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Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

450 Jakes Landing Way S

450 Jakes Landing Way S

Ellijay, GA 30540

$369,000

2 bd · 1 ba · 969 sqft · Listed 22d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Negative cash flow

Year built

2023

Sqft

969

Lot sqft

37,897

HOA / mo

None

Furnished

No

List date

2026-09-05T13:30:13.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$31,355

ADR

$204

Occupancy

42%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$7,454

Confidence

Med (53.3), 9 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$26,477$27,195$33,077
  • Fireside Chalet | Ellijay, GA

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 312 ft

    Revenue $33,077ADR $268Occ ≈ 34%4.8★ (17)

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  • Mountain Modern Cabin

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 407 ft

    Revenue $26,746ADR $176Occ ≈ 42%—

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  • Mtn‑View Cabin w/ Game Room, Hot Tub & Fire Pit

    Cottage · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $27,195ADR $236Occ ≈ 32%5★ (51)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Mountain Escape with Hot Tub | Game Room | Trails

    Cottage · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $5,243ADR $285Occ ≈ 5%4.9★ (11)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Charli's Place, Private Lux Cabin, Hot Tub, Caters Lake, MT Views, Sunrise-Sunset

    Vacation home · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $12,901ADR $208Occ ≈ 17%—

    Booking

  • Private Cabin on Carters Lake, Hot Tub, Mtviews

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $26,477ADR $272Occ ≈ 27%4.9★ (58)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Modern Mountain Luxury w/ Hot tub, Hammock & BBQ

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $41,597ADR $243Occ ≈ 47%5★ (36)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • French Kisses, Hot Tub, New Build, Carter's Lake

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $32,079ADR $280Occ ≈ 31%5★ (17)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Unique cozy cabin - Family Fun-Game room

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $48,156ADR $227Occ ≈ 58%4.8★ (261)

    Airbnb

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Term

Rate 7.78% = 7.03% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Sep 24) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$31,355

NOI

$11,951

Cash flow /mo

-$992

Cash needed

$123,010

Cash-on-cash

-9.7%

ROE (yr 1)

1.3%

Cap rate

3.2%

DSCR

0.50

Year-1 write-off

$103,317

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$33,061

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$11,910
  • Principal paydown$2,415
  • Appreciation at%$11,070
ROE1.3%
ROE incl. year-1 tax savings (32% bracket, STR loophole)28.2%
Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$6,271
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$941
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$1,568
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$2,439
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$3,985

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$92,250
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$14,760
  • Furnishing (bought new)$16,000

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$33,061

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$319,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$87,000 · 27%

Year-1 deduction

$103,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$33,000

Land 14% (county tax record, market value split) · building $232,000 over 39 years · new furniture $16,000

Based on: 969 sq ft, built 2023, 2 bd / 1 ba, unfurnished, listing features (deck, fireplace, stone counters, flooring types, appliance list, septic).

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $63,000 in year 1 (14% short-life, $20,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$68,900
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $7,900 new × 88% good × 1.59 allocation

    $11,100
  • Kitchen countertops (stone)listing

    $8,100 new × 88% good × 1.59 allocation

    $11,300
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $1,700 new × 88% good × 1.59 allocation

    $2,400
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $200 new × 75% good × 1.59 allocation

    $200
  • Shelvingdefault

    $900 new × 88% good × 1.59 allocation

    $1,300
  • Window coverings (10)default

    $2,500 new × 70% good × 1.59 allocation

    $2,800
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $6,200 new × 94% good × 1.59 allocation

    $9,200
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $3,700 new × 94% good × 1.59 allocation

    $5,600
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, refrigerator, washer, dryer)listing

    $7,700 new × 75% good × 1.59 allocation

    $9,200
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $16,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $16,000
15-year land improvements$33,700
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $6,500 new × 88% good × 1.59 allocation

    $9,000
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $6,200 new × 88% good × 1.59 allocation

    $8,700
  • Patiosdefault

    $1,000 new × 88% good × 1.59 allocation

    $1,300
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $10,900 new × 85% good × 1.59 allocation

    $14,700
Building, 39-year$232,200
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $104,800 new × 95% good × 1.59 allocation

    $158,000
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $10,800 new × 94% good × 1.59 allocation

    $16,200
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $9,600 new × 94% good × 1.59 allocation

    $14,200
  • HVACdefault

    $10,900 new × 85% good × 1.59 allocation

    $14,700
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $6,200 new × 88% good × 1.59 allocation

    $8,700
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 88% good × 1.59 allocation

    $3,700
  • Septic systemlisting

    $12,000 new × 88% good × 1.59 allocation

    $16,800

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$68,900$33,700$700$103,300
2$0$0$6,000$6,000
3$0$0$6,000$6,000
4$0$0$6,000$6,000
5$0$0$6,000$6,000
6+$0$0$207,700$207,700
Total$68,900$33,700$232,200$334,800

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: Georgia disallows bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Fannin and Gilmer counties require STR registration and lodging tax; no cap found. Blue Ridge and Ellijay city limits have their own rules; most cabins are in unincorporated county.