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Rate 8.07% = 7.32% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 22) + 0.75% investor premium

519 Picadilly Ln

519 Picadilly Ln

Gatlinburg, TN 37738

$449,000

2 bd · 3 ba · 2,080 sqft · Listed 1d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Est. land %Negative cash flow

Year built

1987

Sqft

2,080

Lot sqft

73,181

HOA / mo

$178

Furnished

No

List date

2026-10-25T21:15:43.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$53,999

ADR

$238

Occupancy

62%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$10,245

Confidence

Med (57.97), 47 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$39,009$49,082$60,905

Median revenue of shown comps: $54,179

  • Mountain Laurel

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 121 ft

    Revenue $38,120ADR $191Occ ≈ 55%5★ (119)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Fox Den | Pet Friendly, Sun Deck, Hot Tub, Pool

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 266 ft

    Revenue $60,810ADR $288Occ ≈ 58%4.2★ (66)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Pets Welcome | Modern Cabin Vibes | Hot Tub

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 427 ft

    Revenue $55,427ADR $282Occ ≈ 54%4.7★ (152)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • MountainView*Peaceful*BearCubs*Romantic*HotTub

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 509 ft

    Revenue $20,057ADR $223Occ ≈ 25%4.9★ (113)

    Airbnb

  • Fall Colors Retreat Cozy Cabin, Hot Tub, Fireplace

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $60,717ADR $250Occ ≈ 67%5★ (161)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Celestial View - Mountain views and modern cabin

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $94,177ADR $381Occ ≈ 68%4.8★ (51)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Mountain Treasure | Pet Friendly, Game Room, Pool!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $82,833ADR $340Occ ≈ 67%4.5★ (63)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Wellness Retreat|HotTub|Sauna|FirePit|Creek|Hiking

    Cottage · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $40,046ADR $197Occ ≈ 56%5★ (86)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • A-Frame Above It All | Hot Tub- Amazing Mtn Views

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $71,343ADR $263Occ ≈ 74%4.9★ (36)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Cozy Log Cabin With Mountain Views, Hot Tub, And Game Room

    Chalet · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $85,888ADR $279Occ ≈ 84%4.8★ (8)

    Booking

Show 33 more
  • Cozy cabin in Cobbly Nob

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $46,216ADR $216Occ ≈ 59%5★ (147)

    Vrbo

  • Stunning views, hot tub, game room & spacious log

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $55,237ADR $249Occ ≈ 61%4.8★ (29)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Peak A View

    Vacation home · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $61,189ADR $552Occ ≈ 30%—

    Booking

  • Mountain Sunrise

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $28,180ADR $159Occ ≈ 49%4.7★ (243)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Cozy Cabin - Gorgeous Views, Hot Tub + Pool Table

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $48,095ADR $231Occ ≈ 57%4.5★ (59)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Dog Friendly-Views-Wood FP-Hot Tub-Pools-King Bed

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $83,253ADR $273Occ ≈ 84%5★ (294)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Cozy a-frame cabin location 15 minutes to Downtown Gatlinburg - Mountain View.

    Cabin · 2 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $38,109ADR $383Occ ≈ 27%5★ (1)

    Vrbo

  • Bears, hiking, golf, Gatlinburg, skiing & more!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $40,628ADR $161Occ ≈ 69%5★ (242)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • NEW!-Indoor Pool! Game Room~Kids Welcome!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $82,270ADR $410Occ ≈ 55%5★ (3)

    Vrbo

  • Views+Hot Tub+TreeTops+Bears+W/D+Easy Parking

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $53,013ADR $249Occ ≈ 58%5★ (225)

    Airbnb

  • Cozy Gatlinburg Cabin – Private Hideaway with Hot

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $2,392ADR $170Occ ≈ 4%—

    Airbnb

  • Cozy Gatlinburg Cabin – Private Hideaway with Hot

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $44,119ADR $206Occ ≈ 59%4.5★ (27)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Cozy Gatlinburg Cabin – Private Hideaway with Hot

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $14,934ADR $313Occ ≈ 13%—

    Airbnb

  • Fall Haven |Mtn Views|Hot Tub|Fire Pit|Arcade

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $60,218ADR $287Occ ≈ 57%5★ (52)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Private! Gorgeous cabin, 9 min. dwntwn Gatlinburg

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $14,084ADR $358Occ ≈ 11%4.2★ (5)

    Airbnb

  • Breathtaking Views, Spacious Balcony, Hot Tub,

    Cabin · 2 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $61,383ADR $259Occ ≈ 65%4.8★ (26)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • On Eagle’s Wings | Hot Tub, Game Room, Mtn Views

    Cabin · 2 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $65,738ADR $371Occ ≈ 49%4.8★ (35)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Bucky's Bungalow, Free Tickets, Hot Tub, WIFI

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $56,203ADR $218Occ ≈ 71%4.2★ (35)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • 2BR cabin w/shared pools & free attraction tickets

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $42,515ADR $246Occ ≈ 47%4★ (14)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Peace And Serenity Lodge - Hot Tub, Game, Views!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $69,192ADR $247Occ ≈ 77%5★ (40)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Reduced Rates! Amazing Views, Hot Tub + Fireplace!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $54,179ADR $276Occ ≈ 54%4.8★ (47)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Woodshed | Pet Friendly, Full Mountain Views!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $77,635ADR $300Occ ≈ 71%4.5★ (136)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • JJ Getaway - Cozy Cabin - Resort Pools

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $49,561ADR $196Occ ≈ 69%4.7★ (37)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Newly Renovated | Three Private Decks | Hot tub!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $60,266ADR $270Occ ≈ 61%4.9★ (115)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Quiet Gatlinburg Retreat・Hot tub・Fireplace・Pool

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $29,747ADR $216Occ ≈ 38%3.7★ (11)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Peak Of Perfection*Gatlinburg*Hot Tub*Views

    Cabin · 2 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $57,427ADR $271Occ ≈ 58%4.2★ (7)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Cozy Gatlinburg Cabin – Private Hideaway with Hot

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $7,069ADR $284Occ ≈ 7%—

    Airbnb

  • Smoky Mtn Views | Hot Tub | Sleeps 6 | Fireplace

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $38,606ADR $217Occ ≈ 49%4.5★ (18)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Cozy Mountain View 2B/B- Firepit

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $25,760ADR $223Occ ≈ 32%4.9★ (135)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Mountain Bliss-cozy cabin Gatlinburg-TN

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $58,142ADR $305Occ ≈ 52%5★ (131)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Arcade Games, Hot Tub & Fire Pit + Access to Golf

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $48,603ADR $223Occ ≈ 60%4.8★ (34)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • NEW! Fifty Shades Themed-Honeymoon Cabin

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $41,020ADR $233Occ ≈ 48%5★ (45)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Luxury Cabin, best views of Smokies! Hot tub, more

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $71,559ADR $288Occ ≈ 68%5★ (341)

    AirbnbVrbo

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 8.07% = 7.32% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 22) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$53,999

NOI

$28,600

Cash flow /mo

-$104

Cash needed

$152,210

Cash-on-cash

-0.8%

ROE (yr 1)

9.9%

Cap rate

6.4%

DSCR

0.96

Year-1 write-off

$124,801

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$39,936

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$1,249
  • Principal paydown$2,774
  • Appreciation at%$13,470
ROE9.9%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$10,800
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,620
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$2,700
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$2,136
  • Property tax$1,249
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$2,694

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$112,250
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$17,960
  • Furnishing (bought new)$22,000

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$39,936

No county tax record split for property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split, so those use market defaults — edit the price above; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$382,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$103,000 · 27%

Year-1 deduction

$125,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$40,000

Land 15% (market default, no usable tax-record split) · building $279,000 over 39 years · new furniture $22,000

Based on: 2,080 sq ft, built 1987, 2 bd / 3 ba, unfurnished, listing features (hot tub, deck, game room, fireplace, flooring types, appliance list, septic, wooded lot).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $78,000 in year 1 (15% short-life, $25,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$81,300
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $10,400 new × 40% good × 2.19 allocation

    $9,100
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $8,500 new × 40% good × 2.19 allocation

    $7,400
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $3,600 new × 40% good × 2.19 allocation

    $3,200
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $500 new × 40% good × 2.19 allocation

    $400
  • Shelvingdefault

    $900 new × 40% good × 2.19 allocation

    $800
  • Window coverings (21)default

    $5,300 new × 40% good × 2.19 allocation

    $4,600
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (67% of floors)listing

    $8,900 new × 40% good × 2.19 allocation

    $7,800
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $8,100 new × 40% good × 2.19 allocation

    $7,100
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,900 new × 40% good × 2.19 allocation

    $4,300
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, refrigerator, washer, dryer)listing

    $7,700 new × 40% good × 2.19 allocation

    $6,700
  • Hot tub (freestanding)listing

    $9,000 new × 40% good × 2.19 allocation

    $7,900
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $16,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $16,000
  • Game-room equipment bought newlisting

    $6,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $6,000
15-year land improvements$43,200
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $9,500 new × 50% good × 2.19 allocation

    $10,400
  • Landscaping (minimal)listing

    $4,500 new × 50% good × 2.19 allocation

    $5,000
  • Patiosdefault

    $2,100 new × 50% good × 2.19 allocation

    $2,300
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $23,400 new × 50% good × 2.19 allocation

    $25,600
Building, 39-year$279,100
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $225,900 new × 40% good × 2.19 allocation

    $198,000
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $23,400 new × 40% good × 2.19 allocation

    $20,500
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $23,600 new × 40% good × 2.19 allocation

    $20,700
  • HVACdefault

    $23,400 new × 40% good × 2.19 allocation

    $20,500
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $4,500 new × 40% good × 2.19 allocation

    $3,900
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 2.19 allocation

    $2,300
  • Septic systemlisting

    $12,000 new × 50% good × 2.19 allocation

    $13,100

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$81,300$43,200$300$124,800
2$0$0$7,200$7,200
3$0$0$7,200$7,200
4$0$0$7,200$7,200
5$0$0$7,200$7,200
6+$0$0$250,200$250,200
Total$81,300$43,200$279,100$403,600

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

STR allowed in most of Sevier County; inside Gatlinburg city limits only in overnight-rental zones.