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Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

19780 Mojo Ln

19780 Mojo Ln

Redding, CA 96002

$975,000

2 bd · 2 ba · 1,811 sqft · Listed 12d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidenceNegative cash flow

Year built

2018

Sqft

1,811

Lot sqft

2,178,000

HOA / mo

$0

Furnished

No

List date

2026-09-17T21:56:59.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$40,276

ADR

$201

Occupancy

55%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$5,856

Confidence

Low (24.46), 5 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$17,439$40,579$51,907
  • Alheri's cozy corner

    House · 1 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 2 · 0.8 mi

    Revenue $1,742ADR $91Occ ≈ 5%4.7★ (3)

    Airbnb

  • GHouse@ Lilac | Redding (Airport) Her.Hauspitality

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 1.1 mi

    Revenue $17,439ADR $140Occ ≈ 34%5★ (2)

    Airbnb

  • Renovated Home - 3Bd/2Ba, Washer & Dryer

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 1.6 mi

    Revenue $51,907ADR $196Occ ≈ 73%5★ (178)

    Airbnb

  • Sellers Ranch House : Family Fun

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 12 · 1.9 mi

    Revenue $71,847ADR $338Occ ≈ 58%5★ (37)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Gorgeous Riverside Home Close to Bethel Church

    House · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 1.9 mi

    Revenue $40,579ADR $327Occ ≈ 34%4.9★ (97)

    Airbnb

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Term

Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$40,276

NOI

$8,370

Cash flow /mo

-$4,556

Cash needed

$298,750

Cash-on-cash

-18.3%

ROE (yr 1)

-6.4%

Cap rate

0.9%

DSCR

0.13

Year-1 write-off

$170,374

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$54,520

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$54,677
  • Principal paydown$6,380
  • Appreciation at%$29,250
ROE-6.4%
ROE incl. year-1 tax savings (32% bracket, STR loophole)11.9%
Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$8,055
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,208
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$2,014
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$12,188
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$5,704

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$243,750
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$39,000
  • Furnishing (bought new)$16,000

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$54,520

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$732,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$153,000 · 21%

Year-1 deduction

$170,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$55,000

Land 25% (county tax record, assessed value split) · building $579,000 over 39 years · new furniture $16,000

Based on: 1,811 sq ft, built 2018, 2 bd / 2 ba, unfurnished, listing features (covered patio, fence, fireplace, stone counters, flooring types, septic).

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $128,000 in year 1 (15% short-life, $41,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$94,000
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $9,800 new × 68% good × 2.47 allocation

    $16,400
  • Kitchen countertops (stone)listing

    $10,000 new × 68% good × 2.47 allocation

    $16,800
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $3,200 new × 68% good × 2.47 allocation

    $5,300
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $300 new × 40% good × 2.47 allocation

    $300
  • Shelvingdefault

    $900 new × 68% good × 2.47 allocation

    $1,500
  • Window coverings (18)default

    $4,500 new × 40% good × 2.47 allocation

    $4,400
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $7,600 new × 84% good × 2.47 allocation

    $15,800
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,600 new × 84% good × 2.47 allocation

    $9,500
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, disposal, refrigerator, washer, dryer)default

    $8,100 new × 40% good × 2.47 allocation

    $8,000
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $16,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $16,000
15-year land improvements$74,500
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $11,000 new × 68% good × 2.47 allocation

    $18,500
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $8,500 new × 68% good × 2.47 allocation

    $14,200
  • Covered patiolisting

    $14,900 new × 68% good × 2.47 allocation

    $25,100
  • Irrigationlisting

    $3,500 new × 60% good × 2.47 allocation

    $5,200
  • Decks & porches (attached)default

    $1,800 new × 60% good × 2.47 allocation

    $2,600
  • Fencinglisting

    $6,000 new × 60% good × 2.47 allocation

    $8,900
Building, 39-year$579,000
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $196,700 new × 87% good × 2.47 allocation

    $420,600
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $20,400 new × 84% good × 2.47 allocation

    $42,200
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $20,200 new × 84% good × 2.47 allocation

    $41,900
  • HVACdefault

    $20,400 new × 60% good × 2.47 allocation

    $30,200
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $11,700 new × 68% good × 2.47 allocation

    $19,600
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 68% good × 2.47 allocation

    $4,400
  • Septic systemlisting

    $12,000 new × 68% good × 2.47 allocation

    $20,100

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$94,000$74,500$1,900$170,400
2$0$0$14,800$14,800
3$0$0$14,800$14,800
4$0$0$14,800$14,800
5$0$0$14,800$14,800
6+$0$0$517,800$517,800
Total$94,000$74,500$579,000$747,500

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California and Georgia disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Rules differ by jurisdiction. City of Redding caps whole-home vacation rentals at 400 with a 600 ft spacing rule (300 ft with a physical buffer), and its permit is NOT transferable to a new owner. Shasta Lake city and unincorporated Shasta County allow permitted rentals with no cap found, but permits also do not transfer on sale. Lodging tax ~10% plus a 2% tourism assessment in Redding. Verify parcel eligibility with the city or county before you buy.