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313 Hilltop Ln

313 Hilltop Ln

Big Bear City, CA 92314

$824,000

3 bd · 3 ba · 2,138 sqft · Listed 7d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidence

Year built

2024

Sqft

2,138

Lot sqft

5,658

HOA / mo

$0

Furnished

No

List date

2026-09-22T00:14:51.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$31,150

ADR

$241

Occupancy

35%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$6,070

Confidence

Low (34.56), 50 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$13,567$21,524$35,034
  • Serene Big Bear Retreat w/ Hot Tub + Game Room!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 69 ft

    Revenue $67,261ADR $337Occ ≈ 55%4.9★ (49)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Hilltop Cabin | Fireplace - Games - Views

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 102 ft

    Revenue $614ADR $307Occ ≈ 1%—

    Vrbo

  • Foosball/Central Heat/Dogs OK -Rainbow Connection

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 240 ft

    Revenue $28,808ADR $240Occ ≈ 33%4.7★ (40)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • El Nido - Modern Aesthetics Meet Mountain Charm In This Newly Remodeled Home!

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 266 ft

    Revenue $44,468ADR $355Occ ≈ 34%—

    Booking

  • BearsRUs

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 312 ft

    Revenue $7,219ADR $414Occ ≈ 5%4.8★ (58)

    Airbnb

  • Hot Tub EV-Charging Adorable! Close to Lake/Slopes

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 7 · 397 ft

    Revenue $9,222ADR $435Occ ≈ 6%4.3★ (61)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Spa • Game Room • Cozy Cabin | Near Lake + Slopes

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $5,030ADR $199Occ ≈ 7%5★ (5)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Hilltop Bear Cabin

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $22,005ADR $325Occ ≈ 19%4.7★ (20)

    Airbnb

  • Gingerbread House in the Woods

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $15,307ADR $291Occ ≈ 14%5★ (62)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Cozy Cottage w/King, Queen, Twin, BBQ & Fire Pit!

    Cottage · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $33,751ADR $194Occ ≈ 48%5★ (31)

    AirbnbVrbo

Show all 50 comps
  • Spacious cabin | hot tub | central AC | near lake

    House · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $16,185ADR $354Occ ≈ 13%5★ (13)

    Airbnb

  • Secluded Cabin w/ Spa & Games!

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $64,458ADR $338Occ ≈ 52%4.8★ (63)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Foosball Table, Pet Friendly, Fenced Yard

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $19,038ADR $314Occ ≈ 17%4.7★ (24)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Sherwood Pines • Hot Tub +Playground • BBQ | Max 8

    House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $39,793ADR $373Occ ≈ 29%5★ (17)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Charming cabin by the forrest

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $24,766ADR $306Occ ≈ 22%4.8★ (221)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Walk to Trolley! Big Bear Family Cabin w/ Deck

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $11,172ADR $341Occ ≈ 9%4.8★ (4)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Cozy Cabin-GAME ROOM, Fenced Dog Park, near slopes

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $28,369ADR $319Occ ≈ 24%4.9★ (76)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Sugarpaw Cottage*SPA*EV Charger

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $21,376ADR $278Occ ≈ 21%4.8★ (20)

    Airbnb

  • Big Wood Pines - Relaxing home with a large fenced yard for your furry friends to enjoy!

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $29,309ADR $367Occ ≈ 22%5★ (1)

    Booking

  • Champagne Wishes & Cabin Dreams | Hot Tub, Decks

    House · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $6,290ADR $285Occ ≈ 6%5★ (2)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Cozy Cabin with hot tub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $5,903ADR $191Occ ≈ 8%4.9★ (60)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Treehouse Feeling - Where Nature Sets the Mood

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $18,223ADR $340Occ ≈ 15%4.2★ (12)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Danny’s Den - The Perfect Cabin with Hot Tub!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $40,168ADR $170Occ ≈ 65%4.2★ (27)

    Airbnb

  • Harrison’s Hangar | Rustic Cabin Retreat

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $8,073ADR $194Occ ≈ 11%3.8★ (2)

    AirbnbBooking

  • *Living Log Cabin*Hot Tub*Relaxing Bear City Area*

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $45,435ADR $361Occ ≈ 34%4.4★ (64)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Living Log Cabin#1494

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $16,763ADR $401Occ ≈ 11%5★ (3)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Tri-Level Cabin w/ Deck Views + Weekly Discount

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $45,019ADR $351Occ ≈ 35%5★ (52)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • “The Pilot's Chalet”

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $5,324ADR $102Occ ≈ 14%4.7★ (3)

    Airbnb

  • Yogi Bears Den - Close to Lake and Slopes

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $46,421ADR $703Occ ≈ 18%—

    Booking

  • Early Check in! Dog & Family Friendly Ski Cabin

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $47,050ADR $330Occ ≈ 39%4.9★ (71)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Spacious Big Bear lake Cabin hiking trails nearby

    House · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $15,926ADR $308Occ ≈ 14%4.7★ (11)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Carrera Cozy Cabin | FencedBackyard+FirePit+HotTub

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $21,003ADR $602Occ ≈ 10%5★ (27)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Walk to Oktoberfest. Cozy A-Frame Cabin

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $29,886ADR $234Occ ≈ 35%4.8★ (16)

    Airbnb

  • HotTub/Speakeasy/FirePitTable/BBQ/Hammock/3bd/2ba

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $13,321ADR $264Occ ≈ 14%4.9★ (43)

    Airbnb

  • Cozy 3BR | Steps to Hiking | Pool Table & BBQ

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $11,161ADR $491Occ ≈ 6%5★ (11)

    Airbnb

  • Maltby Modern 1936 Cabin w/ Hot Tub + Games

    Chalet · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $35,461ADR $463Occ ≈ 21%—

    Booking

  • Charming Cabin for Fall Vibes

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $23,889ADR $356Occ ≈ 18%5★ (55)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Cozy Family Cabin-Fireplace & Near Ski Lifts/Hikes

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $29,628ADR $114Occ ≈ 71%4.8★ (35)

    Airbnb

  • Rosie's Cabin: Near Lake & Hiking Trails!Foosball!

    House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $7,077ADR $226Occ ≈ 9%4.8★ (22)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Blue Haven Lodge | Peaceful Retreat + Private Yard

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $58,911ADR $383Occ ≈ 42%5★ (83)

    Airbnb

  • Big Bear Cabin retreat! 3 Parking spots

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $32,092ADR $269Occ ≈ 33%4.8★ (82)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • *Cozy Cabin nestled in the woods of Big Bear City

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $12,354ADR $295Occ ≈ 11%4.7★ (187)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Winding Retreat | Walk to Oktoberfest & Adventure

    House · 3 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $21,672ADR $355Occ ≈ 17%4.8★ (12)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Sierra Family Getaway Spa/AC/Boat Parking/Wi-Fi

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $18,399ADR $288Occ ≈ 18%5★ (31)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Cozy 3-bedroom cabin with indoor fireplace

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $24,389ADR $184Occ ≈ 36%4.9★ (50)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Peter Pan Lodge: 3bed/2bath, Fireplace+karaoke

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $14,934ADR $267Occ ≈ 15%4.9★ (32)

    Airbnb

  • Lost Boy's Hideout + BBQ + Large Backyard!

    Cabin · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $36,613ADR $232Occ ≈ 43%3.6★ (3)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Meadow Retreat- Log Style Cabin W/ Spa-Pets OK

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $16,499ADR $455Occ ≈ 10%4.5★ (96)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Modern Bearadise Hideaway: Spa, Firepit, 3Bdr

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $61,007ADR $280Occ ≈ 60%5★ (95)

    Airbnb

  • Pixie Dust Pines by Rather Be Properties

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $14,303ADR $285Occ ≈ 14%5★ (1)

    Booking

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing

Est. revenue

$31,150

NOI

$4,962

Cash flow /mo

$413

Cash needed

$882,460

Cash-on-cash (all cash)

0.6%

ROE (yr 1)

3.4%

Cap rate

0.6%

DSCR

—

Year-1 write-off

$207,805

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$66,498

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)$4,962
  • Principal paydown (n/a, cash)$0
  • Appreciation at%$24,720
ROE3.4%
ROE incl. year-1 tax savings (32% bracket, STR loophole)10.9%
Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$6,230
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$935
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$1,558
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$10,300
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$4,202

Cash needed to close

  • Purchase price (all cash)$824,000
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$32,960
  • Furnishing (bought new)$25,500

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$66,498

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$765,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$180,000 · 24%

Year-1 deduction

$208,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$66,000

Land 7% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $585,000 over 39 years · new furniture $26,000

Based on: 2,138 sq ft, built 2024, 3 bd / 3 ba, unfurnished, listing features (deck, game room, fireplace, stone counters, flooring types, appliance list).

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $119,000 in year 1 (12% short-life, $38,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$126,500
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $10,500 new × 92% good × 1.94 allocation

    $18,700
  • Kitchen countertops (stone)listing

    $10,700 new × 92% good × 1.94 allocation

    $19,200
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $3,700 new × 92% good × 1.94 allocation

    $6,700
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $500 new × 83% good × 1.94 allocation

    $700
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,200 new × 92% good × 1.94 allocation

    $2,100
  • Window coverings (21)default

    $5,300 new × 80% good × 1.94 allocation

    $8,200
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (50% of floors)listing

    $6,900 new × 83% good × 1.94 allocation

    $11,100
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $8,200 new × 96% good × 1.94 allocation

    $15,200
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,900 new × 96% good × 1.94 allocation

    $9,200
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, disposal, refrigerator)listing

    $6,100 new × 83% good × 1.94 allocation

    $9,900
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $19,500 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $19,500
  • Game-room equipment bought newlisting

    $6,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $6,000
15-year land improvements$79,400
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $9,600 new × 92% good × 1.94 allocation

    $17,100
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $9,200 new × 92% good × 1.94 allocation

    $16,500
  • Patiosdefault

    $2,100 new × 92% good × 1.94 allocation

    $3,800
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $24,100 new × 90% good × 1.94 allocation

    $42,000
Building, 39-year$584,800
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $232,000 new × 97% good × 1.94 allocation

    $435,400
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $24,100 new × 96% good × 1.94 allocation

    $44,900
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $24,400 new × 96% good × 1.94 allocation

    $45,400
  • HVACdefault

    $24,100 new × 90% good × 1.94 allocation

    $42,100
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $6,900 new × 92% good × 1.94 allocation

    $12,300
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 92% good × 1.94 allocation

    $4,700

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$126,500$79,400$1,900$207,800
2$0$0$15,000$15,000
3$0$0$15,000$15,000
4$0$0$15,000$15,000
5$0$0$15,000$15,000
6+$0$0$523,000$523,000
Total$126,500$79,400$584,800$790,800

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California and Georgia disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Big Bear Lake (city) and unincorporated county areas both allow permitted short-term rentals, and we found no numeric permit cap in either. Permits/licenses generally do NOT transfer on sale — a buyer must apply for their own, so confirm permit status with the city or San Bernardino County before closing. City: vacation rental license, up to 3 per owner. County: 1 permit per parcel under 2 acres, 2 max per owner. Lodging tax ~13% in the city, ~7% county. Rules change; verify before you buy.