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Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

985 King Branch Rd

985 King Branch Rd

Sevierville, TN 37876

$849,000

3 bd · 3 ba · 2,288 sqft · Listed 2d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Est. land %Negative cash flow

Year built

2024

Sqft

2,288

Lot sqft

130,680

HOA / mo

$0

Furnished

Yes

List date

2026-09-25T13:51:45.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$60,242

ADR

$266

Occupancy

62%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$10,067

Confidence

Med (61.19), 24 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$47,768$56,530$68,844
  • Dreamy 3BD Lodge w/ Hot Tub + Fire Pit + Near TOWN

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 11 · 364 ft

    Revenue $68,014ADR $353Occ ≈ 53%4.9★ (35)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Sleeps 8, Cozy Cabin, Spacious Outdoor, View

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $55,934ADR $424Occ ≈ 36%4.8★ (16)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Family-Friendly Cabin w/Hot Tub, Fireplace, Theater Room, Arcade, & Sauna

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 14 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $53,034ADR $0Occ ≈ —3.5★ (2)

    Vrbo

  • Charming 1940s Creek-side Getaway w/Huge Yard

    Cottage · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $23,138ADR $240Occ ≈ 26%5★ (107)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Family Cabin w/Hot Tub, Theater, Game Room, Sauna

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 16 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $57,662ADR $439Occ ≈ 36%4.8★ (70)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Secluded Smoky Mountain Cabin w/ Theater & Hot Tub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $48,412ADR $460Occ ≈ 29%4.4★ (54)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Relaxing Mountain Escape w/ Fire Pit & Hot Tub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $71,332ADR $354Occ ≈ 55%3★ (3)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • The Escape

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $52,197ADR $268Occ ≈ 53%4.8★ (264)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Magical Log Cabin w/ Tub + Games

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $61,240ADR $289Occ ≈ 58%5★ (98)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Cloud 9 by American Patriot Getaways

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $57,126ADR $253Occ ≈ 62%—

    Booking

Show all 24 comps
  • Relaxing Mountain Escape w/ Fire Pit & Hot Tub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $59,088ADR $380Occ ≈ 43%4★ (0)

    Vrbo

  • Soak in a Private Hot Tub at This Cozy Log Cabin

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $72,225ADR $297Occ ≈ 67%4.8★ (50)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • The Hartland - Hot Tub, Jacuzzi, Fireplace

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $89,391ADR $442Occ ≈ 55%4.4★ (5)

    Booking

  • Second Fiddle | Game Room & Private Hot Tub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $62,312ADR $309Occ ≈ 55%4.8★ (209)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Designer Cabin w/ Mt Views - 8 min to Dollywood!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $72,219ADR $255Occ ≈ 78%4.8★ (201)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Hot Tub | Game Room | Between Gatlinburg & Pigeon

    House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $7,298ADR $331Occ ≈ 6%4★ (2)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Secluded cabin, great location, hot tub, and foosball!

    Chalet · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $22,513ADR $190Occ ≈ 32%2.5★ (1)

    Booking

  • Relaxing 3BD Cabin w/ HOT TUB! Pool Table + GAMES!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $45,836ADR $252Occ ≈ 50%4.8★ (60)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Moonlit Pines by American Patriot Getaways

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $87,998ADR $331Occ ≈ 73%—

    Booking

  • A Smoky Mountain Dream #291

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $52,410ADR $194Occ ≈ 74%4.2★ (2)

    Booking

  • Big Sky View

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $79,986ADR $325Occ ≈ 67%—

    Booking

  • Nascar Nation Where Every Stay Wins

    Chalet · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $39,144ADR $264Occ ≈ 41%—

    Booking

  • Mountain Views

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $52,863ADR $283Occ ≈ 51%4.6★ (47)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Summer Specials! Amazing Views! Prime Location

    House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.8 mi

    Revenue $16,318ADR $318Occ ≈ 14%5★ (7)

    AirbnbVrbo

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Term

Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$60,242

NOI

$30,892

Cash flow /mo

-$2,001

Cash needed

$246,210

Cash-on-cash

-9.8%

ROE (yr 1)

2.9%

Cap rate

3.6%

DSCR

0.56

Year-1 write-off

$194,006

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$62,082

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$24,007
  • Principal paydown$5,556
  • Appreciation at%$25,470
ROE2.9%
ROE incl. year-1 tax savings (32% bracket, STR loophole)28.1%
Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$12,048
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,807
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$3,012
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$3,188
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$5,094

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$212,250
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$33,960
  • Furnishing (conveyed with the sale)$0

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$62,082

No county tax record split for property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split, so those use market defaults — edit the price above; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$723,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$192,000 · 27%

Year-1 deduction

$194,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$62,000

Land 15% (market default, no usable tax-record split) · building $531,000 over 39 years

Based on: 2,288 sq ft, built 2024, 3 bd / 3 ba, furnished, listing features (hot tub, deck, fence, game room, fireplace, stone counters, flooring types, appliance list, septic, wooded lot).

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $116,000 in year 1 (16% short-life, $37,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$121,100
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $10,800 new × 92% good × 1.61 allocation

    $16,100
  • Kitchen countertops (stone)listing

    $11,100 new × 92% good × 1.61 allocation

    $16,400
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $4,000 new × 92% good × 1.61 allocation

    $5,900
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $500 new × 83% good × 1.61 allocation

    $600
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,200 new × 92% good × 1.61 allocation

    $1,800
  • Window coverings (23)default

    $5,800 new × 80% good × 1.61 allocation

    $7,400
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (100% of floors)listing

    $14,700 new × 83% good × 1.61 allocation

    $19,800
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $8,400 new × 96% good × 1.61 allocation

    $13,000
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $5,100 new × 96% good × 1.61 allocation

    $7,900
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, refrigerator, washer, dryer)listing

    $7,700 new × 83% good × 1.61 allocation

    $10,400
  • Hot tub (freestanding)listing

    $9,000 new × 80% good × 1.61 allocation

    $11,600
  • Furniture conveyed with the sale (used)listing

    $19,500 new × 40% good · out of the price

    $7,800
  • Game-room equipment (used)listing

    $6,000 new × 40% good · out of the price

    $2,400
15-year land improvements$71,200
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $9,900 new × 92% good × 1.61 allocation

    $14,700
  • Landscaping (minimal)listing

    $4,800 new × 92% good × 1.61 allocation

    $7,100
  • Patiosdefault

    $2,300 new × 92% good × 1.61 allocation

    $3,400
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $25,700 new × 90% good × 1.61 allocation

    $37,400
  • Fencinglisting

    $6,000 new × 90% good × 1.61 allocation

    $8,700
Building, 39-year$530,900
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $248,300 new × 97% good × 1.61 allocation

    $387,200
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $25,800 new × 96% good × 1.61 allocation

    $39,900
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $26,300 new × 96% good × 1.61 allocation

    $40,700
  • HVACdefault

    $25,800 new × 90% good × 1.61 allocation

    $37,400
  • Fireplaces (2)listing

    $5,300 new × 92% good × 1.61 allocation

    $7,800
  • Septic systemlisting

    $12,000 new × 92% good × 1.61 allocation

    $17,800

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$121,100$71,200$1,700$194,000
2$0$0$13,600$13,600
3$0$0$13,600$13,600
4$0$0$13,600$13,600
5$0$0$13,600$13,600
6+$0$0$474,700$474,700
Total$121,100$71,200$530,900$723,200

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: Georgia disallows bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

STR allowed in most of Sevier County; inside Gatlinburg city limits only in overnight-rental zones.