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Rate 7.93% = 7.18% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Nov 5) + 0.75% investor premium

3106 Cove Ridge Way

3106 Cove Ridge Way

Sevierville, TN 37862

$645,000

2 bd · 2 ba · 920 sqft · Listed 8d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Negative cash flow

Year built

2023

Sqft

920

Lot sqft

27,878

HOA / mo

$0

Furnished

No

List date

2026-11-04T17:43:57.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$58,874

ADR

$260

Occupancy

62%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$10,820

Confidence

Med (57.8), 41 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$41,501$53,466$69,052

Median revenue of shown comps: $52,720

  • Modern Smokies Cabin · Hot Tub · 5 min to NP

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 26 ft

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $56,159ADR $300Occ ≈ 51%4.8★ (143)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Romantic, Quiet & Stylish ~ Hot Tub ~ Creek ~ BBQ!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 476 ft

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $72,270ADR $228Occ ≈ 87%4.8★ (210)

    Airbnb

  • Secluded Wood Fireplace View Hot Tub Early CheckIn

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $61,859ADR $281Occ ≈ 60%4.9★ (380)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Altitude Adjustment -Great Views*Firepit*Hot tub

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +5

    Revenue $51,895ADR $245Occ ≈ 58%4.2★ (11)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Creekside 2BR cabin with hot tub

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +5

    Revenue $13,010ADR $264Occ ≈ 14%—

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Private Indoor Pool! Sauna-Hot Tub-Amazing Views!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +6

    Revenue $105,112ADR $401Occ ≈ 72%5★ (329)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Creek Song

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $12,390ADR $237Occ ≈ 14%4.3★ (129)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Awestruck: Free Attraction Tickets & Hot Tub

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $53,466ADR $213Occ ≈ 69%4.8★ (179)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Up The Creek Cabin w/ waterfall and hot tub

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $79,527ADR $281Occ ≈ 78%4.9★ (135)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Above Awe - 2BR/2.5BA Awesome View of Wears Valley

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +4

    Revenue $77,539ADR $300Occ ≈ 71%5★ (6)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

Show 32 more
  • Above Awe

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $49,165ADR $373Occ ≈ 36%4.9★ (91)

    Airbnb

  • Big Bear Bridge Retreat: Creek & Wooded Views

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $45,286ADR $264Occ ≈ 47%4.4★ (5)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Graceful Awestruck Perfect Mountain Views with Pool Access

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $51,974ADR $260Occ ≈ 55%—

    Delisted

  • Panoramic Smoky Mt Getaway Cabin/Hot tub/Games

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +6

    Revenue $74,548ADR $295Occ ≈ 69%5★ (51)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Scenic Mountain View by American Patriot Getaways

    Vacation home · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $78,931ADR $292Occ ≈ 74%—

    Booking

  • Best Couples Cabin in the Smokies - Check Reviews

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +5

    Revenue $115,958ADR $366Occ ≈ 87%5★ (200)

    Airbnb

  • Lawson Lodge- VOLS game HQ-Best of Both Worlds

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +5

    Revenue $41,805ADR $231Occ ≈ 50%4.8★ (259)

    Airbnb

  • Awestruck} Perfect Mountain Views \ Hot Tub \ Fireplace \ Pool Access

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $30,163ADR $2,606Occ ≈ 3%—

    Booking

  • Creekside Cabin w waterfall & hot tub

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $94,342ADR $317Occ ≈ 82%5★ (164)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Secluded Cozy Cabin w/mountain views, Pigeon Forge

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $36,844ADR $181Occ ≈ 56%5★ (310)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Brookside

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $69,853ADR $260Occ ≈ 74%4.9★ (88)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Streamsong: Peaceful creek, Hot tub, Pool Table

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +2

    Revenue $41,196ADR $220Occ ≈ 51%4.6★ (111)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Streamsong

    Vacation home · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $24,033ADR $797Occ ≈ 8%—

    Booking

  • Secluded Nature Cabin with Pool Table, Spa and Fireplace in Sevierville, Tennessee

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $23,520ADR $575Occ ≈ 11%—

    Booking

  • #3685 Brookside

    Chalet · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $68,251ADR $236Occ ≈ 79%4.8★ (2)

    Booking

  • Quietplace - basking in the beauty of the Smokies!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +5

    Revenue $68,141ADR $311Occ ≈ 60%5★ (52)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Breathtaking views! 8 minutes to GSMNP entrance!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +5

    Revenue $68,058ADR $290Occ ≈ 64%5★ (144)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Scenic Cabin w/Private Hot Tub & Mountain Views

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +5

    Revenue $65,286ADR $268Occ ≈ 67%5★ (108)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Private Treehouse Getaway w/ HotTub FirePit Views

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +5

    Revenue $82,310ADR $250Occ ≈ 90%5★ (141)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • *Relaxing 2BD Cabin w/ Hot Tub + Grill! Free WiFi*

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $44,579ADR $229Occ ≈ 53%4.9★ (63)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Arrowhead, Free Tickets, No catch!

    Chalet · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $30,925ADR $202Occ ≈ 42%—

    Booking

  • Flyin' Free Teepee, Free Tickets, No catch!

    Chalet · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $25,188ADR $198Occ ≈ 35%2.5★ (1)

    Booking

  • Private Vacation Getaway! True Log Cabin!

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.5 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $51,257ADR $227Occ ≈ 62%5★ (41)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Affordable/Weekend/Week Getaway Hot Tub Internet Pet Friendly Fenced in Yard

    Cabin · 2 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $36,803ADR $227Occ ≈ 44%4.2★ (5)

    Booking

  • Cozy Two Bedroom Mountain Getaway - Log Cabin, One Story, Pet Friendly

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.5 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +5

    Revenue $61,324ADR $211Occ ≈ 80%4.8★ (15)

    VrboBooking

  • Mountain View Cabin: Hot Tub, Deck, Community Pool

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.6 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +5

    Revenue $42,575ADR $191Occ ≈ 61%4.8★ (141)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • 2 BR cabin w/fire pit, hot tub, grill, pool table

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $45,143ADR $0Occ ≈ —4.7★ (16)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Epic view! Private and cozy!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.6 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +6

    Revenue $63,706ADR $245Occ ≈ 71%4.9★ (197)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Two bedroom, two bathroom cottage with beautiful m

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $49,006ADR $231Occ ≈ 58%4.7★ (90)

    Airbnb

  • "Four Bears Barn" 2 Bedroom Cabin

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.6 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +4

    Revenue $21,018ADR $340Occ ≈ 17%—

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Peaceful Cabin Escape | Hot Tub & Fire Pit

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.6 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +5

    Revenue $66,550ADR $240Occ ≈ 76%5★ (90)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Haleywood Hollow, Free Tickets, WIFI, Arcade Game

    Cabin · 2 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.7 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $53,792ADR $262Occ ≈ 56%4.2★ (11)

    AirbnbVrbo

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 7.93% = 7.18% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Nov 5) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$58,874

NOI

$32,794

Cash flow /mo

-$793

Cash needed

$203,050

Cash-on-cash

-4.7%

ROE (yr 1)

6.9%

Cap rate

5.1%

DSCR

0.78

Year-1 write-off

$196,850

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$62,992

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$9,518
  • Principal paydown$4,098
  • Appreciation at%$19,350
ROE6.9%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$11,775
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,766
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$2,944
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$1,525
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$3,870

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$161,250
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$25,800
  • Furnishing (bought new)$16,000

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$62,992

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$567,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$180,000 · 32%

Year-1 deduction

$197,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$63,000

Land 12% (county tax record, market value split) · building $386,000 over 39 years · new furniture $16,000

Based on: 920 sq ft, built 2023, 2 bd / 2 ba, unfurnished, listing features (hot tub, deck, fireplace, flooring types, appliance list, septic).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $129,000 in year 1 (20% short-life, $41,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$137,500
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $7,800 new × 88% good × 2.88 allocation

    $19,800
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $6,400 new × 88% good × 2.88 allocation

    $16,200
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $1,600 new × 88% good × 2.88 allocation

    $4,100
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $300 new × 75% good × 2.88 allocation

    $600
  • Shelvingdefault

    $900 new × 88% good × 2.88 allocation

    $2,300
  • Window coverings (9)default

    $2,300 new × 70% good × 2.88 allocation

    $4,500
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (100% of floors)listing

    $5,900 new × 75% good × 2.88 allocation

    $12,800
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $6,100 new × 94% good × 2.88 allocation

    $16,500
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $3,700 new × 94% good × 2.88 allocation

    $10,000
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, refrigerator, washer, dryer)listing

    $7,700 new × 75% good × 2.88 allocation

    $16,600
  • Hot tub (freestanding)listing

    $9,000 new × 70% good × 2.88 allocation

    $18,100
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $16,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $16,000
15-year land improvements$58,900
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)listing

    $6,300 new × 88% good × 2.88 allocation

    $15,900
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $6,000 new × 88% good × 2.88 allocation

    $15,300
  • Patiosdefault

    $900 new × 88% good × 2.88 allocation

    $2,300
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $10,400 new × 85% good × 2.88 allocation

    $25,300
Building, 39-year$386,200
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $99,300 new × 95% good × 2.88 allocation

    $271,700
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $10,300 new × 94% good × 2.88 allocation

    $27,800
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $8,900 new × 94% good × 2.88 allocation

    $24,200
  • HVACdefault

    $10,400 new × 85% good × 2.88 allocation

    $25,400
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 88% good × 2.88 allocation

    $6,700
  • Septic systemlisting

    $12,000 new × 88% good × 2.88 allocation

    $30,400

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$137,500$58,900$400$196,800
2$0$0$9,900$9,900
3$0$0$9,900$9,900
4$0$0$9,900$9,900
5$0$0$9,900$9,900
6+$0$0$346,200$346,200
Total$137,500$58,900$386,200$582,600

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

STR allowed in most of Sevier County; inside Gatlinburg city limits only in overnight-rental zones.