STR Yield
← Back to deals

Rate 7.99% = 7.24% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 29) + 0.75% investor premium

1640 Falls Way

1640 Falls Way

Pigeon Forge, TN 37863

$579,000

4 bd · 2 ba · 1,504 sqft · Listed 1d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Est. land %Negative cash flow

Year built

2020

Sqft

1,504

Lot sqft

8,712

HOA / mo

$180

Furnished

No

List date

2026-11-01T00:27:46.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$66,585

ADR

$345

Occupancy

53%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$10,034

Confidence

Low (47.48), 23 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$31,031$50,219$79,070

Median revenue of shown comps: $62,672

  • Dollywood | Hot Tub | Arcade | 3 Kings | Comm Pool

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 269 ft

    Revenue $104,617ADR $559Occ ≈ 51%4.9★ (258)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 4BD/2BH-Pool Community-Hottub-4xParking-Wifi

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $82,861ADR $274Occ ≈ 83%4.9★ (276)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Starwood | By Bear Camp

    Cabin · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $50,306ADR $282Occ ≈ 49%4★ (10)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Yourcation® Awaits in Stunning Cabin by Dollywood!

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 13 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $77,712ADR $494Occ ≈ 43%5★ (223)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • It's a Wonderful Life Make Every Moment Count

    Chalet · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 9 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $62,672ADR $290Occ ≈ 59%4.5★ (1)

    Booking

  • Smoky Mountain Retreat- Resort Cabin with modern amenities in the heart of PF

    Vacation home · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $45,211ADR $337Occ ≈ 37%5★ (9)

    Booking

  • Saving Grace Where the Mountains Save the Day

    Chalet · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $53,924ADR $381Occ ≈ 39%4★ (1)

    Booking

  • Sleeps 10-12 Close to Dollywood! Pet Friendly!

    House · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.5 mi

    Revenue $32,645ADR $354Occ ≈ 25%4.8★ (67)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Private Hot Tub Games & Theater Rm Near Dollywood!

    House · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $80,427ADR $323Occ ≈ 68%4.8★ (47)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Large 4 Bedroom Home - In the Heart of Pigeon Forge

    House · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $4,185ADR $352Occ ≈ 3%—

    Vrbo

Show 3 more
  • Mountain Views! Hot Tub| Close to Dollywood! Game

    Cabin · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.6 mi

    Revenue $99,330ADR $382Occ ≈ 71%4.9★ (196)

    Airbnb

  • A Splash Country #2445

    Vacation home · 4 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 10 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $42,555ADR $442Occ ≈ 26%—

    Booking

  • Bryan's Brookside Bungalow w/ Hot tub & Pet Area

    House · 4 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 12 · 0.7 mi

    Revenue $84,615ADR $479Occ ≈ 48%4.9★ (171)

    AirbnbVrbo

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 7.99% = 7.24% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Oct 29) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$66,585

NOI

$35,454

Cash flow /mo

-$229

Cash needed

$190,910

Cash-on-cash

-1.4%

ROE (yr 1)

9.6%

Cap rate

6.1%

DSCR

0.93

Year-1 write-off

$142,249

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$45,520

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$2,746
  • Principal paydown$3,635
  • Appreciation at%$17,370
ROE9.6%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$13,317
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,998
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$3,329
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$2,160
  • Property tax$2,653
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$3,474

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$144,750
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$23,160
  • Furnishing (bought new)$23,000

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$45,520

No county tax record split for property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split, so those use market defaults — edit the price above; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$492,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$119,000 · 24%

Year-1 deduction

$142,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$46,000

Land 15% (market default, no usable tax-record split) · building $373,000 over 39 years · new furniture $23,000

Based on: 1,504 sq ft, built 2020, 4 bd / 2 ba, unfurnished, listing features (hot tub, deck, fireplace, appliance list).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $89,000 in year 1 (13% short-life, $28,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$93,800
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $9,100 new × 76% good × 1.93 allocation

    $13,300
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $7,400 new × 76% good × 1.93 allocation

    $10,900
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $2,600 new × 76% good × 1.93 allocation

    $3,900
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $300 new × 50% good × 1.93 allocation

    $300
  • Shelvingdefault

    $1,500 new × 76% good × 1.93 allocation

    $2,200
  • Window coverings (15)default

    $3,800 new × 40% good × 1.93 allocation

    $2,900
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (40% of floors)default

    $3,900 new × 50% good × 1.93 allocation

    $3,700
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $7,100 new × 88% good × 1.93 allocation

    $12,000
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $4,300 new × 88% good × 1.93 allocation

    $7,300
  • Appliances (range, microwave, dishwasher, refrigerator, washer, dryer)listing

    $7,700 new × 50% good × 1.93 allocation

    $7,400
  • Hot tub (freestanding)listing

    $9,000 new × 40% good × 1.93 allocation

    $6,900
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $23,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $23,000
15-year land improvements$48,100
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $8,000 new × 76% good × 1.93 allocation

    $11,800
  • Landscaping (typical)default

    $7,700 new × 76% good × 1.93 allocation

    $11,300
  • Patiosdefault

    $1,500 new × 76% good × 1.93 allocation

    $2,200
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $16,900 new × 70% good × 1.93 allocation

    $22,800
Building, 39-year$373,300
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $162,500 new × 90% good × 1.93 allocation

    $281,800
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $16,900 new × 88% good × 1.93 allocation

    $28,600
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $16,300 new × 88% good × 1.93 allocation

    $27,700
  • HVACdefault

    $16,900 new × 70% good × 1.93 allocation

    $22,800
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $5,800 new × 76% good × 1.93 allocation

    $8,500
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 76% good × 1.93 allocation

    $3,900

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$93,800$48,100$400$142,200
2$0$0$9,600$9,600
3$0$0$9,600$9,600
4$0$0$9,600$9,600
5$0$0$9,600$9,600
6+$0$0$334,600$334,600
Total$93,800$48,100$373,300$515,100

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

STR allowed in most of Sevier County; inside Gatlinburg city limits only in overnight-rental zones.