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Rate 8.07% = 7.32% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 22) + 0.75% investor premium

1251 Lori Ellen Ct

1251 Lori Ellen Ct

Sevierville, TN 37876

$409,900

4 bd · 3 ba · 1,806 sqft · Listed 1d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidenceNegative cash flow

Year built

2024

Sqft

1,806

Lot sqft

7,405

HOA / mo

None

Furnished

No

List date

2026-10-27T18:31:57.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$36,667

ADR

$190

Occupancy

53%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$9,168

Confidence

High (70.65), 5 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$29,321$36,159$37,596

Few similar-size comps were found, so all comps are shown.

Median revenue of shown comps: $36,159

  • Carden Cabin- 4 Bedrooms, 2.5 Bathrooms, Sleeps 10

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.8 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $37,596ADR $195Occ ≈ 53%5★ (324)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Valley View Farm House

    House · 4 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 1.3 mi

    Revenue $27,264ADR $186Occ ≈ 40%5★ (62)

    Airbnb

  • The Great Escape King suite, Kid friendly

    Vacation home · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 2.0 mi

    Revenue $36,159ADR $318Occ ≈ 31%4.2★ (4)

    Booking

  • Sunset Farm Stay with Pond

    House · 4 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 12 · 2.1 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $54,824ADR $183Occ ≈ 82%4.9★ (83)

    Airbnb

  • The Great Escape- 4 bedroom Condo- lots of space

    House · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 2.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $29,321ADR $272Occ ≈ 30%4.8★ (81)

    AirbnbVrbo

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 8.07% = 7.32% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 22) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$36,667

NOI

$18,895

Cash flow /mo

-$696

Cash needed

$141,871

Cash-on-cash

-5.9%

ROE (yr 1)

4.6%

Cap rate

4.6%

DSCR

0.69

Year-1 write-off

$113,939

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$36,460

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$8,355
  • Principal paydown$2,533
  • Appreciation at%$12,297
ROE4.6%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$7,333
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,100
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$1,833
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$846
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$2,459

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$102,475
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$16,396
  • Furnishing (bought new)$23,000

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$36,460

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$374,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$91,000 · 24%

Year-1 deduction

$114,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$36,000

Land 9% (county tax record, market value split) · building $283,000 over 39 years · new furniture $23,000

Based on: 1,806 sq ft, built 2024, 4 bd / 3 ba, unfurnished, listing features (deck, stone counters, appliance list).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $68,000 in year 1 (12% short-life, $22,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$73,400
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $9,800 new × 92% good × 1.12 allocation

    $10,100
  • Kitchen countertops (stone)listing

    $10,000 new × 92% good × 1.12 allocation

    $10,300
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $3,200 new × 92% good × 1.12 allocation

    $3,300
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $500 new × 83% good × 1.12 allocation

    $400
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,500 new × 92% good × 1.12 allocation

    $1,500
  • Window coverings (18)default

    $4,500 new × 80% good × 1.12 allocation

    $4,000
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (40% of floors)default

    $4,600 new × 83% good × 1.12 allocation

    $4,300
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $7,600 new × 96% good × 1.12 allocation

    $8,200
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,600 new × 96% good × 1.12 allocation

    $4,900
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher)listing

    $3,500 new × 83% good × 1.12 allocation

    $3,300
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $23,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $23,000
15-year land improvements$40,200
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $8,800 new × 92% good × 1.12 allocation

    $9,100
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $8,500 new × 92% good × 1.12 allocation

    $8,800
  • Patiosdefault

    $1,800 new × 92% good × 1.12 allocation

    $1,800
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $20,300 new × 90% good × 1.12 allocation

    $20,500
Building, 39-year$283,400
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $195,400 new × 97% good × 1.12 allocation

    $212,000
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $20,300 new × 96% good × 1.12 allocation

    $21,900
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $20,200 new × 96% good × 1.12 allocation

    $21,700
  • HVACdefault

    $20,300 new × 90% good × 1.12 allocation

    $20,600
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $7,000 new × 92% good × 1.12 allocation

    $7,200

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$73,400$40,200$300$113,900
2$0$0$7,300$7,300
3$0$0$7,300$7,300
4$0$0$7,300$7,300
5$0$0$7,300$7,300
6+$0$0$254,000$254,000
Total$73,400$40,200$283,400$397,000

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

STR allowed in most of Sevier County; inside Gatlinburg city limits only in overnight-rental zones.