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Rate 7.93% = 7.18% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Nov 5) + 0.75% investor premium

2385 Forge Hideaway Loop Unit 6A

2385 Forge Hideaway Loop Unit 6A

Pigeon Forge, TN 37863

$549,900

2 bd · 2 ba · 1,143 sqft · Listed 7d ago

View on Realtor.com →
Low confidenceEst. land %Negative cash flow

Year built

2025

Sqft

1,143

Lot sqft

436

HOA / mo

$125

Furnished

No

List date

2026-11-05T00:25:20.000000Z

Revenue

Annual revenue

$52,491

ADR

$244

Occupancy

59%

Cleaning fees (12 mo)

$9,255

Confidence

Low (35.54), 48 comps

Comp revenue range (p25 / median / p75)

$17,701$31,167$53,375

Median revenue of shown comps: $30,055

  • Dollywood Cutie•3 Beds•New Construction

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 3 ft

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +5

    Revenue $60,143ADR $281Occ ≈ 59%5★ (53)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Under 1 mile to Dollywd, 5 mins Pkwy - 2 Kings/2 B

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 39 ft

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $62,619ADR $245Occ ≈ 70%5★ (67)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 10% Off 4 Night Stays - Explore Pigeon Forge

    Cabin · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 4 · 151 ft

    Revenue $23,412ADR $155Occ ≈ 41%4.8★ (29)

    Airbnb

  • Luxury Treehouse w/Swings, Net Loft, Dollywood 1 Mi

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 226 ft

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +2

    Revenue $68,860ADR $360Occ ≈ 52%5★ (30)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Location, Location - 1 Mile to Dollywood!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 367 ft

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $45,598ADR $365Occ ≈ 34%5★ (27)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Hot Tub, Pool Table, Sleeps 8. Two miles to Dollywood!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 433 ft

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $13,115ADR $216Occ ≈ 17%5★ (4)

    VrboBooking

  • Pigeon Forge Hideaway | By Colonial Properties

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 8 · 502 ft

    Revenue $23,179ADR $278Occ ≈ 23%4.7★ (25)

    Airbnb

  • NuWay Treehouse Cabin 5 minutes to Dollywood

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 515 ft

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $46,992ADR $243Occ ≈ 53%5★ (45)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • New Treehouse-1 mile from Dollywood & the Parkway

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.1 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $37,818ADR $220Occ ≈ 47%5★ (31)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Cozy Bear Den

    Vacation home · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.1 mi

    Revenue $22,315ADR $860Occ ≈ 7%3.5★ (1)

    Booking

Show 35 more
  • .5 mi 2 Dollywood-Elf movie theme-See Fireworks

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $61,057ADR $252Occ ≈ 66%5★ (328)

    Airbnb

  • Dollywood Escape | Hot Tub • Fire Pit • Arcade

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +4

    Revenue $16,904ADR $247Occ ≈ 19%5★ (8)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • 1/2 mile to Dollywood-Arcade-GSMNP-Hot Tub-Dogs OK

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $66,284ADR $265Occ ≈ 69%5★ (318)

    Airbnb

  • Cozy Bear Den | Hot Tub, Games, Grill & MORE!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $15,925ADR $195Occ ≈ 22%4.8★ (15)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • A Bearadise

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Wifi
    • Kitchen
    • +4

    Revenue $55,549ADR $242Occ ≈ 63%4.9★ (23)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Fox's Den

    Vacation home · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $21,949ADR $912Occ ≈ 7%5★ (2)

    Booking

  • Foxes' Den Cabin with Private Hot Tub and Arcade Game

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $37,483ADR $270Occ ≈ 38%5★ (1)

    Delisted

  • Lovely Forest Cabin with Spa and Beautiful Outdoor Area in Pigeon Forge, Tennessee

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $27,966ADR $596Occ ≈ 13%—

    Booking

  • Cozy Bear Den: Free Attraction Ticket, Hot Tub, Arcade Games & Fire Pit

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 4 · 0.2 mi

    Revenue $24,715ADR $200Occ ≈ 34%5★ (65)

    Delisted

  • Dolly themed cabin, 1/2 mile to Dollywood, hot tub

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $20,092ADR $206Occ ≈ 27%5★ (21)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • New Cabin One Story 2 Bedroom 2 Bath Close to Pigeon Forge and Dollywood-Fire pit and more

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +2

    Revenue $48,766ADR $217Occ ≈ 62%4.9★ (73)

    VrboBooking

  • Dollywood Delights by Ghosal Luxury Lodging

    Cabin · 2 bd · 3 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +7

    Revenue $76,464ADR $347Occ ≈ 60%4.6★ (41)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Pigeon Forge Cabin w/ Private Hot Tub & Gas Grill

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 7 · 0.2 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +3

    Revenue $42,016ADR $197Occ ≈ 58%4.9★ (136)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Whispering Pines at Dollywood

    House · 2 bd · 1.5 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $72,811ADR $211Occ ≈ 95%5★ (121)

    Airbnb

  • Dolly's Cabin: Walk to Dollywood Private Spa View

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $1,308ADR $654Occ ≈ 1%—

    Booking

  • Dolly's Cabin 1010|New| One level|2 Kings |Hot Tub

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $29,862ADR $257Occ ≈ 32%5★ (3)

    Booking

  • Cabin Fever? Cure It Here | 2-Story Near Dollywood

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $1,003ADR $200Occ ≈ 1%5★ (1)

    Airbnb

  • Green Gables Getaway-Across from Dollywood 2BR2BA Cabin Hot Tub Fireworks Views

    Chalet · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $60,186ADR $275Occ ≈ 60%—

    Booking

  • Walk 2 Dollywood | Firework Views | Private Spa

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $6,613ADR $329Occ ≈ 6%—

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • 2 King BR Across from Dollywood • Free tickets

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $52,594ADR $237Occ ≈ 61%5★ (15)

    Airbnb

  • 2 BD Across from Dollywood | Includes 1 Free Tkt

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $24,019ADR $252Occ ≈ 26%5★ (6)

    AirbnbBooking

  • Gateway to Dollywood! Cozy Smoky Mtn Cabin

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $46,074ADR $349Occ ≈ 36%—

    Airbnb

  • Walk 2 Dollywood | Firework Views | Private Spa

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $8,189ADR $545Occ ≈ 4%—

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Brambly Burrow*NEW* fun across from Dollywood!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $53,635ADR $263Occ ≈ 56%5★ (26)

    Airbnb

  • Walk to Dollywood fireworks views brand new cabin

    House · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • +5

    Revenue $10,015ADR $0Occ ≈ ——

    AirbnbVrbo

  • New 2BR cabin across from Dollywood with hot tub, one-step entry, and free attraction tickets

    Chalet · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $51,226ADR $229Occ ≈ 61%—

    Booking

  • Cottontail Cottage 2BR Cabin Flat Entry Hot Tub across from Dollywood w fireworks views

    Chalet · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $51,102ADR $234Occ ≈ 60%5★ (2)

    Booking

  • Cottontail Cottage 2 king BR-Steps from Dollywood!

    Cabin · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.3 mi

    Revenue $56,576ADR $259Occ ≈ 60%4.8★ (12)

    Airbnb

  • Free ticket +! 2 BR/1BA across from Dollywood!

    Cottage · 2 bd · 1 ba · sleeps 5 · 0.3 mi

    • Hot tub
    • A/C
    • Free parking
    • Pets OK
    • +5

    Revenue $37,492ADR $206Occ ≈ 50%4.8★ (295)

    AirbnbVrboBooking

  • Come Home to the Mountains | Spacious 2BR Retreat

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Wifi
    • +4

    Revenue $997ADR $166Occ ≈ 2%4.9★ (9)

    AirbnbVrbo

  • Downtown Pigeon Forge, Two Bedroom Suite!

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $30,055ADR $410Occ ≈ 20%5★ (1)

    Airbnb

  • Convenient 2BR Cottage Near Dollywood & Dining

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $834ADR $206Occ ≈ 1%—

    Delisted

  • Dollywood Adventures Start at This Spacious 2BR Retreat

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $1,288ADR $170Occ ≈ 2%—

    Delisted

  • Sunrise Ridge Two Bedroom Townhome

    Townhouse · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    Revenue $11,597ADR $423Occ ≈ 8%4.3★ (4)

    Airbnb

  • 2-Bedroom l Cottage | Standalone Retreat

    Condominium (condo) · 2 bd · 2 ba · sleeps 6 · 0.4 mi

    • Hot tub
    • Pool
    • A/C
    • Wifi
    • +3

    Revenue $1,426ADR $178Occ ≈ 2%4.7★ (3)

    AirbnbVrbo

Revenue and nightly rate (ADR) are trailing-12-month figures per listing. Occupancy is estimated as revenue ÷ ADR ÷ 365 and can read high when revenue includes cleaning fees.

Cash flow calculator

Financing
Management
Term

Rate 7.93% = 7.18% Freddie Mac 30-yr avg (Nov 5) + 0.75% investor premium

Est. revenue

$52,491

NOI

$27,028

Cash flow /mo

-$754

Cash needed

$175,471

Cash-on-cash

-5.2%

ROE (yr 1)

6.2%

Cap rate

4.9%

DSCR

0.75

Year-1 write-off

$145,047

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$46,415

Year-1 return on equity

  • Cash flow (annual)-$9,045
  • Principal paydown$3,493
  • Appreciation at%$16,497
ROE6.2%

Tax savings aren't counted. Turn on “Count tax savings in returns” above if you can use the losses.

Opex, cash-needed & tax-savings breakdown

Annual operating expenses

  • Management (20% of revenue)$10,498
  • Platform fees (3% of revenue)$1,575
  • Maintenance / capex (5% of revenue)$2,625
  • Utilities & supplies$4,200
  • HOA$1,500
  • Property tax$1,766
  • Insurance (STR-rated)$3,299

Cash needed to close

  • Down payment (25%)$137,475
  • Closing costs (4.0%)$21,996
  • Furnishing (bought new)$16,000

Tax savings if the STR loophole applies

  • Tax shield @ 32%$46,415

No county tax record split for property tax, insurance rate and the land/building split, so those use market defaults — edit the price above; other assumptions match the daily feed (see tasks/plan.md).

The write-off comes from the cost segregation estimate below. Not tax advice.

Cost segregation estimate

An estimate from the listing: every part of the home is priced from national construction costs, less wear for age, and the price (less land) is spread over the parts in proportion. The headline is what a typical cost seg study would claim for this property. The answers below are optional refinements.

Depreciable basis

$467,000

Short-life (5/15-yr)

$129,000 · 28%

Year-1 deduction

$145,000

Year-1 tax shield @ 32%

$46,000

Land 15% (market default, no usable tax-record split) · building $339,000 over 39 years · new furniture $16,000

Based on: 1,143 sq ft, built 2025, 2 bd / 2 ba, unfurnished, listing features (deck, fireplace, appliance list, wooded lot).

Try the cost segregation calculator on any property →

IRS-guide safe-harbor floor: $84,000 in year 1 (14% short-life, $27,000 tax shield), the conservative amount following the IRS audit guide's residential classification table.

5-year property$96,800
  • Kitchen cabinetsdefault

    $8,300 new × 96% good × 2.06 allocation

    $16,400
  • Kitchen countertopsdefault

    $6,800 new × 96% good × 2.06 allocation

    $13,400
  • Decorative trimdefault

    $2,000 new × 96% good × 2.06 allocation

    $3,900
  • Mirrorsdefault

    $300 new × 92% good × 2.06 allocation

    $600
  • Shelvingdefault

    $900 new × 96% good × 2.06 allocation

    $1,800
  • Window coverings (11)default

    $2,800 new × 90% good × 2.06 allocation

    $5,100
  • Carpet, vinyl & laminate (40% of floors)default

    $2,900 new × 92% good × 2.06 allocation

    $5,500
  • Kitchen & laundry equipment plumbingdefault

    $6,500 new × 98% good × 2.06 allocation

    $13,000
  • Kitchen, laundry & data equipment electricaldefault

    $3,900 new × 98% good × 2.06 allocation

    $7,900
  • Appliances (range, dishwasher, refrigerator, washer, dryer)listing

    $7,000 new × 92% good × 2.06 allocation

    $13,200
  • Furniture bought newlisting

    $16,000 new × 100% good · bought separately

    $16,000
15-year land improvements$47,800
  • Paving: driveway & walks (paved)default

    $7,000 new × 96% good × 2.06 allocation

    $13,800
  • Landscaping (minimal)listing

    $3,400 new × 96% good × 2.06 allocation

    $6,700
  • Patiosdefault

    $1,100 new × 96% good × 2.06 allocation

    $2,200
  • Decks & porches (attached)listing

    $12,900 new × 95% good × 2.06 allocation

    $25,100
Building, 39-year$338,700
  • Structure: foundation, framing, walls, windows, doors, roof, interior finishesdefault

    $123,700 new × 98% good × 2.06 allocation

    $250,100
  • Building plumbing & fixturesdefault

    $12,800 new × 98% good × 2.06 allocation

    $25,800
  • Building electrical & lightingdefault

    $11,800 new × 98% good × 2.06 allocation

    $23,700
  • HVACdefault

    $12,900 new × 95% good × 2.06 allocation

    $25,200
  • Hardwood & tile floorsdefault

    $4,400 new × 96% good × 2.06 allocation

    $8,700
  • Fireplacelisting

    $2,600 new × 96% good × 2.06 allocation

    $5,200

About the property

Depreciation schedule: typical cost seg study

Year5-yr15-yrBuildingTotal
1$96,800$47,800$400$145,000
2$0$0$8,700$8,700
3$0$0$8,700$8,700
4$0$0$8,700$8,700
5$0$0$8,700$8,700
6+$0$0$303,600$303,600
Total$96,800$47,800$338,700$483,400

Model-based estimate, not an engineered cost segregation study. The IRS doesn’t approve studies; get a professional study before filing. Using these losses against W-2 income needs the short-term rental exception (average stay ≤7 days + material participation). The 39-year building life applies because stays average under 30 days, a separate test (27.5 years for a long-term rental). Federal only: California, Georgia and Wisconsin disallow bonus depreciation, Ohio adds back 5/6 of it, and Tennessee has no personal income tax. Not tax advice.

Market note

STR allowed in most of Sevier County; inside Gatlinburg city limits only in overnight-rental zones.