 2.39 allocation

    $14,700
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $10,200 new × 54% good × 2.39 allocation

    $13,100
  • HVACdefault

    $11,400 new × 40% good × 2.39 allocation

    $10,900
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $3,900 new × 40% good × 2.39 allocation

    $3,700
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 2.39 allocation

    $2,500

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$57,900$30,300$200$88,500
2$0$0$5,300$5,300
3$0$0$5,300$5,300
4$0$0$5,300$5,300
5$0$0$5,300$5,300
6+$0$0$185,200$185,200
Total$57,900$30,300$206,600$294,900

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

STR allowed in most of Sevier County; inside Gatlinburg city limits only in overnight-rental zones.