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Rate 8.15% = 7.40% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 8) + 0.75% investor premium

820 Villa Grv

820 Villa Grv

Big Bear City, CA 92314

$649,900

4 bd · 3 ba · 2,058 sqft · Listed 2d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Est. land %Negative cash flow

Year built

1984

Sqft

2,058

Lot sqft

7,200

HOA / mo

$0

Furnished

Yes

List date

2026-10-09T00:02:53.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$44,503

ADR

$428

Occupancy

28%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$7,494

Confidence

Low (45.24), 48 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$30,166$43,748$54,078

Median revenue of shown comps: $44,832

  • The Mountain House - Game Room, Arcade Games, Foosball, Deck, BBQ

    Vacation home · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 10 ft

    Revenue $43,748ADR $591Occ ≈ 20%—

    Booking

  • The Drey-Gorgeous Big Bear Mountain Views

    House · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 322 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $55,545ADR $519Occ ≈ 29%4.6★ (82)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Villa Cozy Grove-Hot Tub, Views, Game Room

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 11 · 335 ft

    Revenue $46,214ADR $397Occ ≈ 32%4.5★ (83)

    Airbnb

  • Dog-friendly cabin, picnic table, BBQ, game room, two kitchens and more!

    Cabin · 4 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 10 · 390 ft

    Revenue $2,839ADR $473Occ ≈ 2%3.4★ (3)

    Delisted

  • Dog-friendly cabin, picnic table, BBQ, game room, two kitchens and more!

    Cabin · 4 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 10 · 390 ft

    Revenue $6,131ADR $437Occ ≈ 4%—

    Delisted

  • Log Cabin w/ Game Room & AC Near Bear Mountain -BI

    House · 4 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 10 · 397 ft

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +5

    Revenue $40,935ADR $1,774Occ ≈ 6%5★ (1)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Family Cabin with Arcade Game Room

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 456 ft

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $36,700ADR $554Occ ≈ 18%5★ (2)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Pet-friendly cabinTwo kitchensBBQGame room

    Cabin · 4 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $37,378ADR $464Occ ≈ 22%4.3★ (38)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Moonridge Lodge | Hot Tub+Pet Friendly+By the Lake

    House · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $36,844ADR $236Occ ≈ 43%5★ (23)

    Delisted

  • Central AC | Firepit | PoolTable | Airhockey | Spa

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +5

    Revenue $97,872ADR $433Occ ≈ 62%4.9★ (200)

    AirbnbVrbo

Show 24 more
  • Moonridge Retreat | Hot Tub+A/C+Fire Pit+Near Lake

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +4

    Revenue $90,299ADR $323Occ ≈ 77%4.9★ (108)

    Airbnb

  • Pet Friendly! Views of Bear Mtn! Fenced Yard!

    House · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 11 · 0.2 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $46,252ADR $350Occ ≈ 36%4.7★ (69)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Moonridge Chateau • Hot Tub + Game Room • Escape

    House · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $50,635ADR $491Occ ≈ 28%4.9★ (25)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Spacious - New Spa W/ Pool Table

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $24,672ADR $466Occ ≈ 15%4.9★ (47)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Mooncrest Manor: Pet Friendly! Full Game Room!

    House · 4 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.3 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $54,078ADR $470Occ ≈ 32%4.7★ (98)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • The Great Escape: Hot Tub! Air Hockey Table!

    House · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $27,240ADR $245Occ ≈ 30%4.4★ (109)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • HOT TUB! Garage Parking! Slope Views! Game Table!

    House · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $44,622ADR $374Occ ≈ 33%4.5★ (152)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Silvertip Perch: Bear Mountain Views! Hot Tub!

    House · 4 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $52,207ADR $485Occ ≈ 29%4.8★ (34)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Eagles Nest Best Place To Rest with generator

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 13 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $60,886ADR $563Occ ≈ 30%4.6★ (12)

    Airbnb

  • 4bdr Big bear cabin/hot tub +pool table

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +6

    Revenue $16,419ADR $328Occ ≈ 14%4.9★ (8)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Big Bear Hideaway Cabin.

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $3,103ADR $948Occ ≈ 1%1★ (1)

    Delisted

  • Rustic Bear Mountain Retreat • Large Deck • Spa

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $47,408ADR $436Occ ≈ 30%4.8★ (31)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 4BR Retreat | Central AIr Conditioning | Gameroom

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +4

    Revenue $45,042ADR $353Occ ≈ 35%5★ (104)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Halfpipe Lodge - 4 bd/4 bth (8 beds) w/spa.

    Cabin · 4 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 11 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +4

    Revenue $53,239ADR $492Occ ≈ 30%5★ (73)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Charming Mountain Cabin Near

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $30,166ADR $200Occ ≈ 41%3.2★ (6)

    Airbnb

  • Hot Tub + Game Room w/ Pool Table + Near Slopes

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $36,740ADR $474Occ ≈ 21%4.7★ (13)

    Booking

  • Moonridge Ski&Zoo Chalet HotTub/4BB/BBQ/Fr Pit/AC*

    Chalet · 4 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $80,274ADR $522Occ ≈ 42%5★ (64)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Bear Mountain Chalet w/ views, Hot Tub, and Games!

    Cabin · 4 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $57,018ADR $790Occ ≈ 20%5★ (7)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Moonridge Retreat ~ MTN Summit Views & Game Room

    House · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.4 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $10,764ADR $283Occ ≈ 10%5★ (8)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Mountain Views | Game Room + Fire Pit

    House · 4 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.4 mi

    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • Washer
    • +3

    Revenue $27,516ADR $1,278Occ ≈ 6%5★ (3)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Lux 4 Bdrm! Central A/C! Hot Tub! Near Bear Mtn!

    House · 4 bd · 3.5 ba · sleeps 13 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $97,162ADR $631Occ ≈ 42%4.8★ (64)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Beautiful Views! Hot Tub! Game Room! Piano!

    House · 4 bd · 4 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $49,203ADR $374Occ ≈ 36%4.8★ (96)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Close to Ski Resorts! Game Room! Pet Friendly!

    House · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.4 mi

    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $33,519ADR $299Occ ≈ 31%4.6★ (49)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Moonlit Chalet: Hot Tub, Huge Deck w/ Fire Pit.

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2.5 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $66,451ADR $746Occ ≈ 24%5★ (15)

    AirbnbVrbo

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 8.15% = 7.40% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 8) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$44,503

NOI

$17,379

Cash flow /mo

-$2,179

Cash needed

$188,471

Cash-on-cash

-13.9%

ROE (yr 1)

-1.4%

Cap rate

2.7%

DSCR

0.40

Year-1 write-off

$145,916

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$46,693

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$26,153
  • Principal paydown$3,952
  • Appreciation at%$19,497
ROE-1.4%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$8,901
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,335
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$2,225
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$0
  • Property tax$8,124
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$3,314

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$162,475
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$25,996
  • Furnishing (conveyed with the sale)$0

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$46,693

No county tax record split for property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split, so those use market defaults — edit the price above; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$458,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$146,000 · 32%

Year-1 deduction

$146,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$47,000

Land 30% (market default, no usable tax-record split) · building $313,000 over 39 years

Based on: 2,058 sq ft, built 1984, 4 bd / 3 ba, furnished, listing features (deck, patio, game room, fireplace, stone counters, flooring types, appliance list).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $87,000 in year 1 (19% short-life, $28,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$78,200
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $10,300 new × 40% good × 2.65 allocation

    $10,900
  • Kitchen countertops (stone)listing

    $10,500 new × 40% good × 2.65 allocation

    $11,200
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $3,600 new × 40% good × 2.65 allocation

    $3,800
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $500 new × 40% good × 2.65 allocation

    $500
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,500 new × 40% good × 2.65 allocation

    $1,600
  • Window coverings (21)default

    $5,300 new × 40% good × 2.65 allocation

    $5,600
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (100% of floors)listing

    $13,200 new × 40% good × 2.65 allocation

    $14,000
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $8,000 new × 40% good × 2.65 allocation

    $8,500
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,800 new × 40% good × 2.65 allocation

    $5,100
  • Appliances (range, microwave, disposal, refrigerator)listing

    $5,100 new × 40% good × 2.65 allocation

    $5,400
  • Furniture conveyed with the sale (used)listing

    $23,000 new × 40% good · out of the price

    $9,200
  • Game-room equipment (used)listing

    $6,000 new × 40% good · out of the price

    $2,400
15-year land improvements$67,400
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)listing

    $9,400 new × 50% good × 2.65 allocation

    $12,500
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $9,000 new × 50% good × 2.65 allocation

    $12,000
  • Patioslisting

    $9,300 new × 50% good × 2.65 allocation

    $12,300
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $23,200 new × 50% good × 2.65 allocation

    $30,700
Building, 39-year$312,800
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $222,900 new × 40% good × 2.65 allocation

    $236,200
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $23,200 new × 40% good × 2.65 allocation

    $24,500
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $23,400 new × 40% good × 2.65 allocation

    $24,700
  • HVACdefault

    $23,200 new × 40% good × 2.65 allocation

    $24,600
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 2.65 allocation

    $2,800

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$78,200$67,400$300$145,900
2$0$0$8,000$8,000
3$0$0$8,000$8,000
4$0$0$8,000$8,000
5$0$0$8,000$8,000
6+$0$0$280,400$280,400
Total$78,200$67,400$312,800$458,400

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

Big Bear Lake (city) and unincorporated county areas both allow permitted short-term rentals, and we found no numeric permit cap in either. Permits/licenses generally do NOT transfer on sale — a buyer must apply for their own, so confirm permit status with the city or San Bernardino County before closing. City: vacation rental license, up to 3 per owner. County: 1 permit per parcel under 2 acres, 2 max per owner. Lodging tax ~13% in the city, ~7% county. Rules change; verify before you buy.