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Rate 7.99% = 7.24% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 29) + 0.75% investor premium

2778 Waldens Creek Rd

2778 Waldens Creek Rd

Sevierville, TN 37862

$475,000

2 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,344 sqft · Listed 2d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidenceEst. land %Negative cash flow

Year built

1996

Sqft

1,344

Lot sqft

27,878

HOA / mo

$0

Furnished

No

List date

2026-10-31T20:13:35.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$45,169

ADR

$233

Occupancy

53%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$8,512

Confidence

Low (35.05), 20 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$14,680$37,357$55,300

Median revenue of shown comps: $43,882

  • Fabulous Mountain Cabin Gatlinburg & Pigeon Forge

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $52,788ADR $293Occ ≈ 49%4.9★ (166)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Sunset Solitude

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $29,121ADR $257Occ ≈ 31%—

    AirbnbBooking

  • Cabin w/ Hot Tub & Deck ~ 7 Mi to Pigeon Forge!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $30,831ADR $218Occ ≈ 39%4.8★ (88)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Peaceful Retreat | Pets OK + Hot Tub + Games

    Cabin · 2 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +5

    Revenue $66,806ADR $247Occ ≈ 74%4.8★ (4)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Secluded Setting-2 Bdrm 2 Bath Petfriendly One Story Cabin Free wifi

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $30,425ADR $183Occ ≈ 46%4.2★ (56)

    Vrbo

  • Tiny Pet Friendly Home in the Smokies with Firepit

    Tiny house · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $10,181ADR $123Occ ≈ 23%4.8★ (52)

    Airbnb

  • Cozy 2BD POOL Cabin w/ Hot Tub + Games! Near TOWN!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +6

    Revenue $81,945ADR $301Occ ≈ 75%4.8★ (38)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Bana's Place・Hot Tub・GameRoom・Creek View・Pets Welc

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.5 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +4

    Revenue $11,871ADR $233Occ ≈ 14%4★ (3)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Bana's Place

    Vacation home · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $12,271ADR $327Occ ≈ 10%—

    Booking

  • LOCATION! Log Cabin! Sleeps 6, NO SCARY Roads!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.6 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $72,869ADR $453Occ ≈ 44%5★ (107)

    AirbnbVrbo

Show 9 more
  • Relaxing Creekside Cottage-Gameroom-FREE Tickets

    Chalet · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $15,483ADR $245Occ ≈ 17%4.6★ (40)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Creekside•15 Min Pigeon Forge• Hot Tub• Pool Table

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $43,882ADR $183Occ ≈ 66%4.8★ (76)

    Delisted

  • Quite Cabin On Walden's Creek•15 Min PigeonForge

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.6 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +6

    Revenue $3,094ADR $162Occ ≈ 5%4.8★ (7)

    Airbnb

  • Mountain Escape-Hot Tub, Waterfalls & Cozy Couch!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.6 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $46,457ADR $316Occ ≈ 40%4.9★ (77)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Waterfront Creek Cabin 12 min Pigeon Forge Hot Tub

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.6 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +6

    Revenue $46,846ADR $196Occ ≈ 65%4.5★ (237)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • A Walk in the Clouds - Luxury Awaits You!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.7 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $8,997ADR $243Occ ≈ 10%5★ (2)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • TuckeredBear,Great View,Pool Table,HotTub,Peaceful

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.7 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +6

    Revenue $62,836ADR $262Occ ≈ 66%5★ (189)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Spectacular Smoky Mountain Views

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.7 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +6

    Revenue $74,783ADR $247Occ ≈ 83%4.9★ (396)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Prime Views! Above & Beyond Pigeon Forge Cabin

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $48,875ADR $213Occ ≈ 63%4.7★ (119)

    Airbnb

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 7.99% = 7.24% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 29) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$45,169

NOI

$24,066

Cash flow /mo

-$606

Cash needed

$159,750

Cash-on-cash

-4.6%

ROE (yr 1)

6.2%

Cap rate

5.1%

DSCR

0.77

Year-1 write-off

$125,784

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$40,251

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$7,273
  • Principal paydown$2,982
  • Appreciation at%$14,250
ROE6.2%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$9,034
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,355
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$2,258
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$1,406
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$2,850

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$118,750
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$19,000
  • Furnishing (bought new)$22,000

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$40,251

No county tax record split for property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split, so those use market defaults — edit the price above; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$404,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$103,000 · 26%

Year-1 deduction

$126,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$40,000

Land 15% (market default, no usable tax-record split) · building $300,000 over 39 years · new furniture $22,000

Based on: 1,344 sq ft, built 1996, 2 bd / 2.5 ba, unfurnished, listing features (hot tub, deck, game room, fireplace, flooring types, appliance list, septic, wooded lot).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $80,000 in year 1 (14% short-life, $26,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$83,900
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $8,700 new × 40% good × 3.00 allocation

    $10,500
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $7,200 new × 40% good × 3.00 allocation

    $8,600
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $2,400 new × 40% good × 3.00 allocation

    $2,800
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $300 new × 40% good × 3.00 allocation

    $400
  • Shelvingdefault

    $900 new × 40% good × 3.00 allocation

    $1,100
  • Window coverings (13)default

    $3,300 new × 40% good × 3.00 allocation

    $3,900
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (33% of floors)listing

    $2,900 new × 40% good × 3.00 allocation

    $3,500
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $6,800 new × 40% good × 3.00 allocation

    $8,200
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,100 new × 40% good × 3.00 allocation

    $4,900
  • Appliances (range, refrigerator, washer, dryer)listing

    $6,000 new × 40% good × 3.00 allocation

    $7,200
  • Hot tub (freestanding)listing

    $9,000 new × 40% good × 3.00 allocation

    $10,800
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $16,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $16,000
  • Game-room equipment bought newlisting

    $6,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $6,000
15-year land improvements$41,600
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $7,600 new × 50% good × 3.00 allocation

    $11,400
  • Landscaping (minimal)listing

    $3,700 new × 50% good × 3.00 allocation

    $5,500
  • Patiosdefault

    $1,300 new × 50% good × 3.00 allocation

    $2,000
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $15,100 new × 50% good × 3.00 allocation

    $22,700
Building, 39-year$300,300
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $145,700 new × 50% good × 3.00 allocation

    $218,700
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $15,100 new × 40% good × 3.00 allocation

    $18,100
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $14,300 new × 40% good × 3.00 allocation

    $17,200
  • HVACdefault

    $15,100 new × 40% good × 3.00 allocation

    $18,200
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $5,800 new × 40% good × 3.00 allocation

    $6,900
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 3.00 allocation

    $3,200
  • Septic systemlisting

    $12,000 new × 50% good × 3.00 allocation

    $18,000

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$83,900$41,600$300$125,800
2$0$0$7,700$7,700
3$0$0$7,700$7,700
4$0$0$7,700$7,700
5$0$0$7,700$7,700
6+$0$0$269,200$269,200
Total$83,900$41,600$300,300$425,800

The building's share of the price ($404,000) is 3.0x our depreciated replacement cost of the home ($134,000). The IRS guide treats a gap this size as a reason to review the land share: if land is worth more than the county ratio says, the basis and the write-off are smaller.

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

STR allowed in most of Sevier County; inside Gatlinburg city limits only in overnight-rental zones.