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Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

48 Woodleaf Rd Unit 29

48 Woodleaf Rd Unit 29

Morganton, GA 30560

$679,000

3 bd · 2.5 ba · Listed 12d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidenceEst. land %Negative cash flow

Year built

2026

Sqft

—

Lot sqft

97,139

HOA / mo

$0

Furnished

No

List date

2026-09-15T01:43:21.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$29,501

ADR

$235

Occupancy

34%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$6,229

Confidence

Med (53.06), 7 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$20,641$25,267$32,984
  • Stunning Escape w/ Loft, Hot Tub + Mtn Views!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $18,494ADR $390Occ ≈ 13%5★ (45)

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  • Cozy Bear Lodge Log Cabin Blue Ridge Mtns

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $44,906ADR $307Occ ≈ 40%5★ (84)

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  • 3 Fireplaces, Mtn Views & Dog Friendly

    House · 3 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $25,267ADR $353Occ ≈ 20%4.9★ (68)

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  • 15% Off Summer Sale—Discount Already Applied!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $28,899ADR $197Occ ≈ 40%4.8★ (21)

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  • Mountain Cabin w/ Hot Tub in Morganton, GA

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $6,962ADR $341Occ ≈ 6%5★ (1)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 3BR mountain view cabin with deck & fireplace

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $22,788ADR $201Occ ≈ 31%4.7★ (43)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Mountain Hideaway | Hot Tub | Gameroom

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $37,068ADR $202Occ ≈ 50%5★ (107)

    AirbnbVrbo

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Term

Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$29,501

NOI

$4,649

Cash flow /mo

-$3,271

Cash needed

$216,410

Cash-on-cash

-18.1%

ROE (yr 1)

-6.7%

Cap rate

0.7%

DSCR

0.11

Year-1 write-off

$119,574

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$38,264

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$39,258
  • Principal paydown$4,443
  • Appreciation at%$20,370
ROE-6.7%
ROE incl. year-1 tax savings (32% bracket, STR loophole)11.0%
Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$5,900
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$885
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$1,475
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$5,160
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$7,231

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$169,750
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$27,160
  • Furnishing (bought new)$19,500

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$38,264

No county tax record split for property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split, so those use market defaults — edit the price above; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$577,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$99,000 · 17%

Year-1 deduction

$120,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$38,000

Land 15% (market default, no usable tax-record split) · building $479,000 over 39 years · new furniture $20,000

Based on: ~1,900 sq ft (from beds), built 2026, 3 bd / 2.5 ba, unfurnished, listing features (fireplace, flooring types, appliance list, septic, wooded lot).

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $80,000 in year 1 (10% short-life, $26,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$90,400
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $10,000 new × 100% good × 1.61 allocation

    $16,100
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $8,200 new × 100% good × 1.61 allocation

    $13,100
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $3,300 new × 100% good × 1.61 allocation

    $5,400
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $300 new × 100% good × 1.61 allocation

    $500
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,200 new × 100% good × 1.61 allocation

    $1,900
  • Window coverings (19)default

    $4,800 new × 100% good × 1.61 allocation

    $7,700
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $7,800 new × 100% good × 1.61 allocation

    $12,500
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,700 new × 100% good × 1.61 allocation

    $7,500
  • Appliances (microwave, dishwasher, refrigerator)listing

    $3,900 new × 100% good × 1.61 allocation

    $6,300
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $19,500 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $19,500
15-year land improvements$27,600
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $9,000 new × 100% good × 1.61 allocation

    $14,600
  • Landscaping (minimal)listing

    $4,300 new × 100% good × 1.61 allocation

    $7,000
  • Patiosdefault

    $1,900 new × 100% good × 1.61 allocation

    $3,000
  • Decks & porches (attached)default

    $1,900 new × 100% good × 1.61 allocation

    $3,000
Building, 39-year$478,600
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $206,100 new × 100% good × 1.61 allocation

    $332,000
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $21,400 new × 100% good × 1.61 allocation

    $34,400
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $21,400 new × 100% good × 1.61 allocation

    $34,400
  • HVACdefault

    $21,400 new × 100% good × 1.61 allocation

    $34,500
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $12,200 new × 100% good × 1.61 allocation

    $19,700
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 100% good × 1.61 allocation

    $4,200
  • Septic systemlisting

    $12,000 new × 100% good × 1.61 allocation

    $19,300

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$90,400$27,600$1,500$119,600
2$0$0$12,300$12,300
3$0$0$12,300$12,300
4$0$0$12,300$12,300
5$0$0$12,300$12,300
6+$0$0$428,000$428,000
Total$90,400$27,600$478,600$596,600

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: Georgia disallows bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Fannin and Gilmer counties require STR registration and lodging tax; no cap found. Blue Ridge and Ellijay city limits have their own rules; most cabins are in unincorporated county.