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Rate 8.15% = 7.40% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 8) + 0.75% investor premium

42948 Moonridge Rd

42948 Moonridge Rd

Big Bear City, CA 92314

$639,000

3 bd · 2 ba · 1,522 sqft · Listed 1d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidenceEst. land %Negative cash flow

Year built

1955

Sqft

1,522

Lot sqft

7,680

HOA / mo

None

Furnished

Yes

List date

2026-10-13T23:32:45.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$31,267

ADR

$306

Occupancy

28%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$6,276

Confidence

Low (38.68), 50 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$14,578$25,039$39,677

Median revenue of shown comps: $26,327

  • Silver Fox Den | Bear Mtn & Golf View Near Slopes

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 10 ft

    Revenue $34,067ADR $395Occ ≈ 24%5★ (29)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Mountain View, Pool Table, Walk to Coffee and Zoo

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 56 ft

    Revenue $36,822ADR $248Occ ≈ 41%5★ (10)

    Delisted

  • Amazing Mountain View, Adorable with Pool Table

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 230 ft

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $2,056ADR $366Occ ≈ 2%5★ (3)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Sunshine Cabin: Comfortable, Cozy 2-Story Getaway

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 6 · 302 ft

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Fireplace

    Revenue $23,598ADR $211Occ ≈ 31%4.1★ (27)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Tehama Cottage: Close to Bear Mtn! Pet Friendly!

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 381 ft

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $30,846ADR $274Occ ≈ 31%4.8★ (69)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Golf & Ski Retreat at Bear Mountain by Big Bear Vacations

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 397 ft

    Revenue $55,303ADR $620Occ ≈ 24%—

    Booking

  • 1443-Golf & Ski Retreat

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 410 ft

    Revenue $56,316ADR $535Occ ≈ 29%—

    Booking

  • Golf & Ski Retreat: 3BR w/ Deck, Fire Pit & Views

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 423 ft

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +2

    Revenue $26,327ADR $450Occ ≈ 16%4.3★ (35)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Bear Hug Hideaway

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $39,211ADR $343Occ ≈ 31%4.9★ (167)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Large Deck • Firepit • 3 Mins to Bear Mountain

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +1

    Revenue $39,832ADR $322Occ ≈ 34%4.7★ (54)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

Show 35 more
  • Walk to Bear Mtn. Jacuzzi New Kitchen King Bed

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $29,849ADR $279Occ ≈ 29%4.8★ (261)

    Airbnb

  • Boutique Cabin, Across From Zoo, Mountain Views

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $42,056ADR $361Occ ≈ 32%5★ (79)

    Airbnb

  • Mt Vista Retreat~Pet ok

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $31,111ADR $521Occ ≈ 16%5★ (2)

    Airbnb

  • Welcome to the Moonridge Chalet

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $18,788ADR $245Occ ≈ 21%4.8★ (40)

    Airbnb

  • Walk to Slopes Hot Tub, Air Hockey, Deck

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $24,670ADR $456Occ ≈ 15%3.8★ (13)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Bear’s Lair by AvantStay | 3mins to Bear Mountain

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $2,604ADR $309Occ ≈ 2%—

    Delisted

  • CedarBear Cabin

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +5

    Revenue $12,811ADR $263Occ ≈ 13%5★ (4)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Walk to Bear Mountain | Log Cabin + Fireplace

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.1 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +1

    Revenue $9,595ADR $413Occ ≈ 6%5★ (1)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Louie Bear | Spa, Bbq, Cozy, Moonridge!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $1,966ADR $163Occ ≈ 3%5★ (4)

    Airbnb

  • Cute! Lower Moonridge! Walk to Zoo-Golf-Slopes ADS

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $23,517ADR $443Occ ≈ 15%4.6★ (76)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Hot Tub, Arcade, Pet Friendly with Fenced Yard

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $17,753ADR $277Occ ≈ 18%5★ (9)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Ultimate Ski Trip~ 8 Bed, Hot Tub, 3 min to resort

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $10,795ADR $622Occ ≈ 5%4.8★ (41)

    Delisted

  • LA Miracle's Chalet *Pet Friendly/HotTub*

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $18,890ADR $256Occ ≈ 20%4.8★ (33)

    Delisted

  • Near Bear Mtn | Hot Tub + Game Room

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $39,955ADR $388Occ ≈ 28%4.8★ (14)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Walk to Zoo, Game Room, Hot Tub, Luxury Cabin

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +4

    Revenue $28,271ADR $562Occ ≈ 14%5★ (45)

    Airbnb

  • Mountain View Cabin with Private Hot Tub

    House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.2 mi

    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Washer

    Revenue $4,368ADR $128Occ ≈ 9%4★ (2)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Walk to Bear Mtn & Zoo | Fireplace

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +1

    Revenue $11,990ADR $356Occ ≈ 9%4.4★ (16)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Cozy Big Bear Cabin -Hot Tub/Game Room/Mountains

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $37,628ADR $497Occ ≈ 21%4.8★ (124)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • King Kong’s Cozy Cabin with View

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +2

    Revenue $6,537ADR $490Occ ≈ 4%4.9★ (22)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Modern, Hot Tub, Baby Items, Kids Play Set

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $1,292ADR $0Occ ≈ —4.9★ (12)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Summit Views-Mins from Bear Mtn., Golf, and Zoo

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $23,276ADR $256Occ ≈ 25%4.9★ (17)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • NEW Hot Tub • Central Heat • NearZoo • Fenced Yard

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +5

    Revenue $30,657ADR $288Occ ≈ 29%4.9★ (67)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Switzerland - Close to Slopes & Zoo, Fireplace, Deck, Barbecue

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $24,956ADR $422Occ ≈ 16%—

    Booking

  • Walk to Slope Pickup & Zoo! Fireplaces,Balcony&BBQ

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $18,348ADR $228Occ ≈ 22%4.8★ (59)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Big Bear Mountain Cabin • Hot Tub • Golf & Zoo!

    House · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $18,347ADR $489Occ ≈ 10%4.8★ (27)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Vacation Art Gallery: Houz of Ozzi (ev charging)

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $47,513ADR $297Occ ≈ 44%4.8★ (53)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Mountain Chic Cabin: Scenic Deck, Trails & Hot Tub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $41,452ADR $514Occ ≈ 22%4.9★ (100)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Moonridge Sky Lodge w/ Game Room & Jacuzzi

    House · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +1

    Revenue $28,891ADR $501Occ ≈ 16%4.7★ (52)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Moonridge A-Frame Beauty-Central Heat/AC- Hot Tub

    House · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $59,404ADR $426Occ ≈ 38%4.9★ (52)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Location, Location, Location! Emerald Isle Cabin

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $64,449ADR $289Occ ≈ 61%5★ (147)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • < 1 Mi to Bear Mtn! Family Ski Cabin w/ Game Room

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +1

    Revenue $14,063ADR $322Occ ≈ 12%4.8★ (4)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Bear Paws & Rest Retreat | Moonridge Family Cabin

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $46,182ADR $758Occ ≈ 17%3.9★ (4)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Bear Paws and Rest Retreat #2542

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $58,576ADR $542Occ ≈ 30%—

    Booking

  • Hillsie's Hideaway

    Cabin · 3 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $8,638ADR $195Occ ≈ 12%4.8★ (43)

    Delisted

  • HOT TUB!PoolTable!Close to Bear Mtn Shuttles&Zoo!

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $47,870ADR $342Occ ≈ 38%4.7★ (105)

    Airbnb

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 8.15% = 7.40% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 8) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$31,267

NOI

$8,024

Cash flow /mo

-$2,898

Cash needed

$185,310

Cash-on-cash

-18.8%

ROE (yr 1)

-6.3%

Cap rate

1.3%

DSCR

0.19

Year-1 write-off

$116,750

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$37,360

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$34,777
  • Principal paydown$3,886
  • Appreciation at%$19,170
ROE-6.3%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$6,253
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$938
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$1,563
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$7,988
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$3,259

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$159,750
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$25,560
  • Furnishing (conveyed with the sale)$0

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$37,360

No county tax record split for property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split, so those use market defaults — edit the price above; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$450,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$116,000 · 26%

Year-1 deduction

$117,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$37,000

Land 30% (market default, no usable tax-record split) · building $333,000 over 39 years

Based on: 1,522 sq ft, built 1955, 3 bd / 2 ba, furnished, listing features (fireplace, flooring types, appliance list).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $82,000 in year 1 (18% short-life, $26,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$80,400
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $9,100 new × 40% good × 3.82 allocation

    $14,000
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $7,500 new × 40% good × 3.82 allocation

    $11,400
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $2,700 new × 40% good × 3.82 allocation

    $4,100
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $300 new × 40% good × 3.82 allocation

    $500
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,200 new × 40% good × 3.82 allocation

    $1,800
  • Window coverings (15)default

    $3,800 new × 40% good × 3.82 allocation

    $5,700
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (100% of floors)listing

    $9,800 new × 40% good × 3.82 allocation

    $15,000
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $7,100 new × 40% good × 3.82 allocation

    $10,900
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,300 new × 40% good × 3.82 allocation

    $6,600
  • Appliances (range)listing

    $1,800 new × 40% good × 3.82 allocation

    $2,700
  • Furniture conveyed with the sale (used)listing

    $19,500 new × 40% good · out of the price

    $7,800
15-year land improvements$36,000
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $8,100 new × 50% good × 3.82 allocation

    $15,400
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $7,800 new × 50% good × 3.82 allocation

    $14,900
  • Patiosdefault

    $1,500 new × 50% good × 3.82 allocation

    $2,900
  • Decks & porches (attached)default

    $1,500 new × 50% good × 3.82 allocation

    $2,900
Building, 39-year$333,200
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $164,800 new × 40% good × 3.82 allocation

    $251,600
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $17,100 new × 40% good × 3.82 allocation

    $26,100
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $16,600 new × 40% good × 3.82 allocation

    $25,300
  • HVACdefault

    $17,100 new × 40% good × 3.82 allocation

    $26,200
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 3.82 allocation

    $4,000

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$80,400$36,000$400$116,800
2$0$0$8,500$8,500
3$0$0$8,500$8,500
4$0$0$8,500$8,500
5$0$0$8,500$8,500
6+$0$0$298,700$298,700
Total$80,400$36,000$333,200$449,600

The building's share of the price ($442,000) is 3.8x our depreciated replacement cost of the home ($116,000). The IRS guide treats a gap this size as a reason to review the land share: if land is worth more than the county ratio says, the basis and the write-off are smaller.

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Big Bear Lake (city) and unincorporated county areas both allow permitted short-term rentals, and we found no numeric permit cap in either. Permits/licenses generally do NOT transfer on sale — a buyer must apply for their own, so confirm permit status with the city or San Bernardino County before closing. City: vacation rental license, up to 3 per owner. County: 1 permit per parcel under 2 acres, 2 max per owner. Lodging tax ~13% in the city, ~7% county. Rules change; verify before you buy.