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Rate 8.15% = 7.40% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 15) + 0.75% investor premium

1540 Licking Spring Way

1540 Licking Spring Way

Sevierville, TN 37876

$629,000

3 bd · 3 ba · 2,246 sqft · Listed today

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidenceNegative cash flow

Year built

1999

Sqft

2,246

Lot sqft

118,048

HOA / mo

$0

Furnished

No

List date

2026-10-17T01:18:29.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$66,137

ADR

$341

Occupancy

53%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$12,708

Confidence

Low (44.67), 6 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$43,831$53,269$65,420

Median revenue of shown comps: $53,269

  • 3 Peaks View-Amazing Mountain Views, Hot Tub, WIFI

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $8,396ADR $246Occ ≈ 9%—

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Licking Spring Hideaway

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $45,509ADR $387Occ ≈ 32%4.9★ (7)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Deer Browse Hideaway: Sink a Putt, Soak It In

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $61,028ADR $354Occ ≈ 47%4.2★ (8)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Secluded Luxe Cabin | Hot Tub, Game Room, Theater

    House · 3 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $66,884ADR $316Occ ≈ 58%4.8★ (105)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Smokies Pool Cabin | Hot Tub | Theater | Dollywood

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.7 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +7

    Revenue $43,272ADR $439Occ ≈ 27%4.9★ (11)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Smokies & Dollywood 20 Min | Pool-HotTub-Theatre

    House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $98,323ADR $384Occ ≈ 70%5★ (48)

    Airbnb

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 8.15% = 7.40% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 15) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$66,137

NOI

$38,762

Cash flow /mo

-$281

Cash needed

$201,910

Cash-on-cash

-1.7%

ROE (yr 1)

9.6%

Cap rate

6.2%

DSCR

0.92

Year-1 write-off

$120,037

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$38,412

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$3,370
  • Principal paydown$3,825
  • Appreciation at%$18,870
ROE9.6%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$13,227
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,984
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$3,307
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$883
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$3,774

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$157,250
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$25,160
  • Furnishing (bought new)$19,500

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$38,412

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$556,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$100,000 · 18%

Year-1 deduction

$120,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$38,000

Land 12% (county tax record, market value split) · building $456,000 over 39 years · new furniture $20,000

Based on: 2,246 sq ft, built 1999, 3 bd / 3 ba, unfurnished, listing features (patio, fireplace, flooring types, appliance list, septic, wooded lot).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $91,000 in year 1 (13% short-life, $29,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$84,900
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $10,700 new × 40% good × 2.58 allocation

    $11,100
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $8,800 new × 40% good × 2.58 allocation

    $9,100
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $3,900 new × 40% good × 2.58 allocation

    $4,100
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $500 new × 40% good × 2.58 allocation

    $500
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,200 new × 40% good × 2.58 allocation

    $1,200
  • Window coverings (22)default

    $5,500 new × 40% good × 2.58 allocation

    $5,700
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (67% of floors)listing

    $9,600 new × 40% good × 2.58 allocation

    $9,900
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $8,300 new × 46% good × 2.58 allocation

    $9,900
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $5,000 new × 46% good × 2.58 allocation

    $6,000
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, refrigerator, washer, dryer)listing

    $7,700 new × 40% good × 2.58 allocation

    $8,000
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $19,500 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $19,500
15-year land improvements$34,700
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $9,800 new × 50% good × 2.58 allocation

    $12,700
  • Landscaping (minimal)listing

    $4,700 new × 50% good × 2.58 allocation

    $6,100
  • Patioslisting

    $10,100 new × 50% good × 2.58 allocation

    $13,000
  • Decks & porches (attached)default

    $2,200 new × 50% good × 2.58 allocation

    $2,900
Building, 39-year$456,000
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $243,800 new × 55% good × 2.58 allocation

    $346,100
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $25,300 new × 46% good × 2.58 allocation

    $30,000
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $25,700 new × 46% good × 2.58 allocation

    $30,600
  • HVACdefault

    $25,300 new × 40% good × 2.58 allocation

    $26,100
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $4,800 new × 40% good × 2.58 allocation

    $5,000
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 2.58 allocation

    $2,700
  • Septic systemlisting

    $12,000 new × 50% good × 2.58 allocation

    $15,500

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$84,900$34,700$500$120,000
2$0$0$11,700$11,700
3$0$0$11,700$11,700
4$0$0$11,700$11,700
5$0$0$11,700$11,700
6+$0$0$408,700$408,700
Total$84,900$34,700$456,000$575,500

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

STR allowed in most of Sevier County; inside Gatlinburg city limits only in overnight-rental zones.