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Rate 7.93% = 7.18% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Nov 5) + 0.75% investor premium

43142 Moonridge Rd

43142 Moonridge Rd

Big Bear Lake, CA 92315

$999,000

4 bd · 3 ba · 2,256 sqft · Listed 2d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidenceEst. land %Negative cash flow

Year built

2026

Sqft

2,256

Lot sqft

7,680

HOA / mo

$0

Furnished

No

List date

2026-11-10T03:17:39.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$48,367

ADR

$444

Occupancy

30%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$9,312

Confidence

Low (39.36), 45 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$27,139$45,801$62,344

Median revenue of shown comps: $48,164

  • Bear Mtn Ski Resort 1 min by car, Spa, Fireplace!

    Chalet · 4 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 66 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $20,944ADR $478Occ ≈ 12%5★ (6)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 1 Mi to Slopes: Big Bear Lake 'Alpen Haus' w/ Spa

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 11 · 358 ft

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $48,970ADR $483Occ ≈ 28%4.8★ (60)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Fun-Filled Cabin with Game Room & Hot Tub

    Chalet · 4 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 13 · 492 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $90,822ADR $666Occ ≈ 37%4.8★ (36)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Fairway to Heaven w/ Hot Tub Views Of Golf Course

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $61,026ADR $501Occ ≈ 33%4.8★ (47)

    Delisted

  • Fairway to Heaven

    Vacation home · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $57,397ADR $444Occ ≈ 35%—

    Booking

  • Luxury Log Cabin | Hot Tub, Game Room

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $64,560ADR $879Occ ≈ 20%5★ (4)

    Airbnb

  • Luxe Moonridge Log Cabin | Hot Tub + Games + AC!

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +5

    Revenue $18,681ADR $475Occ ≈ 11%5★ (9)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Le Vonde Chalet - Luxury log-style, Hot Tub, Game Room, Fire Pit, Walk to Slopes

    Vacation home · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 11 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $38,289ADR $835Occ ≈ 13%—

    Booking

  • Moonridge Golf Escape | Firepit | Walk to Slopes

    House · 4 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $40,534ADR $496Occ ≈ 22%4.8★ (13)

    Delisted

  • Fairway to Heaven | Views of Golf Course & Hot Tub

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $52,866ADR $506Occ ≈ 29%5★ (5)

    AirbnbVrbo

Show 22 more
  • Hot Tub & Game Room: Spacious Big Bear Lake Cabin

    Cabin · 4 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 13 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $72,824ADR $504Occ ≈ 40%4.1★ (19)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Close to Ski Resorts! Game Room! Pet Friendly!

    House · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.2 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $33,916ADR $296Occ ≈ 31%4.6★ (51)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Walk to Ski Resort: Mtn-View Cabin w/ Hot Tub!

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $36,134ADR $663Occ ≈ 15%4.7★ (40)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • RidgeTop Retreat, new rental.

    House · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.2 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +3

    Revenue $29,913ADR $596Occ ≈ 14%5★ (12)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Game Room! Yard! Fireplaces! BBQ! Hot Tub!

    House · 4 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $34,628ADR $524Occ ≈ 18%4.5★ (118)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Walking Distance to Bear Mtn!Hot Tub!Fenced Yard!

    House · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $47,358ADR $478Occ ≈ 27%4.9★ (28)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Walk to Ski Lift: Gem w/ Hot Tub in Big Bear Lake

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 13 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer

    Revenue $68,739ADR $705Occ ≈ 27%5★ (88)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Grizzly Mountain Retreat

    House · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 11 · 0.2 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +2

    Revenue $68,801ADR $517Occ ≈ 36%4.7★ (39)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Bear Mtn Chalet |Walk 2 Zoo, Bear Mtn & Golf+Games

    House · 4 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.3 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $26,214ADR $550Occ ≈ 13%4.8★ (47)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Stay Forever Cabin ~ Book your stay today!

    House · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.3 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $2,797ADR $392Occ ≈ 2%5★ (1)

    Airbnb

  • Luxury A-Frame at Bear Mtn | Hot tub and game room

    House · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $19,105ADR $557Occ ≈ 9%5★ (4)

    Delisted

  • Panoramic Views! HOT TUB! Near Bear Mtn, Golf&Zoo!

    House · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $31,923ADR $381Occ ≈ 23%4.8★ (12)

    Airbnb

  • Halfpipe Lodge - 4 bd/4 bth (8 beds) w/spa.

    Cabin · 4 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 11 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +4

    Revenue $53,239ADR $492Occ ≈ 30%5★ (73)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Edge Family Getaway: Tub!Pool Table!Internet! BBQ!

    House · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $44,244ADR $309Occ ≈ 39%4.5★ (158)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Bear Mountain Chalet w/ views, Hot Tub, and Games!

    Cabin · 4 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $58,059ADR $750Occ ≈ 21%5★ (7)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Moonlit Chalet: Hot Tub, Huge Deck w/ Fire Pit.

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $72,113ADR $720Occ ≈ 27%5★ (18)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Moonridge Ski&Zoo Chalet HotTub/4BB/BBQ/Fr Pit/AC*

    Chalet · 4 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $83,728ADR $524Occ ≈ 44%5★ (67)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Moonridge Retreat ~ Snow Summit View, Games & Pets

    House · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $13,401ADR $285Occ ≈ 13%4.9★ (10)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Incredible views, hot tub, walk to hiking trails

    Chalet · 4 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +5

    Revenue $135,092ADR $705Occ ≈ 52%5★ (315)

    Airbnb

  • Rustic Bear Mountain Retreat • Large Deck • Spa

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $51,503ADR $362Occ ≈ 39%4.9★ (35)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 4bdr Big bear cabin/hot tub +pool table

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +6

    Revenue $20,762ADR $329Occ ≈ 17%4.6★ (10)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Moonridge Retreat | Hot Tub+A/C+Fire Pit+Near Lake

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +4

    Revenue $92,173ADR $324Occ ≈ 78%4.9★ (109)

    Airbnb

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 7.93% = 7.18% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Nov 5) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$48,367

NOI

$14,540

Cash flow /mo

-$4,250

Cash needed

$312,710

Cash-on-cash

-16.3%

ROE (yr 1)

-4.7%

Cap rate

1.5%

DSCR

0.22

Year-1 write-off

$162,291

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$51,933

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$50,994
  • Principal paydown$6,346
  • Appreciation at%$29,970
ROE-4.7%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$9,673
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,451
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$2,418
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$12,488
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$5,095

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$249,750
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$39,960
  • Furnishing (bought new)$23,000

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$51,933

No county tax record split for property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split, so those use market defaults — edit the price above; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$699,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$139,000 · 20%

Year-1 deduction

$162,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$52,000

Land 30% (market default, no usable tax-record split) · building $561,000 over 39 years · new furniture $23,000

Based on: 2,256 sq ft, built 2026, 4 bd / 3 ba, unfurnished, listing features (fireplace).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $116,000 in year 1 (13% short-life, $37,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$121,600
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $10,700 new × 100% good × 1.69 allocation

    $18,100
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $8,800 new × 100% good × 1.69 allocation

    $14,800
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $3,900 new × 100% good × 1.69 allocation

    $6,700
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $500 new × 100% good × 1.69 allocation

    $800
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,500 new × 100% good × 1.69 allocation

    $2,500
  • Window coverings (23)default

    $5,800 new × 100% good × 1.69 allocation

    $9,700
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (40% of floors)default

    $5,800 new × 100% good × 1.69 allocation

    $9,800
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $8,400 new × 100% good × 1.69 allocation

    $14,100
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $5,100 new × 100% good × 1.69 allocation

    $8,500
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, disposal, refrigerator, washer, dryer)default

    $8,100 new × 100% good × 1.69 allocation

    $13,700
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $23,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $23,000
15-year land improvements$40,100
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $9,800 new × 100% good × 1.69 allocation

    $16,600
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $9,500 new × 100% good × 1.69 allocation

    $16,000
  • Patiosdefault

    $2,200 new × 100% good × 1.69 allocation

    $3,800
  • Decks & porches (attached)default

    $2,200 new × 100% good × 1.69 allocation

    $3,800
Building, 39-year$560,600
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $244,600 new × 100% good × 1.69 allocation

    $412,200
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $25,400 new × 100% good × 1.69 allocation

    $42,800
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $25,900 new × 100% good × 1.69 allocation

    $43,600
  • HVACdefault

    $25,400 new × 100% good × 1.69 allocation

    $42,800
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $8,700 new × 100% good × 1.69 allocation

    $14,700
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 100% good × 1.69 allocation

    $4,400

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$121,600$40,100$600$162,300
2$0$0$14,400$14,400
3$0$0$14,400$14,400
4$0$0$14,400$14,400
5$0$0$14,400$14,400
6+$0$0$502,500$502,500
Total$121,600$40,100$560,600$722,300

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Big Bear Lake (city) and unincorporated county areas both allow permitted short-term rentals, and we found no numeric permit cap in either. Permits/licenses generally do NOT transfer on sale — a buyer must apply for their own, so confirm permit status with the city or San Bernardino County before closing. City: vacation rental license, up to 3 per owner. County: 1 permit per parcel under 2 acres, 2 max per owner. Lodging tax ~13% in the city, ~7% county. Rules change; verify before you buy.