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Rate 7.93% = 7.18% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Nov 5) + 0.75% investor premium

616 Turkey Nest Rd Apt 311

616 Turkey Nest Rd Apt 311

Gatlinburg, TN 37738

$440,000

3 bd · 3 ba · 1,135 sqft · Listed 9d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Negative cash flow

Year built

1985

Sqft

1,135

Lot sqft

436

HOA / mo

$195

Furnished

No

List date

2026-11-03T15:55:14.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$47,516

ADR

$239

Occupancy

54%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$6,180

Confidence

Med (55.07), 50 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$33,464$42,135$57,125

Median revenue of shown comps: $41,728

  • Mountain Calling - Resort Pool, WIFIO, 560 FREE tickets each paid day!!!

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0 ft

    Revenue $47,189ADR $247Occ ≈ 52%4.1★ (4)

    Booking

  • Mountain Calling, $560 FREE tickets each paid day

    Condominium (condo) · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 16 ft

    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $38,623ADR $212Occ ≈ 50%4.5★ (11)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Awesome view and location! 10min walk to DNTWN

    Apartment · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 52 ft

    Revenue $2,765ADR $921Occ ≈ 1%4.8★ (32)

    Delisted

  • Smoky Mtn View Escape | 3BR/3BA

    Condominium (condo) · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 56 ft

    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $45,039ADR $253Occ ≈ 49%4.8★ (31)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Spacious Condo with Pool & Stunning Views

    Condominium (condo) · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 171 ft

    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +1

    Revenue $41,594ADR $212Occ ≈ 54%4.5★ (71)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Beautiful 3 bedroom condo only a half a mile from downtown near Aquarium.

    Condominium (condo) · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 174 ft

    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $24,445ADR $192Occ ≈ 35%4.9★ (250)

    Vrbo

  • Serene Views Community Pool

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 177 ft

    Revenue $41,862ADR $190Occ ≈ 60%4★ (4)

    Booking

  • Over Gatlinburg Condo

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 177 ft

    Revenue $16,842ADR $165Occ ≈ 28%3★ (2)

    Booking

  • Game Room, Hot Tub & Views | Perfect by AvantStay

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 476 ft

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +6

    Revenue $94,284ADR $352Occ ≈ 73%4.5★ (17)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Farmhouse in the Burg - NEW! Firepit & Wi-Fi

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $61,298ADR $361Occ ≈ 47%4.2★ (43)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

Show 34 more
  • CITY 🏙 & MOUNTAIN 🏔 VIEW. 5 Mins from downtown.

    Condominium (condo) · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.1 mi

    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $16,734ADR $249Occ ≈ 18%4.7★ (110)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Game Room, Hot Tub & Mountain Views | Perfect Too

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +4

    Revenue $82,375ADR $345Occ ≈ 65%4.7★ (25)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Red Oak Hideaway: Walk Right Into Gatlinburg

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +4

    Revenue $40,684ADR $360Occ ≈ 31%4.4★ (3)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Blue Bird Hideaway - A 10 - min walk to downtown

    House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $69,466ADR $346Occ ≈ 55%5★ (84)

    Airbnb

  • City Bear Lodge | Dwtn Gatlinburg Hot Tub + Games

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $72,075ADR $372Occ ≈ 53%5★ (34)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Red Oak Hideaway - Walkable to Downtown Gatlinburg

    House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $48,724ADR $326Occ ≈ 41%4.8★ (74)

    Airbnb

  • Blue Bird Hideaway: Find Your Happy Place

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +4

    Revenue $39,449ADR $365Occ ≈ 30%4★ (2)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Heart Of Gatlinburg by American Patriot Getaways

    Apartment · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $45,014ADR $229Occ ≈ 54%4★ (2)

    Booking

  • Red Oak Hideaway Walk Right Into Gatlinburg

    Chalet · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $61,925ADR $309Occ ≈ 55%—

    Booking

  • Blue Bird Hideaway Find Your Happy Place

    Chalet · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $35,240ADR $318Occ ≈ 30%—

    Booking

  • Deer Field Downtown Gatlinburg at Your Door

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $29,376ADR $169Occ ≈ 48%4.6★ (5)

    Booking

  • Midtown Bears Den Downtown Gatlinburg Awaits

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $33,727ADR $177Occ ≈ 52%4.5★ (2)

    Booking

  • In Gatlinburg | Walk to the Strip

    Cabin · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +5

    Revenue $37,418ADR $311Occ ≈ 33%4.2★ (7)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Game Room, Hot Tub & Views | Perfect by AvantStay

    House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $13,432ADR $586Occ ≈ 6%—

    Delisted

  • Spacious 3BR Condo Walk to Downtown Gatlinburg

    Condominium (condo) · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +2

    Revenue $56,408ADR $398Occ ≈ 39%4.5★ (2)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Hibernation Station At Baskins Creek Gatlinburg

    Townhouse · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $60,112ADR $275Occ ≈ 60%5★ (150)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Downtown Spacious Townhome sleeps 6 guests, WIFI

    Condominium (condo) · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $44,447ADR $213Occ ≈ 57%4.8★ (248)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Game Room, Hot Tub & Mountain Views | Perfect Too

    House · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +4

    Revenue $8,972ADR $640Occ ≈ 4%5★ (1)

    Airbnb

  • Fall in Gatlinburg | Pool + Dinner Show Tickets

    Condominium (condo) · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +4

    Revenue $31,256ADR $195Occ ≈ 44%4.1★ (44)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Condo Located in Gatlinburg! Private Balcony!

    Condominium (condo) · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $37,685ADR $236Occ ≈ 44%3.5★ (52)

    Airbnb

  • Uptown Gatlinburg Getaway

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $19,536ADR $212Occ ≈ 25%5★ (1)

    Booking

  • Laurel Inn Condominiums - Black Bear Boogie

    Apartment · 3 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $31,095ADR $292Occ ≈ 29%—

    Booking

  • 3rdfl,3 ensuite, wlk DWTN, K Bd master, pool, view

    Condominium (condo) · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +5

    Revenue $20,804ADR $207Occ ≈ 28%4.9★ (38)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Holly Ridge 405 | Privacy + Near Gatlinburg

    Condominium (condo) · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $41,447ADR $197Occ ≈ 58%4.9★ (24)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Downtown 3BR Condo w/ Free Attraction Tickets

    Condominium (condo) · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $33,155ADR $258Occ ≈ 35%4.8★ (134)

    Airbnb

  • Downtown Gatlinburg 3Bd/3Ba~7 Minutes to Anakeesta

    Condominium (condo) · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $40,399ADR $229Occ ≈ 48%5★ (33)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Mountain View | Walkable to Downtown Gatlinburg!

    Townhouse · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +5

    Revenue $76,083ADR $283Occ ≈ 74%5★ (116)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Downtown Gatlinburg~ 3Bed~3Bath~Walk to Strip

    Condominium (condo) · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $57,287ADR $240Occ ≈ 65%4.9★ (51)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Downtown Gatlinburg ~3 BD ~3 Bath ~Walk to Town

    Condominium (condo) · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +2

    Revenue $51,813ADR $228Occ ≈ 62%4.9★ (54)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Location! Location! Location! Downtown Gatlinburg

    Condominium (condo) · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +3

    Revenue $60,284ADR $279Occ ≈ 59%4.8★ (355)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Downtown Gatlinburg Prime location walk everywhere in Gatlinburg3Bed3Bath Sleeps 8

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 8 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $75,940ADR $269Occ ≈ 77%4★ (1)

    Booking

  • Downtown Gatlinburg3Bdrm3BathWalk to center of town in Minutes

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $56,640ADR $227Occ ≈ 68%5★ (2)

    Booking

  • 5 Star LUXURY 3BR3BATH Downtown Gatlinburg WALK EVERYWHERE Sleeps 6

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $44,222ADR $229Occ ≈ 53%—

    Booking

  • Downtown GatlinburgWalk to Strip3 Bedroom3BathroomPoolMinutes to Anakeesta at Traffic Light #6

    Vacation home · 3 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $42,408ADR $225Occ ≈ 52%—

    Booking

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 7.93% = 7.18% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Nov 5) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$47,516

NOI

$24,196

Cash flow /mo

-$389

Cash needed

$147,100

Cash-on-cash

-3.2%

ROE (yr 1)

7.7%

Cap rate

5.5%

DSCR

0.84

Year-1 write-off

$93,177

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$29,817

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$4,669
  • Principal paydown$2,795
  • Appreciation at%$13,200
ROE7.7%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$9,503
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,425
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$2,376
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$2,340
  • Property tax$836
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$2,640

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$110,000
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$17,600
  • Furnishing (bought new)$19,500

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$29,817

Property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split come from this listing's county tax record; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$381,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$73,000 · 19%

Year-1 deduction

$93,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$30,000

Land 13% (county tax record, market value split) · building $308,000 over 39 years · new furniture $20,000

Based on: 1,135 sq ft, built 1985, 3 bd / 3 ba, unfurnished, listing features (fireplace, appliance list).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $59,000 in year 1 (10% short-life, $19,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$92,800
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $8,300 new × 40% good × 4.62 allocation

    $15,300
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $6,800 new × 40% good × 4.62 allocation

    $12,500
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $2,000 new × 40% good × 4.62 allocation

    $3,700
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $500 new × 40% good × 4.62 allocation

    $800
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,200 new × 40% good × 4.62 allocation

    $2,200
  • Window coverings (11)default

    $2,800 new × 40% good × 4.62 allocation

    $5,100
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (40% of floors)default

    $2,900 new × 40% good × 4.62 allocation

    $5,400
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $6,400 new × 40% good × 4.62 allocation

    $11,900
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $3,900 new × 40% good × 4.62 allocation

    $7,200
  • Appliances (range, dishwasher, refrigerator)listing

    $5,000 new × 40% good × 4.62 allocation

    $9,200
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $19,500 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $19,500
Building, 39-year$307,500
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $122,400 new × 40% good × 4.62 allocation

    $225,900
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $12,700 new × 40% good × 4.62 allocation

    $23,500
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $11,700 new × 40% good × 4.62 allocation

    $21,500
  • HVACdefault

    $12,800 new × 40% good × 4.62 allocation

    $23,600
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $4,400 new × 40% good × 4.62 allocation

    $8,100
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 40% good × 4.62 allocation

    $4,900

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$92,800$0$300$93,200
2$0$0$7,900$7,900
3$0$0$7,900$7,900
4$0$0$7,900$7,900
5$0$0$7,900$7,900
6+$0$0$275,600$275,600
Total$92,800$0$307,500$400,400

The building's share of the price ($381,000) is 4.6x our depreciated replacement cost of the home ($83,000). The IRS guide treats a gap this size as a reason to review the land share: if land is worth more than the county ratio says, the basis and the write-off are smaller.

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

STR allowed in most of Sevier County; inside Gatlinburg city limits only in overnight-rental zones.